This article is from the source 'bbc' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.
You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-middle-east-27806940
The article has changed 2 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.
Previous version
1
Next version
Version 0 | Version 1 |
---|---|
Middle East Twitter Q&A: John Simpson answers your questions | |
(about 9 hours later) | |
The Middle East is never far from the news agenda. In recent months the on-going civil war in Syria, the presidential elections in Egypt and now the ISIS militant attacks on Iraq have meant that it has continued to dominate the headlines. | The Middle East is never far from the news agenda. In recent months the on-going civil war in Syria, the presidential elections in Egypt and now the ISIS militant attacks on Iraq have meant that it has continued to dominate the headlines. |
BBC World Affairs Editor John Simpson answered questions in a live Twitter Q&A on Friday 13th June. | |
This is an edited version of the session. | |
Mark Donnelly emails: Is fragmentation of Iraq into separate states inevitable? | |
John answers: Not inevitable, but more likely. Shiite E & S can exist alone Kurdish NE will be independent. Sunni areas turbulent. | |
Can Ali Gurguc emails: Do you think the situation in Iraq will become a conflict between ISIS and the Kurds? | |
John answers: Yes. Kurdish forces to battle ISIS round Kirkuk. If Baghdad govt asks them for help, price will be Kurdish independence. | |
John Rossetti emails: If events in the Middle East didn't receive so much attention from the press they would be as effective? | |
John answers: After 9/11 Americans blamed media for not warning about Al Qaeda. Ignorance no protection. | |
Miguel Octaviano emails: What do you think is the likelihood of the Middle East sparking a third world war? | |
John answers: There won't be WWIII between Great Powers. But some think war with extreme Islam has started already. | |
@Robozmob Do you think, like the banks, it's time to let the Middle East fail and rebuild organically without the west? | |
John answers: What, like we let Afghanistan fail, then became black hole where 9/11 planned? Iraq not a bank. | |
@shafaghiha Who benefits from Jihadists' activity in Iraq and who might support them in fighting on three fronts at the same time? | |
John answers: Only the most extreme Islamists believe they would benefit. No government would support them, but many volunteers. | |
@ColinKamioner Could you foresee a similar thing happening to the ANA in Afghanistan? How is actual morale among units? | |
John answers: Possible, but circumstances v. different. Part of Taliban more likely to negotiate. Much of it far less extreme than ISIS. | |
@mehrdadislamkha How powerful is the ISIS group and how much is their success is exaggerated? | |
John answers: Not very powerful at all, but Iraqi army so far seems in meltdown. So success not really exaggerated. | |
@MahmoudRezaAbdi Where does the ISIS group come from and what are they looking for? | |
John answers: ISIS comes from Sunni anger in Iraq, plus war in Syria. Most extreme ME group so far - wants full Islamic caliphate. | |
@PointofnoRetur1 Christians are now being driven out, like the Jews of Iraq, should the religious nature of ME conflict be acknowledged? | |
John answers: I think it always has been. At present this is a Sunni - Shiite war in Iraq. Christians are a secondary target. | |
@frannybello Do you think this insurgence has anything to do with the recent trade for Bergdahl? Directly or indirectly? | |
John answers: No, nothing. US not the target in Iraq now. Instead it's Shiite govt of Al Maliki. | |
@totoromd Do we have any idea of Iran's official or unofficial position regarding this development? | |
John answers: Iran is very worried. But if Sunni area breaks away, Iran will intervene to protect Shiite region. | |
@kamalkothari56 Didn't the UK Gov see the ISIS problem coming? Couldn't have been a surprise surely? | |
John answers: UK and US both saw it coming. But impossible now for them to do much, given public opinion. | |
@WAMartin11 Why is the USA considering sending more military equipment if Iraq Special Forces are leaving it in droves? | |
John answers: US can't do much - can't send troops. Bombing may not succeed. Sending arms just a gesture. | |
@helebje Is SykesPicot now going to be thrown away and new borders be considered seriously? | |
John answers: Same process happened in ex-Yugoslavia, ex-USSR. But if it does happen, it's not peaceful. | |
@anastrace How long before the siege on the government becomes untenable to maintain without substantial outside assistance? | |
John answers: If ISIS cause Sunni break away, could actually strengthen Al Maliki in Shiite state. | |
@johnfaynec Given the situation in Iraq, should the US be selling 35 F16's to Iraq now? | |
John answers: Danger would be Iran takeover of Shiite state in Iraq. But US badly needs Iraqi govt to beat ISIS | |
@AlexHamiltonUK1 Who else is likely to get involved either militarily or with humanitarian help? NATO? Russia? Iran? UN? | |
John answers: Only likely one is Iran, which will want to protect its ally, Al Maliki. The rest will just stand by. | |
@vaishalir US funded Mujahideen gave way to Al Qaeda which gave way to ISIS. Is terrorism expanding beyond our reach? | |
Jon answered: Every case is different and needs its own sophisticated response. Al Maliki's failure was not including Sunnis. | |
John closed by saying: Must go now because I'm leaving for Baghdad. But delighted to answer Qs from there. Will be in touch #AskBBCSimpson | |
For more correspondent Q&As follow BBC Have Your Say on Twitter | |
Twitter Q&A produced by Kerry Alexandra |
Previous version
1
Next version