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Ebola death toll rises to 4,447, WHO estimates Ebola crisis: Outbreak death toll rises to 4,447 says WHO
(about 2 hours later)
The death toll from the Ebola virus outbreak has risen to 4,447, with most victims in West Africa, the World Health Organization (WHO) estimates. The death toll from the Ebola virus outbreak has risen to 4,447, with the large majority of victims in West Africa, the World Health Organization (WHO) says.
There could be up to 10,000 new cases per week within two months if global efforts are not stepped up, WHO official Bruce Aylward warned. WHO assistant director-general Bruce Aylward also said there could be up to 10,000 new cases a week within two months if efforts were not stepped up,
But the rate of new cases of infection at some of the "epicentre" areas has slowed down, he added. But the rate of new infections in some areas has slowed down, he added.
Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea have been hardest hit by the outbreak.Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea have been hardest hit by the outbreak.
There have been 8,914 cases overall, including the fatal cases. There have been 8,914 cases overall, including the fatal cases, and the WHO says it expects this number to top 9,000 by the end of the week.
The WHO says it expects this number to top 9,000 by the end of the week. The WHO estimates its figures by taking the numbers of confirmed cases and multiplying them - from Guinea by 1.5, from Sierra Leone by 2 and from Liberia by 2.5 - to account for under-reporting.
The WHO estimates its figures by taking the numbers of confirmed cases and multiplying them - from Guinea by 1.5, from Sierra Leone by 2 and from Liberia by 2.5 - to account for underreporting. In other developments:
'No zero' Ebola patients treated outside West Africa*
Mr Aylward told reporters in Geneva that the WHO was concerned to see the virus continue to spread in the capitals of the three worst-affected countries. *In all cases but two, first in Madrid and later in Dallas, the patient was infected with Ebola while in West Africa.
He said the death rate in the current Ebola outbreak was 70%, describing it as a "high mortality disease". How not to catch Ebola:
He said 95% of cases were still limited to areas in the "historic epicentre" of the outbreak, where the rate of new infections appeared to be slowing. Why Ebola is so dangerous
How Ebola attacks
Ebola: Mapping the outbreak
Still spreading
Mr Aylward told reporters in Geneva that the WHO, which is the UN's health agency, was concerned to see the virus was still spreading in the capitals of the three worst-affected countries.
He said the death rate in the current Ebola outbreak was 70%, describing it as a "high-mortality disease".
He said 95% of cases were limited to areas in the "historic epicentre" of the outbreak, where the rate of new infections appeared to be slowing.
However, he stressed that it would be too early to read this as success.However, he stressed that it would be too early to read this as success.
The latest WHO projections suggested that there could be between 5,000 and 10,000 cases a week by December. The latest WHO projections suggested there could be between 5,000 and 10,000 cases a week in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone by December.
"It could be higher, it could be lower but it's going to be in that ball park," he said."It could be higher, it could be lower but it's going to be in that ball park," he said.
"In certain areas we're seeing disease coming down but that doesn't mean they're going to go to zero." "In certain areas we're seeing disease coming down, but that doesn't mean they're going to go to zero."
Elsewhere: Countries neighbouring the three worst-affected states are "at risk" and it is important for them to prepare for the possibility of Ebola cases, the WHO said.
Ebola deaths: Confirmed, probable and suspected
Source: WHO
Note: figures have occasionally been revised down as suspected or probable cases are found to be unrelated to Ebola. They do not include one death in the US recorded on 8 October.