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Bank warns on mortgage defaults | |
(about 1 hour later) | |
The number of households defaulting on their mortgage payments is expected to rise over the next three months, the Bank of England has warned. | |
Its gloomy assessment comes as it says the global credit crunch is likely to worsen into 2008, as banks become less willing to lend out funds. | |
The Bank's comments came as it said homes and firms found it harder to borrow funds towards the end of 2007. | |
Its findings may raise hopes of a further cut in interest rates. | |
The Bank's comments came in its latest quarterly Credit Conditions Survey, which covers the last three months of 2007. | |
It said banks were now less willing to lend because of the higher cost and reduced availability of credit. | |
Growth warning | Growth warning |
Both secured and unsecured household lending fell "due to lenders reducing their risk appetite", the Bank said. | |
The credit crunch should push GDP growth to 2% or lower this year and next Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics | The credit crunch should push GDP growth to 2% or lower this year and next Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics |
It added that "recent financial market turbulence as well as expected changes in the cost and availability of funds, would point to lower credit supply". | |
The Bank last cut rates at the start of December, reducing them to 5.5% from 5.75%. | The Bank last cut rates at the start of December, reducing them to 5.5% from 5.75%. |
This was the Bank's first rate cut since August 2005, with its nine-member rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee unanimous in their decision. | This was the Bank's first rate cut since August 2005, with its nine-member rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee unanimous in their decision. |
Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics, said the findings of the survey indicated that both consumer spending and business investment were now likely to suffer, hitting the UK economy. | Vicky Redwood, UK economist at Capital Economics, said the findings of the survey indicated that both consumer spending and business investment were now likely to suffer, hitting the UK economy. |
"Together with the delayed impact of previous rate hikes and the global slowdown, the credit crunch should push GDP growth to 2% or lower this year and next," she said. | "Together with the delayed impact of previous rate hikes and the global slowdown, the credit crunch should push GDP growth to 2% or lower this year and next," she said. |
"An undoubtedly weak survey, albeit expected," added George Buckley, chief UK economist at Deutsche Bank. |