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Oil price at record $100 a barrel | Oil price at record $100 a barrel |
(20 minutes later) | |
Oil has traded at $100 a barrel for the first time. | Oil has traded at $100 a barrel for the first time. |
Violence in Nigeria, Algeria and Pakistan, the weak US dollar and the threat of cold weather have all raised prices after the new year break. | |
Light sweet crude rose $4.02 to $100 a barrel in New York, prompting a drop in shares and a surge in gold prices. | |
There are concerns that the high price of oil will stoke inflation at a time when many central banks are trying to cut interest rates to stimulate growth. | |
US shares had already been hit on Wednesday by figures showing that the manufacturing sector was contracting. | |
After oil broke the $100 barrel they fell further, with the Dow Jones trading 215.1 points, or 1.6%, lower at 13,049.73. | |
I would imagine the speculators are the biggest drivers today Phil Flynn, Alaron Trading Oil industry in figures | |
But some analysts played down the relevance of passing the $100 mark. | But some analysts played down the relevance of passing the $100 mark. |
"The entire focus on $100 oil is frivolous," said Tim Evans at Citigroup Futures Research in New York. | "The entire focus on $100 oil is frivolous," said Tim Evans at Citigroup Futures Research in New York. |
"It is not a magic number. It doesn't suddenly make this a fundamentally strong market." | "It is not a magic number. It doesn't suddenly make this a fundamentally strong market." |
Trading volumes were about half of their usual levels as traders returned from their new year breaks, which may have exaggerated the effect of speculative transactions, analysts said. | |
"I would imagine the speculators are the biggest drivers today," said Phil Flynn from Alaron Trading in Chicago. | "I would imagine the speculators are the biggest drivers today," said Phil Flynn from Alaron Trading in Chicago. |
The oil-producers' cartel Opec has also blamed speculators for the high price of crude and said that there is plenty of the fuel in the market to meet demand. | The oil-producers' cartel Opec has also blamed speculators for the high price of crude and said that there is plenty of the fuel in the market to meet demand. |
Moving on up? | |
But there are those who believe that oil prices can rise significantly higher. | |
While daily price rises have been blamed on unrest in oil-supplying countries such as Nigeria, a underlying and significant factor has been an increase in demand from China and India. | |
"$100 is just the beginning," said Zachary Oxman, senior trader at Wisdom Financial in California. | |
"This is kicking off what you are going to see this year. There will be huge moves up in gold and huge moves up in crude." |