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Eurozone economies contract 2.5% | |
(about 1 hour later) | |
The economies of the 16 countries that make up the eurozone declined by 2.5% in the first three months of 2009, the EU's statistics agency Eurostat said. | |
The fall was bigger than expected, with analysts forecasting a 2% drop. A fall in German exports was a key factor. | |
The German economy suffered its largest contraction since reunification, falling 3.8% in the first three months of the year. | |
GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced in a country. | GDP measures the value of all goods and services produced in a country. |
And provisional data showed the French economy shrank 1.2% in the first quarter, in line with forecasts. | |
The fall in French GDP, reported by the statistics office Insee, was smaller than the 1.5% drop seen in the previous quarter. | The fall in French GDP, reported by the statistics office Insee, was smaller than the 1.5% drop seen in the previous quarter. |
In a statement, the Economy Ministry said it expected the French economy to contract by 3% in 2009. | In a statement, the Economy Ministry said it expected the French economy to contract by 3% in 2009. |
The German government has predicted the economy will shrink 6% this year. | The German government has predicted the economy will shrink 6% this year. |
That is a more downbeat forecast than the European Commission's. | That is a more downbeat forecast than the European Commission's. |
The Commission expects Germany, Europe's biggest economy, to contract 5.4% this year, while it predicts economic activity in France will drop 3%. | The Commission expects Germany, Europe's biggest economy, to contract 5.4% this year, while it predicts economic activity in France will drop 3%. |
Meanwhile Italy's GDP declined 2.4% in the first quarter - the largest fall since records began in 1980, statistics agency ISTAT said. | |
'Uncertainty shock' | 'Uncertainty shock' |
Year-on-year the economy shrank by 6.7%. | Year-on-year the economy shrank by 6.7%. |
The decrease in exports was markedly larger than that of imports, the Statistics Office said. | The decrease in exports was markedly larger than that of imports, the Statistics Office said. |
The severity of the contraction surprised economists. | The severity of the contraction surprised economists. |
"The figures came in a bit worse than even we had expected and are significantly worse than the consensus," said Joerg Kraemer from Commerzbank. | "The figures came in a bit worse than even we had expected and are significantly worse than the consensus," said Joerg Kraemer from Commerzbank. |
"In the first quarter, the German economy fell victim to the 'uncertainty shock', which has gripped the world economy since the collapse of Lehman Brothers." | "In the first quarter, the German economy fell victim to the 'uncertainty shock', which has gripped the world economy since the collapse of Lehman Brothers." |
The fourth quarter of 2008 had previously been the worst on record, with GDP falling by a revised 2.2%. | The fourth quarter of 2008 had previously been the worst on record, with GDP falling by a revised 2.2%. |