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French and German economies contracted at end of 2012 | French and German economies contracted at end of 2012 |
(35 minutes later) | |
The German and French economies both contracted in the final three months of 2012, official figures have shown. | The German and French economies both contracted in the final three months of 2012, official figures have shown. |
Germany - the eurozone's largest economy - saw its gross domestic product (GDP) shrink by 0.6% as exports declined. | Germany - the eurozone's largest economy - saw its gross domestic product (GDP) shrink by 0.6% as exports declined. |
That was the deepest contraction since the first three months of 2009 - the height of the financial crisis. | That was the deepest contraction since the first three months of 2009 - the height of the financial crisis. |
The French economy shrank by 0.3% in the fourth quarter, while Italy showed 0.9% contraction for the period. | |
Italy has been in recession since mid-2011. Prime Minister Mario Monti has introduced severe austerity measures to cut its debt and reassure markets that it is a safe country to lend to. An election is due on 24 February. | |
Some analysts have predicted France is heading for a recession - usually defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction. | Some analysts have predicted France is heading for a recession - usually defined as two consecutive quarters of contraction. |
However, France's central bank recently forecast that the economy would expand in the first three months of 2013. | However, France's central bank recently forecast that the economy would expand in the first three months of 2013. |
'Growth re-thought' | 'Growth re-thought' |
The latest GDP number means that the French economy barely grew in 2012. | The latest GDP number means that the French economy barely grew in 2012. |
French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici admitted on French radio that the government may need to rethink its growth forecast of 0.8% for 2013. | French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici admitted on French radio that the government may need to rethink its growth forecast of 0.8% for 2013. |
"We note that the figure for 2012 is not good, around zero, and so we also know that growth for 2013 will have to be re-thought." | "We note that the figure for 2012 is not good, around zero, and so we also know that growth for 2013 will have to be re-thought." |
He added that he did not want to "condemn the country to recession" by adding "austerity to the difficulties of today". | He added that he did not want to "condemn the country to recession" by adding "austerity to the difficulties of today". |
French President Francois Hollande is trying to make France more competitive by slashing government spending and relaxing labour regulations. | French President Francois Hollande is trying to make France more competitive by slashing government spending and relaxing labour regulations. |
'Outlook promising' | 'Outlook promising' |
The German statistics office said: "Comparatively weak foreign trade was the decisive factor for the decline in the economic performance at the end of the year: in the final quarter of 2012 exports of goods declined significantly more than imports of goods." | The German statistics office said: "Comparatively weak foreign trade was the decisive factor for the decline in the economic performance at the end of the year: in the final quarter of 2012 exports of goods declined significantly more than imports of goods." |
But economists remain upbeat about the outlook for Germany. | But economists remain upbeat about the outlook for Germany. |
"This is a temporary period of weakness in the German economy rather than the beginning of a long period of stagnation or even a recession " said Andreas Rees, chief German economist at the bank Unicredit. | "This is a temporary period of weakness in the German economy rather than the beginning of a long period of stagnation or even a recession " said Andreas Rees, chief German economist at the bank Unicredit. |
He added: "The outlook is very promising. The chances that the economy will return to growth at the beginning of this year are very good." | He added: "The outlook is very promising. The chances that the economy will return to growth at the beginning of this year are very good." |
That sentiment has been back up by recent surveys. January's closely watched business confidence survey for Germany hit its highest level since before the eurozone crisis. | That sentiment has been back up by recent surveys. January's closely watched business confidence survey for Germany hit its highest level since before the eurozone crisis. |
Eurozone purchasing managers' index (PMI) surveys for January also indicated the worst may be over. Germany, Spain and Italy all showed signs of stabilisation - although in France the downturn deepened. | Eurozone purchasing managers' index (PMI) surveys for January also indicated the worst may be over. Germany, Spain and Italy all showed signs of stabilisation - although in France the downturn deepened. |
The growth figure for the whole eurozone is out later and is expected to show the recession in the region worsening. GDP is forecast to contract by 0.4% - which would be the third consecutive quarter of contraction. | The growth figure for the whole eurozone is out later and is expected to show the recession in the region worsening. GDP is forecast to contract by 0.4% - which would be the third consecutive quarter of contraction. |
Are you based in Germany or France? Send us your comments and experiences using the form below. | Are you based in Germany or France? Send us your comments and experiences using the form below. |