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| Campaign hots up amid new polls | Campaign hots up amid new polls |
| (about 3 hours later) | |
| The Welsh assembly election campaign is accelerating on the eve of its final weekend as two new opinion polls were published with similar findings. | The Welsh assembly election campaign is accelerating on the eve of its final weekend as two new opinion polls were published with similar findings. |
| The two polls both suggested Labour may fail to win a majority on 3 May. | The two polls both suggested Labour may fail to win a majority on 3 May. |
| Conservative leader David Cameron will visit a Vale of Glamorgan farm and Labour's Rhodri Morgan, in south-west Wales, focused on the economy. | Conservative leader David Cameron will visit a Vale of Glamorgan farm and Labour's Rhodri Morgan, in south-west Wales, focused on the economy. |
| Plaid Cymru's Ieuan Wyn Jones set out "priorities for government" and Lib Dem Mike German campaigned in Ceredigion. | Plaid Cymru's Ieuan Wyn Jones set out "priorities for government" and Lib Dem Mike German campaigned in Ceredigion. |
| The latest polls both suggested that Labour's vote was down on the 40% it achieved at the last assembly election in 2003, when it formed the Welsh Assembly Government with a bare majority of 30 of the 60 seats. | The latest polls both suggested that Labour's vote was down on the 40% it achieved at the last assembly election in 2003, when it formed the Welsh Assembly Government with a bare majority of 30 of the 60 seats. |
| A poll for ITV Wales on Thursday by NOP indicated Labour was on 32%, down four points since a similar poll three weeks ago. | A poll for ITV Wales on Thursday by NOP indicated Labour was on 32%, down four points since a similar poll three weeks ago. |
| It put Plaid Cymru on 26% (up 6%), Conservatives 19% (down 4%), and Liberal Democrats on 15%, similar to three weeks ago. | It put Plaid Cymru on 26% (up 6%), Conservatives 19% (down 4%), and Liberal Democrats on 15%, similar to three weeks ago. |
| Another poll for the Western Mail on Friday put Labour at 36% in the 40 first-past-the-post constituencies. | Another poll for the Western Mail on Friday put Labour at 36% in the 40 first-past-the-post constituencies. |
| The poll, by Beaufort Research, put Plaid on 26%, Conservatives 19%, Lib Dems 13% and others 7%. | The poll, by Beaufort Research, put Plaid on 26%, Conservatives 19%, Lib Dems 13% and others 7%. |
| A further 20 AMs will be elected from party lists in the five regions of Wales. The Western Mail poll in the regions put Labour at 35%, Plaid 26%, Conservatives 20%, Lib Dems 12% and others 7%. | |
| BBC political correspondent Guto Thomas said the polls both putting Labour support in the mid to low thirties could "send out distress calls that the party's hold on power could be under serious threat." | BBC political correspondent Guto Thomas said the polls both putting Labour support in the mid to low thirties could "send out distress calls that the party's hold on power could be under serious threat." |
| He said: "But with local factors making this very much a campaign of 40 local by-elections in the constituencies, the key to the actual result isn't so much the total share each party will get across Wales - but where, exactly, the most critical votes are cast." | He said: "But with local factors making this very much a campaign of 40 local by-elections in the constituencies, the key to the actual result isn't so much the total share each party will get across Wales - but where, exactly, the most critical votes are cast." |