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Falling iron ore prices 'to wipe A$25bn off Australia revenues' | Falling iron ore prices 'to wipe A$25bn off Australia revenues' |
(5 minutes later) | |
Australia expects the plunging price of iron ore - its biggest export - to reduce revenue forecasts by A$25bn (£13bn; $19bn) over the next four years, Treasurer Joe Hockey has said. | Australia expects the plunging price of iron ore - its biggest export - to reduce revenue forecasts by A$25bn (£13bn; $19bn) over the next four years, Treasurer Joe Hockey has said. |
He told the Australian Financial Review (AFR) that his May budget would be based on the anticipated price of iron ore falling further, to $35 a tonne. | He told the Australian Financial Review (AFR) that his May budget would be based on the anticipated price of iron ore falling further, to $35 a tonne. |
Iron ore is currently trading at $47 a tonne - down from $120 a tonne in 2013. | Iron ore is currently trading at $47 a tonne - down from $120 a tonne in 2013. |
The drop has been blamed partly on falling demand in China. | The drop has been blamed partly on falling demand in China. |
The estimated price of $35 a tonne is even lower than the conservative forecast from December's budget update, which assumed prices would fall to $60 a tonne. | The estimated price of $35 a tonne is even lower than the conservative forecast from December's budget update, which assumed prices would fall to $60 a tonne. |
"There seems to be no floor, we are contemplating as low as $35 a tonne," Mr Hockey told the AFR. | "There seems to be no floor, we are contemplating as low as $35 a tonne," Mr Hockey told the AFR. |
He said every fall of $10 in the price of the ore cost the Australian economy A$2.5bn in revenue. | He said every fall of $10 in the price of the ore cost the Australian economy A$2.5bn in revenue. |
Mr Hockey is due to present his budget on 12 May. | Mr Hockey is due to present his budget on 12 May. |
He told the AFR the budget would contain "a credible path back to surplus" but refused to say when a surplus may be achieved. | He told the AFR the budget would contain "a credible path back to surplus" but refused to say when a surplus may be achieved. |
He also could not guarantee that the deficit may not worsen again. | He also could not guarantee that the deficit may not worsen again. |
He said the government would have to continue pursuing structural savings, which have included unpopular cuts to health and welfare budgets. | He said the government would have to continue pursuing structural savings, which have included unpopular cuts to health and welfare budgets. |
In a separate interview with ABC News Breakfast on Monday, Mr Hockey said there was "no doubt" iron ore prices had a big impact on the budget. | |
But, he said, the government would not impose new taxes to compensate for the lost revenue. | |
The drop in the value of iron ore has been linked to a slowdown in China, as well as to steady output from Chinese producers who are competing with major Australian mining companies. |
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