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England failure 'may hit economy' England failure 'may hit economy'
(about 5 hours later)
Sports businesses are warning that England's failure to qualify for the Euro 2008 football tournament will hurt their profits next year.Sports businesses are warning that England's failure to qualify for the Euro 2008 football tournament will hurt their profits next year.
England's kit manufacturer Umbro, and the retailer Sports Direct both issued statements warning of the impact of the team's loss to Croatia on Wednesday.England's kit manufacturer Umbro, and the retailer Sports Direct both issued statements warning of the impact of the team's loss to Croatia on Wednesday.
The defeat may also have a wider impact on the economy, with pubs, travel firms and bookmakers all set to be hit. The defeat may also have a wider impact on the economy, with sales in pubs and supermarkets likely to be hit.
One estimate puts the cost to the economy as high as £2bn.One estimate puts the cost to the economy as high as £2bn.
"A successful run to the 2008 final would have led to a £2bn bonanza for the economy," said Simon Chadwick, professor of sport business strategy and marketing at Coventry Business School."A successful run to the 2008 final would have led to a £2bn bonanza for the economy," said Simon Chadwick, professor of sport business strategy and marketing at Coventry Business School.
Professor Chadwick also explained that the impact of England not playing in Euro 2008 could even go deeper than just lower retail sales.Professor Chadwick also explained that the impact of England not playing in Euro 2008 could even go deeper than just lower retail sales.
"Evidence from previous tournaments also shows that, at another level, worker productivity normally increases as the England national team progresses through major tournaments and the 'feel good factor' takes hold," he said."Evidence from previous tournaments also shows that, at another level, worker productivity normally increases as the England national team progresses through major tournaments and the 'feel good factor' takes hold," he said.
Less confidentLess confident
Shares in Sports Direct tumbled 17% after the retailer warned that it was no longer confident that profits this year would beat last year's level now that England had failed to qualify. Shares in Sports Direct tumbled 15% after the retailer warned that it was no longer confident that profits this year would beat last year's level now that England had failed to qualify.
Another sports retailer, JJB Sports, also suffered, with its shares falling 8.2%. We will be trying to persuade fans who can't support with their patriotic hearts to invest with their wallets and become an honorary German, Croat or Italian Graham Sharpe, William Hill
Umbro shares fell 3.7% after it warned that it expected a "substantial reduction" in sales of England shirts. Another sports retailer, JJB Sports, also suffered, with its shares falling 3.4%.
Umbro shares fell 2.3% after it warned that it expected a "substantial reduction" in sales of England shirts.
Umbro said that it was particularly worried about demand for the new England away kit, which is due to be released in 2008.Umbro said that it was particularly worried about demand for the new England away kit, which is due to be released in 2008.
The decline for Umbro could have been worse, were it not for the fact that it has agreed to be taken over by Nike, analysts said. More details of the takeover are due to be released on Friday.The decline for Umbro could have been worse, were it not for the fact that it has agreed to be taken over by Nike, analysts said. More details of the takeover are due to be released on Friday.
Wider economyWider economy
It is not just businesses directly related to football that could take a hit next summer. It is not just businesses directly related to football that could take a hit next summer. Fans will not be distracted from their holiday plans next summerPubs expect to miss out because their business is usually boosted by the major football championships.
Pubs and bookmakers may all miss out because their business is usually boosted by the major football championships. "If we just look at the first round of a championship like that where you have three matches, we think that equates to between 20 and 25 million extra pints over the three matches," said a spokeswoman for the British Beer and Pub Association.
Large numbers of England fans usually travel to big tournaments, so the travel companies such as airlines and ferry operators that would have transported them could also lose out. It may not be bad news for all sectors of the economy though.
"A football tournament can have a slightly negative effect on the travel industry," said Francis Tuke from the Association of British Travel Agents.
"If fans are not going to Switzerland and Austria then it's not going to disrupt their travel plans and it may be positive overall," she added.
Bookmakers are also putting a brave face on the failure of all the home nations to qualify.
"I suspect Euro 2008 will rival the last World Cup in terms of betting turnover," said Graham Sharpe from William Hill.
"We will be trying to persuade fans who can't support with their patriotic hearts to invest with their wallets and become an honorary German, Croat or Italian."