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Indian economy set to decelerate | |
(10 minutes later) | |
India expects its economy to grow by 8.7% in the financial year ending March, the slowest rate of expansion in three years. | India expects its economy to grow by 8.7% in the financial year ending March, the slowest rate of expansion in three years. |
Finance minister Palaniappan Chidambaram said the lower-than -expected growth was due to a slowdown in agriculture. | Finance minister Palaniappan Chidambaram said the lower-than -expected growth was due to a slowdown in agriculture. |
Growth remains strong in the country's services, construction and communications sectors. | Growth remains strong in the country's services, construction and communications sectors. |
India's economy expanded by 9.6% in the year ended March 2007. | India's economy expanded by 9.6% in the year ended March 2007. |
Despite the forecast of slower growth, India is still the world's fastest growing major economy after China. | |
The central statistical organisation figures are lower than what I had anticipated. We are disappointed but we are not despondent, Indian Finance Minister Palaniappan Chidambaram | |
But both China and India are expected to slow slightly in the coming year as a severe US downturn saps demand for exports. | |
High Indian interest rates have led to a stronger currency that could make the country's exports more expensive on world markets. | |
But spending by the country's emerging middle class of 50 million - equal to the combined population of Singapore, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Australia - should help sustain growth. | |
Agriculture lags | Agriculture lags |
Agriculture, which provides livelihoods for some 70% of India's population of more than 1.1 billion, is forecast to grow by 2.6% in the year to end March, down from 3.8% in the previous financial year, the government's statistics bureau said. | |
Industrial growth was also expected to slow slightly. | Industrial growth was also expected to slow slightly. |
By contrast, activity in services, trade, hotels, transport and communications industries was expected to expand by 12.1%. | By contrast, activity in services, trade, hotels, transport and communications industries was expected to expand by 12.1%. |
India has become a centre for US and UK firms that want to outsource services ranging from analysing equity markets to handling customer queries. | |
"I am reasonably confident that figures may be revised and economy will grow at close to 9%," Mr Chidambaram said. | "I am reasonably confident that figures may be revised and economy will grow at close to 9%," Mr Chidambaram said. |
"The central statistical organisation figures are lower than what I had anticipated. We are disappointed but we are not despondent," he added. | "The central statistical organisation figures are lower than what I had anticipated. We are disappointed but we are not despondent," he added. |
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