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US report warns of Iraq 'peril' US report warns of Iraq 'peril'
(20 minutes later)
The security situation in Iraq could become "increasingly perilous" unless efforts are made to halt the violence, a US intelligence report says.The security situation in Iraq could become "increasingly perilous" unless efforts are made to halt the violence, a US intelligence report says.
The National Intelligence Estimate, presented to the White House, warned that the US could have little control if the situation further deteriorated. The National Intelligence Estimate, presented to the White House, warned that the US would have little control if the situation further deteriorated.
It said US and coalition forces were essential and a quick US withdrawal would have dangerous consequences.It said US and coalition forces were essential and a quick US withdrawal would have dangerous consequences.
It is the first intelligence assessment on Iraq in more than two years.It is the first intelligence assessment on Iraq in more than two years.
A declassified version of the 90-page report warned of ominous consequences if the level of violence went unchecked.
"Unless efforts to reverse these conditions show measurable progress during the term of this estimate in the coming 12 to 18 months, we assess that the overall security situation will continue to deteriorate."
It adds: "Coalition capabilities including force levels, resources and operations remain an essential stabilising element in Iraq."
The administration said the document supported President George W Bush's new strategy on Iraq.
Last month he announced he was sending an additional 21,500 extra troops to the region.