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Rouble hits new all-time low despite rate hike Rouble hits new all-time low despite rate hike
(35 minutes later)
The benchmark price of oil has fallen below $60 a barrel for the first time since July 2009.The benchmark price of oil has fallen below $60 a barrel for the first time since July 2009.
Oil prices have almost halved since June, but the producer cartel Opec is insisting it will not cut output to reduce the glut in supply.Oil prices have almost halved since June, but the producer cartel Opec is insisting it will not cut output to reduce the glut in supply.
The cost of a barrel of Brent crude fell 2.15% to $59.93 on Tuesday morning, its lowest point since July 2009. Nymex US crude fell through the $60 floor on Monday, with further downward momentum on Tuesday morning taking it down 1.8% to $54.95.The cost of a barrel of Brent crude fell 2.15% to $59.93 on Tuesday morning, its lowest point since July 2009. Nymex US crude fell through the $60 floor on Monday, with further downward momentum on Tuesday morning taking it down 1.8% to $54.95.
Prices softened after data showed that China’s factory sector shrank for the first time in seven months in December, further dampening demand for oil. Prices softened after data showed that China’s factory sector had shrunk for the first time in seven months in December, further dampening demand for oil.
On Monday, Opec officials reiterated their opposition to cutting production. Abdalla el-Badri, the Opec secretary-general, said the group could manage an oil price slump without amending production. Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazroui, oil minister of the United Arab Emirates, an Opec member, said there was no need for an emergency meeting of the cartel to help support prices. On Monday, Opec officials reiterated their opposition to cutting production. Abdalla el-Badri, the Opec secretary general, said the group could manage an oil price slump without amending production. Suhail bin Mohammed al-Mazroui, oil minister of the United Arab Emirates, an Opec member, said there was no need for an emergency meeting of the cartel to help support prices.
The falling price of oil intensifies the pressure on the Russian authorities, which last night raised interest rates by 6.5 basis points to 17% in the early hours of the morning in a dramatic attempt to shore up the rouble, which has halved in value against the dollar since the summer. The falling price of oil intensifies the pressure on the Russian authorities, which raised interest rates by 6.5 percentage points to 17% in the early hours of Tuesday morning in a dramatic attempt to shore up the rouble, which has halved in value against the dollar since the summer.
Russia relies on oil revenues to pay for a little more than half of its state spending and needs oil to be at $100 a barrel to balance the budget.Russia relies on oil revenues to pay for a little more than half of its state spending and needs oil to be at $100 a barrel to balance the budget.
The central bank said that the economy would contract by up to 4.7% in 2015 if the oil price remains at $60 for 12 months. The central bank said the economy would contract by up to 4.7% in 2015 if the oil price remained at $60 for 12 months.
Although the rouble rallied 9% against the dollar in early trading, these gains quickly unwound on Tuesday morning, with the Russian currency falling into negative territory, plunging to a new all-time low of 66 per US dollar.Although the rouble rallied 9% against the dollar in early trading, these gains quickly unwound on Tuesday morning, with the Russian currency falling into negative territory, plunging to a new all-time low of 66 per US dollar.
Timothy Ash at Standard Bank said the Russian authorities had “a full-blown rouble crisis on their hands”, akin to the 1998 financial crisis when the currency collapsed plunging the country into economic meltdown. Timothy Ash at Standard Bank said the Russian authorities had “a full-blown rouble crisis on their hands”, akin to the 1998 financial crisis when the currency collapsed, plunging the country into economic meltdown.