This article is from the source 'guardian' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.
You can find the current article at its original source at https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2016/jun/23/eu-referendum-result-live-counting-leave-remain-brain-in-europe
The article has changed 27 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.
| Version 11 | Version 12 |
|---|---|
| EU referendum results: Farage declares 'independence day' as UK votes to leave– live | |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 5.19am BST | |
| 05:19 | |
| Henry McDonald | |
| Northern Ireland has voted remain by a majority of 440,707 to 349,442 for Brexit on an overall turnout of 62.9%. | |
| There were 11 Westminster constituencies with majorities in favour of remain while seven voted for Brexit. Only one solidly unionist constituency – North Down – had a remain majority. | |
| The result will have massive ramifications not just for Northern Ireland but the entire island. The Brexit vote will raise questions about the Irish border. If border checks and controls come back this will enrage the nationalist population of Northern Ireland. It will also undoubtedly be a boon for Irish republican dissidents opposed to the peace process. | |
| The republican hardliners will argue that the principles of freedom of movement on the island and the fact that Northern Ireland voted for remain are subject to an English electorate veto. They will contend that the connection with Britain and the power of England to threaten to reinforce the border through this vote undermines the Good Friday agreement. | |
| Another casualty might be the power sharing executive’s demand for a low 12.5% corporation tax rate for the region. The Irish Republic has used its 12.5% corporation tax rate to attract global corporate giants from Apple to Google, creating hundreds of thousands of jobs. However, the multinationals’ decision to be in the Republic is also based on Ireland being an English-speaking nation inside the EU. | |
| As the Irish Nobel laureate WB Yeats put it, albeit about another momentous event 100 years ago, the 1916 Rising, all is changed utterly on the island of Ireland. | |
| 5.14am BST | |
| 05:14 | |
| Matthew Weaver | |
| Tory rebel and Brexiter Andrew Bridgen, who had called for a new Tory leader and a general election before Christmas, has called on David Cameron to stay to “stabilise the situation”. | |
| Speaking to BBC Radio 4, Bridgen said: | |
| Will it be in the interest of the country for the prime minister to resign this morning? I don’t think so. Given all the volatility at the moment I think we can give the prime minister a little breathing space. | |
| Asked whether he would carry out his threat of a no confidence vote in the prime minister, Bridgen said: | |
| I don’t think it will come to that. The prime minister will consider what the people have said, I think he will act in the interest of the country. Short term he is going to need to get a grip, reshuffle his cabinet and address the pressing issues of Scotland, Northern Ireland and the financial markets, where there is going to be some short-term volatility. | |
| Asked how long Cameron should stay, Bridgen said: | |
| That will depend on how long it takes to stabilise the situation and move forward. He has politically exposed himself immensely in this campaign. I think he has been very badly advised, I think he has underestimated the level of support for leave within the parliamentary party, within the wider party and ultimately within the country. I wish the prime minister had stayed above this and been a little more impartial. | |
| 5.11am BST | |
| 05:11 | |
| Caelainn Barr | |
| As the results unfolded were there any metrics that could help predict whether an area was likely to vote leave or remain? We’ve taken six key measures for each voting area and mapped them against the results. | |
| With the over two-thirds of the counting areas reporting a result the strongest predictor of how an area would vote is the education level of the residents. So far the results indicate that greater the proportion of residents with a higher education, the more likely a local authority was to vote remain. | |
| 5.10am BST | |
| 05:10 | |
| This is from ITV’s Allegra Stratton. | |
| Am being told that Cameron and Osborne are finished. There will be a "dignified exit" say senior Tories. "Not immediate". | |
| 5.08am BST | |
| 05:08 | |
| Andy Coulson, David Cameron’s former communications chief, has just told ITV that he thinks Cameron will be pondering his resignation. | |
| Andy Coulson on set w @tombradby saying he thinks the PM "pondering his future". He thinks he should stay, "no time for a novice" #ITVEURef | |
| 5.04am BST | |
| 05:04 | |
| Simon Goodley | |
| There’s a state of shock in the City this morning, as investors digest the news that Britain appears to have voted to leave the European Union. | |
| Markets had rallied yesterday on expectations that the remain side would win, so traders are now facing the prospect of a huge selloff this morning. | |
| Over on IG’s trading floor, chief market analyst Chris Beauchamp says: | |
| We’re seeing an unraveling of positions now that clearly shows that financial markets were heavily weighted one side. The financial markets looked at the polls and the betting markets – all the information available. | |
| They suggested it would be close but history suggests that undecideds tend to go with the status quo. We’re now seeing highly volatile financial markets. We’ve had the worst night for the pound since the financial crisis. | |
| Updated | |
| at 5.09am BST | |
| 5.01am BST | |
| 05:01 | |
| Libby Brooks | |
| Commenting on the result of the EU referendum in Scotland, Nicola Sturgeon said: | |
| Scotland has delivered a strong, unequivocal vote to remain in the EU, and I welcome that endorsement of our European status. And while the overall result remains to be declared, the vote here makes clear that the people of Scotland see their future as part of the European Union. | |
| Scotland has contributed significantly to the remain vote across the UK. That reflects the positive campaign the SNP fought, which highlighted the gains and benefits of our EU membership, and people across Scotland have responded to that positive message. We await the final UK-wide result, but Scotland has spoken – and spoken decisively. | |
| 4.59am BST | |
| 04:59 | |
| A Canadian MP is urging the Canadian government to prioritise a UK-Canada trade deal. | |
| Canada should immediately demonstrate respect for the choice made by the British people, & prioritize negotiation of Canada-UK free trade. | |
| 4.59am BST | |
| 04:59 | |
| Graeme Wearden | |
| Asian stock markets are already being routed, as traders watch events unfold in the UK. | |
| Japan’s Nikkei index has slumped by 7%, a loss of over 1,100 points. That is its worst one-day fall since March 2011, when Fukushima was hit by a devastating earthquake that trigged a tsunami and a nuclear disaster. | |
| 4.56am BST | |
| 04:56 | |
| We’ve had 319 out of 382 results in now. Here are the figures. | |
| Areas | |
| Remain: 102 | |
| Leave: 217 | |
| Votes | |
| Remain: 12,991,972 (48.4%) | |
| Leave: 13,842,109 (51.6%) | |
| 4.51am BST | |
| 04:51 | |
| Stephen Crabb, the work and pensions secretary, has said the government failed to get its message across to the white working class. | |
| I just think there is a disconnect with the white working class. We didn’t get our core messages across to them. | |
| When we tried to explain to them just how important the European Single Market was to their jobs, their livelihoods, we didn’t quite land those messages successfully. | |
| And I think that is one of the themes that is emerging this evening is that old industrial white working class areas clearly haven’t bought the message that we have tried hard to communicate. | |
| He also said it was “absolutely essential” that Cameron remains as prime minister. | |
| There isn’t anybody else around the cabinet table or outside the cabinet, for that matter, or in any of the other political parties who can give this country the kind of leadership skills and abilities that David Cameron can at this, what is going to be very challenging weeks and months for the country. | |
| 4.46am BST | |
| 04:46 | |
| Chuka Umunna, the London Labour MP, said that the referendum result highlighted “particular issues” for the Labour Party adding: | |
| I don’t actually think for a lot of our supporters and voters sovereignty was quite the issue that immigration became. Why did it become such an overwhelming issue in spite of all the warnings of the experts? A lot of people said that you are saying this about the economy but we don’t actually feel we have a lot from that economy for the moment. | |
| 4.41am BST | 4.41am BST |
| 04:41 | 04:41 |
| BBC says leave has won | BBC says leave has won |
| The BBC has also called it for leave. | The BBC has also called it for leave. |
| They are forecasting a four-point leave victory, 52% to 48%. | They are forecasting a four-point leave victory, 52% to 48%. |
| We're calling it - We're out | We're calling it - We're out |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 4.43am BST | at 4.43am BST |
| 4.39am BST | 4.39am BST |
| 04:39 | 04:39 |
| ITV says leave have won | ITV says leave have won |
| ITV are calling it for leave. | ITV are calling it for leave. |
| ITV CALLS LEAVE WIN#EUref #Brexit | ITV CALLS LEAVE WIN#EUref #Brexit |
| Only Robert Peston, ITV’s political editor, got his tweet wrong. | Only Robert Peston, ITV’s political editor, got his tweet wrong. |
| ITV News calls Remain victory by 52% to 48%. It's done. | ITV News calls Remain victory by 52% to 48%. It's done. |
| (It’s been a long night.) | (It’s been a long night.) |
| 4.38am BST | 4.38am BST |
| 04:38 | 04:38 |
| Matthew Weaver | Matthew Weaver |
| Liam Fox, the former defence secretary and leave campaigner, says David Cameron has a duty to stay on as prime minister to see Britain through the “turbulence” that a vote to leave the EU will bring. | Liam Fox, the former defence secretary and leave campaigner, says David Cameron has a duty to stay on as prime minister to see Britain through the “turbulence” that a vote to leave the EU will bring. |
| Speaking to Sky News he also suggested Ukip should now disband. On the the prime minister’s future Fox said: | Speaking to Sky News he also suggested Ukip should now disband. On the the prime minister’s future Fox said: |
| I think he should stay because there is clearly going to be some short-term turbulence, we have seen that in the markets tonight, although one might ask why they weren’t better prepared for the possibility of a Brexit vote. As the prime minister that gave us the referendum he is best placed to see us through. As prime minister of the coalition he showed that he had the skills to be able keep very disparate groups together. | I think he should stay because there is clearly going to be some short-term turbulence, we have seen that in the markets tonight, although one might ask why they weren’t better prepared for the possibility of a Brexit vote. As the prime minister that gave us the referendum he is best placed to see us through. As prime minister of the coalition he showed that he had the skills to be able keep very disparate groups together. |
| That’s a prime minister who understands the sense of duty of taking the thing through to its conclusion. It would be quite wrong, and against his character, just to say, ‘I lost the referendum therefore I’m going.’ There’s a duty to take that process through to a logical conclusion. I hope that’s what we do. | That’s a prime minister who understands the sense of duty of taking the thing through to its conclusion. It would be quite wrong, and against his character, just to say, ‘I lost the referendum therefore I’m going.’ There’s a duty to take that process through to a logical conclusion. I hope that’s what we do. |
| On Ukip, Fox said: | On Ukip, Fox said: |
| What Ukip does now is up to them. Most rational people would say, ‘They have actually served their purpose. They set out to have a referendum and to get Britain to leave the European Union. That has been fulfilled. What’s the point of Ukip in the future? Every voter should be asking their member of parliament, ‘Will you stand by the verdict of the British people?’ Because that is what a democracy is. | What Ukip does now is up to them. Most rational people would say, ‘They have actually served their purpose. They set out to have a referendum and to get Britain to leave the European Union. That has been fulfilled. What’s the point of Ukip in the future? Every voter should be asking their member of parliament, ‘Will you stand by the verdict of the British people?’ Because that is what a democracy is. |
| 4.33am BST | 4.33am BST |
| 04:33 | 04:33 |
| Leave set to win with 52%, according to latest Sky forecast | Leave set to win with 52%, according to latest Sky forecast |
| Here is the lastest forecast from Michael Thrasher, the psephologist who is doing the numbers for Sky. | Here is the lastest forecast from Michael Thrasher, the psephologist who is doing the numbers for Sky. |
| LAtest MIchael Thrasher forecast model - Leave lead trimmed... 52% Leave - 48% Remain | LAtest MIchael Thrasher forecast model - Leave lead trimmed... 52% Leave - 48% Remain |
| Prof. Michael Thrasher says on Sky News that there is now a 70-80% change of the United Kingdom voting to Leave. | Prof. Michael Thrasher says on Sky News that there is now a 70-80% change of the United Kingdom voting to Leave. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 4.35am BST | at 4.35am BST |
| 4.31am BST | 4.31am BST |
| 04:31 | 04:31 |
| Ben Quinn | Ben Quinn |
| Chuka Umunna, the London Labour MP, hit back at the language being used by Nigel Farage in his victory speech (see 4.16am), telling the BBC: | Chuka Umunna, the London Labour MP, hit back at the language being used by Nigel Farage in his victory speech (see 4.16am), telling the BBC: |
| When [Farage] gets up and says this is a victory for decent, for honest, real ordinary people, that tends to suggest that all the people who have just voted for us to stay don’t fit into that category. | When [Farage] gets up and says this is a victory for decent, for honest, real ordinary people, that tends to suggest that all the people who have just voted for us to stay don’t fit into that category. |
| The challenge for us as policymakers is how do we knit together our society after that division. | The challenge for us as policymakers is how do we knit together our society after that division. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 4.35am BST | at 4.35am BST |