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Campaign hots up amid new polls Campaign hots up amid new polls
(about 2 hours later)
The Welsh assembly election campaign is accelerating on the eve of its final weekend as two new opinion polls were published with similar findings. The Welsh assembly election campaign is accelerating as two new opinion polls were published with similar findings.
The two polls both suggested Labour may fail to win a majority on 3 May.The two polls both suggested Labour may fail to win a majority on 3 May.
Conservative leader David Cameron will visit a Vale of Glamorgan farm and Labour's Rhodri Morgan, in south-west Wales, focused on the economy. Tory leader David Cameron campaigned on anti-social behaviour in the Vale of Glamorgan and Labour's Rhodri Morgan, in west Wales, focused on the economy.
Plaid Cymru's Ieuan Wyn Jones set out "priorities for government" and Lib Dem Mike German campaigned in Ceredigion. Plaid Cymru's Ieuan Wyn Jones set out key policies in any future coalition talks and Liberal Democrat Mike German campaigned in Ceredigion.
The latest polls both suggested that Labour's vote was down on the 40% it achieved at the last assembly election in 2003, when it formed the Welsh Assembly Government with a bare majority of 30 of the 60 seats. The latest polls came as Downing Street strongly denied press claims Tony Blair would announce his resignation before Scottish, Welsh and English local elections on 3 May.
In a rare comment on his plans, Downing Street said speculation Mr Blair would quit on Tuesday, 1 May, was "wrong".
The Welsh polls both suggested that Labour's vote was down on the 40% it achieved at the last assembly election in 2003, when it formed the assembly government with 30 of the 60 seats.
If we want to crack crime and anti-social behaviour it's not just something for government David Cameron, Conservative leader
A poll for ITV Wales on Thursday by NOP indicated Labour was on 32%, down four points since a similar poll three weeks ago.A poll for ITV Wales on Thursday by NOP indicated Labour was on 32%, down four points since a similar poll three weeks ago.
It put Plaid Cymru on 26% (up 6%), Conservatives 19% (down 4%), and Liberal Democrats on 15%, similar to three weeks ago.It put Plaid Cymru on 26% (up 6%), Conservatives 19% (down 4%), and Liberal Democrats on 15%, similar to three weeks ago.
Another poll for the Western Mail on Friday put Labour at 36% in the 40 first-past-the-post constituencies.Another poll for the Western Mail on Friday put Labour at 36% in the 40 first-past-the-post constituencies.
The poll, by Beaufort Research, put Plaid on 26%, Conservatives 19%, Lib Dems 13% and others 7%.The poll, by Beaufort Research, put Plaid on 26%, Conservatives 19%, Lib Dems 13% and others 7%.
A further 20 AMs will be elected from party lists in the five regions of Wales. The Western Mail poll in the regions put Labour at 35%, Plaid 26%, Conservatives 20%, Lib Dems 12% and others 7%.A further 20 AMs will be elected from party lists in the five regions of Wales. The Western Mail poll in the regions put Labour at 35%, Plaid 26%, Conservatives 20%, Lib Dems 12% and others 7%.
BBC political correspondent Guto Thomas said the polls both putting Labour support in the mid to low thirties could "send out distress calls that the party's hold on power could be under serious threat." 'Crucial commitments'
He said: "But with local factors making this very much a campaign of 40 local by-elections in the constituencies, the key to the actual result isn't so much the total share each party will get across Wales - but where, exactly, the most critical votes are cast." Mr Cameron said of the polls: "I don't see any point in speculating on polls when we've got an election in under a week".
Speaking at a farm near Barry that offers work and training to disaffected youngsters and helps adults and young people with learning difficulties, he said: "The message is that if we want to crack crime and anti-social behaviour it's not just something for government.
"This voluntary body, this social enterprise, does a fantastic job in taking young people in danger of falling out of school who'll become the Asbo kids of the future and it's actually turning them around now."
A Plaid-led government is realistic Ieuan Wyn Jones, Plaid Cymru leader
Meanwhile, Plaid leader Ieuan Wyn Jones indicated the key policies if he was to enter coalition talks with other parties after next Thursday's Welsh assembly election.
These would be: creating a commission on Welsh Assembly Government-funding from Westminster; a referendum on creating a Scottish-style Parliament by 2011, and cutting business rates by up to 50%.
Mr Jones said these were "crucial" commitments for his party.
He said: "A Plaid-led government is realistic," but added: "How the arrangements happen after 3 May is anyone's guess".
Mr Jones has made clear that Plaid would discuss possible options with any other party if no-one wins a majority next week.
However, he has ruled out "propping up a failed Labour administration" or serving under a Conservative first minister.
Speaking at the Wales Millennium Centre in Cardiff, he set out 11 priorities for the next assembly term.
The commission that his party wants on funding Wales would also look at "borrowing and tax-varying powers and replacing council tax with local income tax".