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Wages officially outpace inflation, says ONS Wages officially outpace inflation, says ONS
(35 minutes later)
Average weekly earnings are now officially rising faster than inflation, for the first time in nearly six years.Average weekly earnings are now officially rising faster than inflation, for the first time in nearly six years.
Wages including bonuses rose by 1.7% in the year to March, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).Wages including bonuses rose by 1.7% in the year to March, according to the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
Inflation over the same period was 1.6%, as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI).Inflation over the same period was 1.6%, as measured by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI).
The earnings figure is the same as last month, but has now overtaken inflation in the first direct comparison.The earnings figure is the same as last month, but has now overtaken inflation in the first direct comparison.
However, when bonuses are excluded, wages are still running below the CPI inflation rate.However, when bonuses are excluded, wages are still running below the CPI inflation rate.
Regular pay, as the ONS calls it, rose by 1.3% in the year to March.Regular pay, as the ONS calls it, rose by 1.3% in the year to March.
For most of the last six years, inflation has outpaced wage rises, leading to a cut in living standards for millions of UK citizens.For most of the last six years, inflation has outpaced wage rises, leading to a cut in living standards for millions of UK citizens.
However, it is likely to be many years before real wages make up for lost time. However, it is likely to be many years before any growth in real wages makes up for lost time.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has forecast that real incomes will not return to 2008 levels until 2018 at the earliest.The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has forecast that real incomes will not return to 2008 levels until 2018 at the earliest.
'Disappointing'
If anything, the City had been expecting better figures.
"This is actually a markedly weaker set of earnings data than expected," said Howard Archer, the chief UK and European economist at IHS Global Insight.
"March's earnings data are disappointing for consumer purchasing power," he said.
However, some analysts were optimistic that wages would continue to rise.
"I think average earnings could surprise in strength as we go through the year," said Louise Cooper, an independent market analyst.
"Companies have not invested for years and for the large companies, profit margins are relatively high. Many can afford to pay their staff more," she said.