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Greek debt crisis: referendum to go ahead as court rejects appeal Greek debt crisis: referendum to go ahead as court rejects appeal
(30 days later)
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Round-up of Friday's eventsRound-up of Friday's events
Greece’s top court has overruled an appeal from two Greek citizens against the decision to hold a referendum on Greece’s latest bailout package, clearing the vote to go ahead on Sunday.Greece’s top court has overruled an appeal from two Greek citizens against the decision to hold a referendum on Greece’s latest bailout package, clearing the vote to go ahead on Sunday.
Tens of thousands of people have gathered in Athens for two rallies, held by the yes and no camps. Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras addressed the latter, urging his supporters to express a “proud no to ultimatums and those who terrorise you”. He then tweeted that Greece will be sending a “message of democracy and dignity to Europe and the world”. Rallies showing solidarity with Greece’s anti-austerity movement are also being held in other European countries, including several German cities and Rome.Tens of thousands of people have gathered in Athens for two rallies, held by the yes and no camps. Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras addressed the latter, urging his supporters to express a “proud no to ultimatums and those who terrorise you”. He then tweeted that Greece will be sending a “message of democracy and dignity to Europe and the world”. Rallies showing solidarity with Greece’s anti-austerity movement are also being held in other European countries, including several German cities and Rome.
Earlier on Friday, Tsipras said Thursday’s IMF report, which called for debt relief and a 20-year grace period, vindicated the Greek government. According to reports, the US pushed for the report to be published, against European resistance.Earlier on Friday, Tsipras said Thursday’s IMF report, which called for debt relief and a 20-year grace period, vindicated the Greek government. According to reports, the US pushed for the report to be published, against European resistance.
European council president Donald Tusk has sought to calm the waters between Greece and its creditors by saying that Sunday’s referendum in Greece is not a vote on euro membership.European council president Donald Tusk has sought to calm the waters between Greece and its creditors by saying that Sunday’s referendum in Greece is not a vote on euro membership.
It emerged that Greek banks have a buffer of €1bn – enough cash to last them until Monday, when the European Central Bank will decide whether to increase loans to Greek banks.It emerged that Greek banks have a buffer of €1bn – enough cash to last them until Monday, when the European Central Bank will decide whether to increase loans to Greek banks.
The latest polling, just two days before the vote, puts the two camps almost neck and neck - “too close to call”, according to Ipsos.The latest polling, just two days before the vote, puts the two camps almost neck and neck - “too close to call”, according to Ipsos.
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An Ipsos poll just released shows the referendum on a knife-edge. It has yes on 44% and no one point behind on 43%, with 12% still undecided.An Ipsos poll just released shows the referendum on a knife-edge. It has yes on 44% and no one point behind on 43%, with 12% still undecided.
The number of undecided respondents underscores the significant potential for volatility, Ipsos said, describing the referendum as “too close to call”.The number of undecided respondents underscores the significant potential for volatility, Ipsos said, describing the referendum as “too close to call”.
The poll is the fifth to be released on Friday, with the fourth also giving a narrow lead to the yes camp.The poll is the fifth to be released on Friday, with the fourth also giving a narrow lead to the yes camp.
It also shows that, regardless of where they place their own support, more Greeks believe that the yes side will win than think victory will be handed to the no camp.It also shows that, regardless of where they place their own support, more Greeks believe that the yes side will win than think victory will be handed to the no camp.
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A look at #Greferendum polls http://t.co/ub1yO4GnY3 - if vote interpreted as about austerity or future in eurozone likely to decide outcomeA look at #Greferendum polls http://t.co/ub1yO4GnY3 - if vote interpreted as about austerity or future in eurozone likely to decide outcome
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There are suggestions that the US pushed for the IMF report to be published this week, overcoming opposition from Europe. Here’s the Reuters exclusive:There are suggestions that the US pushed for the IMF report to be published this week, overcoming opposition from Europe. Here’s the Reuters exclusive:
Eurozone countries tried in vain to stop the IMF publishing a gloomy analysis of Greece’s debt burden which the leftist government says vindicates its call to voters to reject bailout terms, sources familiar with the situation said on Friday.Eurozone countries tried in vain to stop the IMF publishing a gloomy analysis of Greece’s debt burden which the leftist government says vindicates its call to voters to reject bailout terms, sources familiar with the situation said on Friday.
The document released in Washington on Thursday said Greece’s public finances will not be sustainable without substantial debt relief, possibly including write-offs by European partners of loans guaranteed by taxpayers. It also said Greece will need at least €50bn in additional aid over the next three years to keep itself afloat.The document released in Washington on Thursday said Greece’s public finances will not be sustainable without substantial debt relief, possibly including write-offs by European partners of loans guaranteed by taxpayers. It also said Greece will need at least €50bn in additional aid over the next three years to keep itself afloat.
Publication of the draft Debt Sustainability Analysis laid bare a dispute between Brussels and the Washington-based global lender that has been simmering behind closed doors for months.Publication of the draft Debt Sustainability Analysis laid bare a dispute between Brussels and the Washington-based global lender that has been simmering behind closed doors for months.
Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras cited the report in a televised appeal to voters on Friday to say ‘No’ to the proposed austerity terms, which have anyway expired since talks broke down and Athens defaulted on an IMF loan this week.Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras cited the report in a televised appeal to voters on Friday to say ‘No’ to the proposed austerity terms, which have anyway expired since talks broke down and Athens defaulted on an IMF loan this week.
It was not clear whether an arcane IMF document would influence a cliffhanger poll in which Greece’s future in the euro zone is at stake with banks closed, cash withdrawals rationed and commerce seizing up.It was not clear whether an arcane IMF document would influence a cliffhanger poll in which Greece’s future in the euro zone is at stake with banks closed, cash withdrawals rationed and commerce seizing up.
“Yesterday an event of major political importance happened,” Tsipras said. “The IMF published a report on Greece’s economy which is a great vindication for the Greek government as it confirms the obvious - that Greek debt is not sustainable.”“Yesterday an event of major political importance happened,” Tsipras said. “The IMF published a report on Greece’s economy which is a great vindication for the Greek government as it confirms the obvious - that Greek debt is not sustainable.”
At a meeting on the International Monetary Fund’s board on Wednesday, European members questioned the timing of the report which IMF management proposed at short notice releasing three days before Sunday’s crucial referendum that may determine the country’s future in the euro zone, the sources said.At a meeting on the International Monetary Fund’s board on Wednesday, European members questioned the timing of the report which IMF management proposed at short notice releasing three days before Sunday’s crucial referendum that may determine the country’s future in the euro zone, the sources said.
There was no vote but the Europeans were heavily outnumbered and the United States, the strongest voice in the IMF, was in favor of publication, the sources said.There was no vote but the Europeans were heavily outnumbered and the United States, the strongest voice in the IMF, was in favor of publication, the sources said.
The Europeans were also concerned that the report could distract attention from a view they share with the IMF that the Tsipras government, in the five months since it was elected, has wrecked a fragile economy that was just starting to recover.The Europeans were also concerned that the report could distract attention from a view they share with the IMF that the Tsipras government, in the five months since it was elected, has wrecked a fragile economy that was just starting to recover.
“It wasn’t an easy decision,” an IMF source involved in the debate over publication said. “We are not living in an ivory tower here. But the EU has to understand that not everything can be decided based on their own imperatives.”“It wasn’t an easy decision,” an IMF source involved in the debate over publication said. “We are not living in an ivory tower here. But the EU has to understand that not everything can be decided based on their own imperatives.”
The board had considered all arguments, including the risk that the document would be politicized, but the prevailing view was that all the evidence and figures should be laid out transparently before the referendum.The board had considered all arguments, including the risk that the document would be politicized, but the prevailing view was that all the evidence and figures should be laid out transparently before the referendum.
“Facts are stubborn. You can’t hide the facts because they may be exploited,” the IMF source said.“Facts are stubborn. You can’t hide the facts because they may be exploited,” the IMF source said.
IMF spokeswoman Angela Gaviria declined to comment on this report.IMF spokeswoman Angela Gaviria declined to comment on this report.
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There have been many instances over the course of history that the Greek people have rejected ultimatums. #Syntagma #Greferendum #OXIThere have been many instances over the course of history that the Greek people have rejected ultimatums. #Syntagma #Greferendum #OXI
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Not taking much risk on this #Greferendum prediction: on Sunday Athens will vote #oxi. The result depends on the rest of #GreeceNot taking much risk on this #Greferendum prediction: on Sunday Athens will vote #oxi. The result depends on the rest of #Greece
Unemployment in Greece is 25.5%. Youth unemployment rate is 50%. EU and IMF are arguing on how to measure debt sustainability. #GreferendumUnemployment in Greece is 25.5%. Youth unemployment rate is 50%. EU and IMF are arguing on how to measure debt sustainability. #Greferendum
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Helena Smith says:Helena Smith says:
The mayor of Athens George Kaminis has addressed the yes rally. He has delivered a withering critique of the government accusing it of lies and obsfucation. “They say they will reach a deal in 48 hours when no one is talking to them,” he has just told the crowd.The mayor of Athens George Kaminis has addressed the yes rally. He has delivered a withering critique of the government accusing it of lies and obsfucation. “They say they will reach a deal in 48 hours when no one is talking to them,” he has just told the crowd.
Over at the no rally, prime minister Alexis Tsipras addressed ecstatic supporters. He kicked off his speech saying:Over at the no rally, prime minister Alexis Tsipras addressed ecstatic supporters. He kicked off his speech saying:
“Today we are not protesting, today we are celebrating democracy, today we are celebrating the victory of democracy, whatever the result is on Monday. Today all of Europe has its eyes on you, the Greek people and on the three million impoverished Greeks. The whole planet has its eyes turned on Syntagma square in the place where democracy was born.”“Today we are not protesting, today we are celebrating democracy, today we are celebrating the victory of democracy, whatever the result is on Monday. Today all of Europe has its eyes on you, the Greek people and on the three million impoverished Greeks. The whole planet has its eyes turned on Syntagma square in the place where democracy was born.”
The leftist firebrand then turned his fire on creditors.The leftist firebrand then turned his fire on creditors.
“No one has the right to threaten to divide Europe,” he told the crowd. “We will tell them noon Sunday.”“No one has the right to threaten to divide Europe,” he told the crowd. “We will tell them noon Sunday.”
Tellingly the prime minister’s speech was not relayed in its entirety by television channels. The media has not been shy about showing its political colours: they have avidly thrown their weight behind the yes vote.Tellingly the prime minister’s speech was not relayed in its entirety by television channels. The media has not been shy about showing its political colours: they have avidly thrown their weight behind the yes vote.
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On Sunday, we'll be sending a message of #democracy and dignity to Europe and the world. #Greece #Syntagma #Greferendum #OXI #dimopsifismaOn Sunday, we'll be sending a message of #democracy and dignity to Europe and the world. #Greece #Syntagma #Greferendum #OXI #dimopsifisma
#Tsipras: whatever happens we're the winners #Greece#Tsipras: whatever happens we're the winners #Greece
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He urged voters to express a “proud ‘No’ to ultimatums and those who terrorise you.”He urged voters to express a “proud ‘No’ to ultimatums and those who terrorise you.”
That ends his short speech - and the concert restarts.That ends his short speech - and the concert restarts.
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The Greek prime minister has told supporters that whatever happens over the weekend, this is a celebration of democracy. He said Greeks are determined to take matters into their own hands.The Greek prime minister has told supporters that whatever happens over the weekend, this is a celebration of democracy. He said Greeks are determined to take matters into their own hands.
Sunday’s referendum is about staying in Europe, and deciding to live with dignity in Europe, he said.Sunday’s referendum is about staying in Europe, and deciding to live with dignity in Europe, he said.
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Tsipras, dressed in a white shirt, has just walked up on stage and is waving to the crowd.Tsipras, dressed in a white shirt, has just walked up on stage and is waving to the crowd.
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Helena SmithHelena Smith
Helena Smith in Athens writes:Helena Smith in Athens writes:
Sunday’s referendum has, almost overnight, turned into a fight for political survival for Syriza. The anti-austerity movement that took Europe by storm, when it was swept into power on the back of popular discontent in January, now faces an existential battle. “In Europe they want to squelch us because they only want one policy, the doctrine of neo-liberalism, to succeed,” the administrative reform minister Giorgos Katrougalos said earlier today.Sunday’s referendum has, almost overnight, turned into a fight for political survival for Syriza. The anti-austerity movement that took Europe by storm, when it was swept into power on the back of popular discontent in January, now faces an existential battle. “In Europe they want to squelch us because they only want one policy, the doctrine of neo-liberalism, to succeed,” the administrative reform minister Giorgos Katrougalos said earlier today.
There is growing acceptance that prime minister Alexis Tsipras’ high-stakes gamble calling the referendum may well backfire. The “yes” vote has swelled in recent days as big name political and cultural figures have come out in support. If the outcome on Sunday is a massive turnout in support for the “yes” vote, it will augur political developments with Tsipras and his radical left Syriza party possibly even having to step down on Monday. If the vote is “no,” as the government has urged, Athens’ relationship will break down further. “They have made it clear Schauble, Merkel, and others that they don’t want to deal with us,” one minister told me requesting anonymity. “It is very difficult to say if we will be here on Monday. A lot is in Tsipras’ hands. Our biggest concern, now, is the division we are seeing [between the two camps] and how we are going to handle it.”There is growing acceptance that prime minister Alexis Tsipras’ high-stakes gamble calling the referendum may well backfire. The “yes” vote has swelled in recent days as big name political and cultural figures have come out in support. If the outcome on Sunday is a massive turnout in support for the “yes” vote, it will augur political developments with Tsipras and his radical left Syriza party possibly even having to step down on Monday. If the vote is “no,” as the government has urged, Athens’ relationship will break down further. “They have made it clear Schauble, Merkel, and others that they don’t want to deal with us,” one minister told me requesting anonymity. “It is very difficult to say if we will be here on Monday. A lot is in Tsipras’ hands. Our biggest concern, now, is the division we are seeing [between the two camps] and how we are going to handle it.”
Speculation was rampant on Friday that in the event of a resounding ‘yes’ a national unity government might have to be formed after the referendum possibly led by technocrats or figures outside the political arena. Athens’ mayor George Kaminis, a professor of constitutional law and Yannis Boutaris, the mayor of Thessakoniki, are possibilities.Speculation was rampant on Friday that in the event of a resounding ‘yes’ a national unity government might have to be formed after the referendum possibly led by technocrats or figures outside the political arena. Athens’ mayor George Kaminis, a professor of constitutional law and Yannis Boutaris, the mayor of Thessakoniki, are possibilities.
“It is very difficult to see a better agreement [emerging with creditors] in the event of a ‘no’ vote,” said the political commentator Alexis Papahelas. “A ‘yes’ vote is going to be difficult and the Europeans have made a lot of mistakes but it will at least keep us at the core of Europe.”“It is very difficult to see a better agreement [emerging with creditors] in the event of a ‘no’ vote,” said the political commentator Alexis Papahelas. “A ‘yes’ vote is going to be difficult and the Europeans have made a lot of mistakes but it will at least keep us at the core of Europe.”
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#Greece: Tsipras arrives to No demo in Athens. https://t.co/xAyeNTmhpc#Greece: Tsipras arrives to No demo in Athens. https://t.co/xAyeNTmhpc
I've stood on this roof a few times over the years - and this is as big a crowd as I can remember. #oxi #greece pic.twitter.com/1vzUlEd2FHI've stood on this roof a few times over the years - and this is as big a crowd as I can remember. #oxi #greece pic.twitter.com/1vzUlEd2FH
These are people still inside the Metro station waiting to get out in the streets. Such crowded! pic.twitter.com/shWD5PbnzOThese are people still inside the Metro station waiting to get out in the streets. Such crowded! pic.twitter.com/shWD5PbnzO
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The ‘No’ rally has turned into a music festival, punctuated by cries of ‘Ochi’. Everyone is singing along now.The ‘No’ rally has turned into a music festival, punctuated by cries of ‘Ochi’. Everyone is singing along now.
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Jon Henley
More from Jon Henley in Athens:
Most people stressed they were not voting against the EU, or for a Grexit: “Just against this EU, said Malvina, 27, an engineering student. “We want the right Europe. One where all countries are equal, and treated with respect. I hope a No vote will give Tsipras a stronger position in the negotiations – that’s all.”
But if Greece did end up quitting, said Christos Mellios, who owns a small plastics factory, “maybe it wouldn’t be such a bad thing. It would be good for all of Europe to change. I don’t think anyone actually likes this Europe, what Europe has become.”
His partner, Mania Epithimiades, said she had had “enough, five years of austerity, it’s enough. We’d like to have our dignity back, our pride and our freedom. And we’re not afraid.”
Nick, a civil servant, and his partner Christina, doing a masters degree in informatics, also said their vote was intended to strengthen the leftist prime minister’s hand at whatever negotiations with Greece’s creditors follow the referendum. “They have to understand we won’t get out of this unless we get some debt relief,” said Nick. “And that we have the right to decide for ourselves, implement a different economic policy. They can’t just dictate the way we run our country.”
Christina said her No vote would be “against the way Europe – some people, at the top of Europe – has handled this whole story. We hope our actions will set an example for the whole of Europe.
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There is some union support in Germany for the Greek anti-austerity camp:
@JuliaKollewe German labor union for educators&academics in Hessen (Frankfurt's state) issue strong stmt 4 Greece NO https://t.co/4Cm1j9AKg6
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Tsipras is making his way through the crowd at the ‘No’ rally.
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The Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras has just emerged from his office - smiling in white shirt and slacks - and is about to walk to Syntagma (a ten-minute stroll) to address the crowd, Helena Smith reports.
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Police are estimating both crowds at around 20,000 each, reports John Hooper from Athens.
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The comments come from an interview with Politico. You can read the interview in full here. The European Council president sought to lower the temperature on the Greek crisis, calling on Athens and its creditors to stop the mutual “blame game,” work to “rebuild trust” and quickly return to the negotiating table after Sunday’s referendum.
The main aim for us is to keep the eurozone united.
Tusk said the EU will work with Athens regardless of Sunday’s outcome, though
if the Greeks vote Yes, I think it’s a chance to open a new chapter in negotiations, perhaps more promising than before.”
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More from Donald Tusk, courtesy of Reuters. Striking a conciliatory note, the European Council president said if Greeks vote ‘No’ to the bailout package there will be less room for negotiations but the aim remains to keep the eurozone united.
He added:
Maybe we will have to get used to living with a country as a member of the eurozone in bankruptcy.
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Jon Henley
Jon Henley has spoken to protesters at the ‘No’ rally in Athens.
“I’m here to shout No at the top of my voice,” said Panos Stathopoulos, a recently retired dentist. “No to austerity, no to this European Union that seems to have no sentiment, nothing.”
Sporting a red-and-white OXI sticker, Stathopoulos said after five years of austerity: “They know the situation very well, and still they keep trying to impose these measures on the weakest of us – I’m sorry for the founding fathers of the EU, I don’t think they ever envisaged a Europe like this.”
Friends and colleagues Eri, Constantina and Marta – all psychologists – said they had come because “we want to have hope.” They would vote No on Sunday because “we want to be able to express our own opinions, and to decide for ourselves, in our own country,” said Eri.“We want to have hope hope for ourselves, for our children and for our country. At the moment, we decide nothing. We suffer what others decide for us. They have to realise that can’t be right.”
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News flash on Reuters: Donald Tusk, president of the European Council, says the Greek referendum is NOT a vote on whether the country should stay in the euro.
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Helena Smith
Meanwhile, crowds supporting the ‘No’ campaign are also swelling in Syntagama square, reports Helena Smith.
SKAI TV is showing demonstrators packed into the square and spilling out into surrounding streets. The cries of “Oxi” [No in Greek] have wafted from loud speakers all the way into Plaka, Athens’ old town, from where I write these lines.
Anticipation is mounting ahead of prime minister Alexis Tsipras addressing the crowd at 9pm. Many are holding placards denouncing the “barbaric austerity” imposed on Greece at the behest of international creditors at the EU, ECB and IMF for the past five years. Some of the country’s most popular singers, musicians, composers and actors are in attendance and will host a concert after the rally in what the leftist-led government has defiantly called a ‘festival of the people.’
Tonight’s ‘yes’ and ‘no’ rallies depict in very dramatic form the dangerous divide now taking hold of Greece – between those who favour reform and see themselves as pro-European, pro-western and pro-modernisation and those who say the country can no longer bear any more of the self-defeating austerity that has brought so many to their knees.