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| Kenya 'at risk of fresh violence' | Kenya 'at risk of fresh violence' |
| (about 4 hours later) | |
| Further violence could erupt in Kenya unless a solution to the country's political crisis is found urgently, an international think tank has warned. | Further violence could erupt in Kenya unless a solution to the country's political crisis is found urgently, an international think tank has warned. |
| Armed groups on both the opposition and government sides are mobilising for fresh attacks, according to the International Crisis Group (ICG). | Armed groups on both the opposition and government sides are mobilising for fresh attacks, according to the International Crisis Group (ICG). |
| Its report calls for legal, electoral and constitutional reforms and for aid to be conditional on a peaceful result. | Its report calls for legal, electoral and constitutional reforms and for aid to be conditional on a peaceful result. |
| Ex-UN chief Kofi Annan has been leading mediation talks in Nairobi. | Ex-UN chief Kofi Annan has been leading mediation talks in Nairobi. |
| The ICG report comes as Kenya's opposition warned it would relaunch mass protests in a week's time if the talks do not break the political deadlock. | The ICG report comes as Kenya's opposition warned it would relaunch mass protests in a week's time if the talks do not break the political deadlock. |
| Using aid | Using aid |
| Ethnic and political violence broke out after President Mwai Kibaki was declared the winner of December's presidential election. | Ethnic and political violence broke out after President Mwai Kibaki was declared the winner of December's presidential election. |
| The current uneasy calm in Kenya should not be misunderstood as a return to normalcy International crisis group | The current uneasy calm in Kenya should not be misunderstood as a return to normalcy International crisis group |
| At least 1,000 people have been killed across the country and hundreds of thousands of people have been displaced. | At least 1,000 people have been killed across the country and hundreds of thousands of people have been displaced. |
| The ICG report warned "serious obstacles" to peace remained and made 12 recommendations. | The ICG report warned "serious obstacles" to peace remained and made 12 recommendations. |
| These included sanctions to be targeted at those responsible for inter-ethnic violence. | |
| And the group said international aid should to be made dependent on a satisfactory outcome to negotiations. | And the group said international aid should to be made dependent on a satisfactory outcome to negotiations. |
| "The current uneasy calm in Kenya should not be misunderstood as a return to normalcy," said the report. | "The current uneasy calm in Kenya should not be misunderstood as a return to normalcy," said the report. |
| "The protracted political crisis has deep roots and could easily lead to renewed extreme violence. More is at stake than the collapse of Kenya itself." | "The protracted political crisis has deep roots and could easily lead to renewed extreme violence. More is at stake than the collapse of Kenya itself." |
| Evisceration | Evisceration |
| The report noted that Kenya was the platform for relief operations in Somalia and Sudan and a haven for refugees from throughout the region. | The report noted that Kenya was the platform for relief operations in Somalia and Sudan and a haven for refugees from throughout the region. |
| Can opposition leader Raila Odinga and Mwai Kibaki govern together? | Can opposition leader Raila Odinga and Mwai Kibaki govern together? |
| The think tank also said Kenya was a vital regional trade hub and a key anchor for prospects of long-term stabilisation in Rwanda, Uganda and Burundi. | The think tank also said Kenya was a vital regional trade hub and a key anchor for prospects of long-term stabilisation in Rwanda, Uganda and Burundi. |
| It concluded: "The quicker a comprehensive solution to the crisis in Kenya is found, the better the prospects will be for the entire region. | It concluded: "The quicker a comprehensive solution to the crisis in Kenya is found, the better the prospects will be for the entire region. |
| "The alternative - a collapsed economy, the evisceration of the democratic process and ethnic and territorial conflict - would have severe consequences for the whole of east Africa, and well beyond." | "The alternative - a collapsed economy, the evisceration of the democratic process and ethnic and territorial conflict - would have severe consequences for the whole of east Africa, and well beyond." |
| Although the two sides attending mediation talks in Nairobi have agreed on a grand coalition in principle, deadlock remains over how it should work in practice. | |
| Opposition leader Raila Odinga wants powers vested in a new post of prime minister - but this needs MPs to amend the constitution and is opposed by President Kibaki. | Opposition leader Raila Odinga wants powers vested in a new post of prime minister - but this needs MPs to amend the constitution and is opposed by President Kibaki. |
| Mr Annan, who is mediating between the two sides, said last week that they were "very close" to a solution. | Mr Annan, who is mediating between the two sides, said last week that they were "very close" to a solution. |
| US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice urged both leaders to strike a deal after holding separate meetings with them on Monday. | US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice urged both leaders to strike a deal after holding separate meetings with them on Monday. |