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EU referendum: Labour party 'working to assumption leave will win' – live
EU referendum results: Farage declares 'independence day' – live
(35 minutes later)
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04:07
And here is Nigel Farage on the Sheffield result.
Holly Watt
Sheffield votes to Leave EU. Amazing stuff. Delighted.
Resounding win for leave in Clacton, Essex, with only 25,210 voting to remain, while 57,437 voted to get out of Europe.
Chris Griffiths, a councillor for the Conservatives, said it was turning into a great night. He said:
The people have spoken and they’re saying it’s time to leave. There’s a lot of anger and disaffection in the area – they are fed up with Europe.
Ukip councillor Richard Everett said that Vote Leave had been very successful in getting out the vote:
We’ve done a much better job in our areas. I’ve been very pleased with this evening.
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04:06
This is from the academic Matthew Goodwin.
This is from Sky’s Roddy Mansfield.
Sheffield is 51% Leave. It was predicted to go Remain on 52% #euref
Leave breaks through the 500,000 vote advantage over Remain.
And this is from the Spectator’s James Forsyth.
4.05am BST
Sheffield is 51% Leave. It was predicted to go Remain on 52% #euref
04:05
3.29am BST
Sterling dollar over the last 30 years .... pic.twitter.com/fFd7kUgzJG
03:29
"We are through 35" says Jeremy Cook at World First. The lowest since 1985. Happens as Nigel Farage appears on TV
Pound falls 6%
4.05am BST
Jill Treanor
04:05
The pound has hit a new low for the night at $1.3879, down 6%.
Ben Quinn
Sterling is very volatile, said Jeremy Cook of World First, whose colleagues are starting to stream into the office. The mood is sober. The largest cause for the downswing in the pound is a prediction by ITV of a 75% chance of the UK leaving the EU.
By 4am, a series of key results had signposted how a victory for leave lay ahead.
3.27am BST
After a lower than expected margin of victory for the remain campaign in Newcastle, where it won the backing of 54% of voters, there was a jolt after midnight when leave captured Sunderland with 61.3% of the vote in a city which has traditionally been a labour stronghold.
03:27
There was continued joy at leave parties during the night as swing areas across England delivered wins, often of a much larger magnitude than forecast.
3.24am BST
The beginning declarations in some larger areas of London saw what was a fleeting piece of good news for remain as the south London district of Wandsworth delivered 118,463 votes for remaining in the EU.
03:24
But it was short-lived as traditional election marginals backed leave. Nuneaton, a central English town seen as a bellwether of “middle England” opinion, delivered a 66% vote for leave.
Labour party 'working to assumption leave will win'
In Wales, too, leave were dominant where at least 18 of the 22 Welsh authorities had declared. Only three – the Vale of Glamorgan in the south, Monmouthshire in the south-east and Ceredigion in west Wales – had voted to remain.
The Labour party is now working on the assumption that leave will win, according to a party source. The view in Labour HQ is that, if Britain does vote to leave, Jeremy Corbyn should call on David Cameron to resign, but senior figures believe that that may prove unnecessary because Cameron may announce his departure of his own accord.
As expected, remain won out in Scotland, although margins of victory and turnouts fell short of what was needed to stop the leave juggernaut in the south.
4.04am BST
04:04
Nigel Farage is addressing supporters. He says he expects leave to win.
Dawn is breaking on an independent United Kingdom ... This will be a victory for ordinary people.
He declares June 23 “our independence day”.
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The market volatility continues:
As John Rentoul points out, we may well end up with an emergency Commons sitting on Saturday.
We're back down again... pic.twitter.com/TxsgkeNdL6
I'm in shock. David Cameron's gamble has failed. His career is over. Will the Commons sit on Saturday? Is Boris Johnson really up to it?
Leave's lead grows to 176,888 and GBPUSD resumes it's slide, back down to 1.4225 from 1.4500 half an hour ago.
(It would be the second recall in a week, which may be unprecedented.)
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Curtice not calling it, BUT says Leave now are favourites
There are 217 results in now, out of 382. Here are the latest numbers.
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03:13
Asked if he thought David Cameron should stay as prime minister if leave win, the veteran Conservative Eurosceptic Sir Bill Cash tells the BBC whoever is prime minister will have to be “completely committed to Brexit”. He says that is vital because the EU withdrawal negotiations will have to led by No 10.
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03:11
This is from Peter Murrell, the SNP’s chief executive.
02h50: Remain now has over 1 million votes in Scotland. With just 8 results to go, the map is turning bright yellow pic.twitter.com/clL4W8iqLE
3.09am BST
03:09
Peter Kellner, the former YouGov president who was predicting a remain win (see 10.15pm), has changed his mind.
Seems we are heading for result bad for UK, bad for pollsters and (least important) embarrassing for me
Nathan Anderson is a 26-year-old MA politics student at Queen’s University Belfast and a Democratic Unionist councillor.
Unlike a majority of his contemporaries in his age group, he is strongly in favour of Brexit.
He said: “As part of my MA I have been studying the EU and it has made me more Eurosceptical. The EU commission is wholly unelected and it makes the laws. That is why I will be delighted if its a Brexit result today.”
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02:55
The Guardian’s Dan Milmo talks us through the volatility in the financial markets with the results coming in for the European Union referendum.
2.54am BST
02:54
John Mann, one of the few Labour MPs to vote for Brexit, has just told the BBC that Labour voters have “decisively voted to leave the European Union”.
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We’ve had 84 results in now, and remain are back on the lead - but only just.
Here are the figures. The vote ones are the ones that count.
Areas
Areas
Remain: 34
Remain: 69
Leave: 50
Leave: 148
Votes
Votes
Remain: 2,877,575 (50.01%)
Remain: 8,042,118 (48.5%)
Leave: 2,876,697 (49.99%)
Leave: 8,544,442 (51.5%)
84 #EUref results in - Experts 2,877,575 (50.01%) / Bloke in the pub 2,876,697 (49.99%)
With 217 #EUref results in, here are the figures - Stronger, safer, better off 8,042,118 (48.5%) / Take back control 8,544,442 (51.5%)
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Mark Tran
Here is Edinburgh announcing it has voted remain …
Wandsworth has voted for remain by a thumping 75-25 majority on a 72% turnout. There were 118,463 votes for remain and 39,421 for leave.
… while Chelmsford returned a majority vote to leave.
The borough was a remain stronghold so victory was assured. The only issue was the margin of victory. After the disappointments of Sunderland and Newcastle, Wandsworth will come as a fillip for the remain camp, although the result can only reinforce the impression of a deep divisions in the country.
3.57am BST
Wandsworth result now in; 118,463 remain, 39,421 leave #EURefResults pic.twitter.com/AuYJ2FLTiG
03:57
Jane Ellison, the Conservative MP for Battersea, was delighted but expressed concern over what seemed to be a developing north-south divide.
The Specator’s James Forsyth thinks we may have a general election before too long.
She said: “Whatever the outcome, it is obvious there are very different concerns and where we stand in the world, and we need to address that. All you can do is do your best in your own patch.”
I suspect we might well see a general election before Article 50 is invoked; whoever the PM is seeking a mandate for the planned terms
During the count, Justine Greening, the Conservative MP for Putney and international development secretary, said the gap between remain and leave was bigger than she had anticipated.
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“That seems much more categorical than I expected,” she told the Guardian. It’s a combination of London being more international and the immigration debate really jarring [with] people.”
03:55
On whether the death of Labour MP Jo Cox had been a factor, Greening said: “It made people sit up and think and the vote was their first chance people had to show how they felt.”
Will the Bank of England intervene in the currency markets? Or perhaps cut interest rates? One former member of the Bank’s monetary policy committee thinks the Bank will have to act:
Rosena Allin-Khan, the newly Labour MP for Tooting, also campaigned for remain in a cross-party effort. She said she found some confusion among remain voters because the government had been so “woefully divided”.
GBP down to $1.37 presume MPC members been contacted only question what time they will meet and will they cut by 25bp or 50bp
"Sterling is in free fall at the moment, from the optimism at 10.20pm the pound is now 10% lower," said Jeremy Cook at World First
"It looks like its goose is cooked," says Jeremy Cook, talking about the pound
3.55am BST
03:55
The Conservative MP Jacob Rees-Mogg told the BBC that, if there is a recession, it won’t be because of Brexit.
There will be no recession because of Brexit, though there are fragile economic conditions in other parts of the world. I can’t say no recession ever, but not caused by Brexit specifically.
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03:53
Remain source says it looks 'very tough from here'
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03:52
Cameron will have to resign if Britain votes for Brexit, says Benn
Hilary Benn, the shadow foreign secretary, has said David Cameron will have to resign if the UK votes to leave.
If there were to be a vote to Leave, then as far as the Prime Minister is concerned I don’t see how he is going to remain in his job for very long at all.
I think it’s very hard for him in those circumstances to remain. If you are the prime minister, you’ve called this referendum, you’ve laid your reputation on the line and your arguments, I think it’s going to be very hard.
