African agriculture needs more of the green stuff, says farming alliance chief

http://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2015/jul/15/african-agriculture-investment-agra-chief-agnes-kalibata

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Investing in African farmers is a moral necessity but also an economic imperative, according to the head of the Alliance for the Green Revolution in Africa (Agra), who fears that recent progress in the continent’s agriculture sector could be eroded without further investment.

As she prepared to travel to Ethiopia to participate in the UN summit on financing for development, Dr Agnes Kalibata said climate change was the biggest challenge to the estimated 530 million Africans who rely on agriculture.

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“[Climate change] is eroding the momentum we had gained in terms of getting farmers to use improved seeds and buy fertilisers,” she said. “If a farmer puts his small savings into seeds and fertilisers and loses the whole crop, that’s the end of his whole career.

“Even in countries that you would think are secure … climate change is real. Farmers are getting less rain, it’s more irregular and it’s beginning to affect their production and undermine the investment they are making.”

Agra was founded in 2006 through a partnership between the Rockefeller Foundation and the Gates Foundation, which also supports the Guardian’s Global development site. The potential of African agriculture remains untapped, according to Agra.

The value of agricultural output could triple from an estimated $280bn (£179bn) today to about $800bn by 2030, according to an Agra policy paper presented in Addis. It also noted that investment in this sector, which employs half to two-thirds of Africa’s population, needs to be substantially increased, especially considering that a threefold rise in the continent’s demand for food is expected by 2050.

Kalibata, who was previously Rwanda’s agriculture minister, said she wanted the Addis summit to acknowledge that “unless we finance agriculture, developing the African continent is going to be very difficult”.

The risks from climate change – including the migration of pests and diseases to new areas and increasingly sparse and irregular rainfall – demand more innovation and can sometimes drive modernisation, Kalibata said. For example, in the Sahel, the drought- and desert-prone region bordering the Sahara desert, farmers are ever more reliant on mechanisation to make the most of the planting season and capture every drop of increasingly scarce rain.

“As a continent, we need to start investing in stronger mechanisms of support systems, of insurance, so that crop loss can be looked at as something that is manageable at the farm level and at the country level,” Kalibata said.

Kalibata said she also hoped to see support for African smallholder farmers at a UN summit on climate change in Paris in December.

Related: The fertile roots of Rwanda's green revolution | Agnes Kalibata and Amit Roy

The theme of climate change-related insurance was discussed elsewhere in Addis, with the presentation of a new report on insurance regulation for sustainable development by Dr Ana Gonzalez Pelaez of the Cambridge Institute for Sustainability Leadership.

The paper argued that appropriate regulatory frameworks were needed for insurance to protect people’s basic rights, and that access to insurance would enable people and countries to better withstand natural hazards, or climate-related disasters. Its authors called for access to insurance, via relevant regulation, to be included as an explicit commitment in the summit’s outcome document.

Kalibata said African farmers faced numerous challenges including poor access to markets, often because of bad roads or patchy transport links. She said an unwillingness on the part of private investors, or commercial banks, to back what is often perceived as a risky sector was also problematic, while investment in new technologies and research into boosting yields needed to be ratcheted higher.

Kalibata said governments and the private sector had roles to play in getting the most out of agriculture in Africa, where so far only about 6% of cultivated land is irrigated, for example. More investment in processing and manufacturing was also needed to cut the continent’s net food import bill, estimated by Agra at $45-50bn a year.

But climate change-related setbacks could make the private sector even warier of investing in agriculture, Kalibata said, adding that institutions and governments would have to be fleet of foot to cope.

“You have to move very quickly in terms of research and technology,” she said. “You have to be ready to move to the next step so that you don’t kill the industry.”

Although some African governments are putting more money into agriculture – according to Agra, agricultural public expenditure grew at an average of 7.4% a year in the decade from 2003 – they have many competing priorities, including health and education, all of which need to be addressed at the same time, said Kalibata.

“Agriculture is a huge public good even though it has the potential to become a private sector good. We just need to step up financing … the next thing is to do the right prioritisation. Where do you get the most bang for your money? Agriculture is one of those places where every penny you put in has high dividends to most of the population.

“We need to find financial tools that will help us all step up the game … prioritising agriculture is not just the moral thing to do. It’s an economic imperative.”

Case study: agriculture in Uganda

Nathan Mununuzi inspects his 1.5-acre orchard of oranges intercropped with passion fruit. Under a scorching, mid-afternoon sun in eastern Uganda’s Iganga district, the yellowish leaves of the passion fruit are folding on themselves.

“One of my biggest limitations is the weather patterns. Promotion of irrigation is what we farmers in Uganda need,” says Mununuzi, looking anxiously at his fruit.

Like many farmers in his country, he depends on rain water for his crops. But it is now more difficult than ever to predict when to plant and harvest.

Mununuzi, who also grows tomatoes, cabbages and other vegetables, says the government has not done enough to help farmers, especially when it comes to funding.

In June, Uganda’s government presented its budget for the 2015-16 financial year. The agricultural sector was allocated about 480bn Ugandan shillings (£92m) – just 2.5% of the entire budget. The previous financial year, agriculture received 3% of the budget.

According to Mununuzi, this lack of state funding has taken its toll on farmers and hampered the growth of the sector.

“Consider the percentage of those in farming and the budget allocated to agriculture. They do not add up,” he says.

In 2003, Uganda signed the Maputo declaration, which tasked member states with dedicating 10% of their budgets to agriculture. Among east African countries, only Rwanda has managed to allocate 6% of its budget to agriculture, while Uganda never went above4%.

Growth in this sector is much slower than other parts of the economy, despite the fact that agriculture employs about 66% of the population.

Every penny you put into agriculture has high dividends to most of the population

While services and industry are projected to grow by 5.7% and 5.5% respectively in 2015-16, it is anticipated that agriculture, forestry and fishing will expand by just 2.3%, according to the budget presentation.

Mildred Birungi, a researcher at the Kampala-based Economic Policy Research Centre, says a lack of funds translates into a dearth of irrigation systems, storage services, affordable finance and extension services. which includes state employees tasked with advising farmers on inputs and yields.

“If farmers cannot receive extension services where they are guided on how to plant and what to do, then they can never develop,” Birungi says.

Uganda is Africa’s second largest coffee exporter, after Ethiopia, although its coffee exports have stagnated at 3 million bags annually. The World Bank has said the agriculture sector is unlikely to achieve high rates of growth because of limited use of inputs, such as fertilisers, lack of irrigation systems and low levels of mechanisation.

Just 13% of Ugandan farmers buy improved seeds from formal markets, according to World Bank researcher James Joughin. Most farmers use seeds they have saved from the previous season, and some trade seeds with neighbours.

Joughin said that to improve the sector “there must be an improvement in land and labor productivity, most urgently in yields” which require investment in research and extension services.

The government is aware of these challenges and has identified seven strategic interventions to boost the sector: the provision of agricultural inputs to farmers; the promotion of value addition for strategic commodities; the funding of research to increase productivity and disease resistance varieties; control of pests and diseases; construction of valley tanks and dams for livestock and crop irrigation; and the provision of affordable long-term financing for production and agro-processing.

“The government recognises the pivotal role of the agricultural sector in economic growth and development,” the finance minister Matia Kasaija said on budget day. “The role of agriculture in the livelihood of most Ugandans cannot be overemphasised.” Alon Mwesigwa