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The US Federal Reserve decides not to taper stimulus | The US Federal Reserve decides not to taper stimulus |
(35 minutes later) | |
The US Federal Reserve has decided to maintain its economic stimulus scheme at the current level, despite speculation that it would start scaling it back. | The US Federal Reserve has decided to maintain its economic stimulus scheme at the current level, despite speculation that it would start scaling it back. |
US shares jumped after the announcement with the Dow Jones & S&P 500 hitting record highs. | US shares jumped after the announcement with the Dow Jones & S&P 500 hitting record highs. |
It had been widely expected that the Fed would cut back - or taper - its $85bn a month bond purchase programme. | It had been widely expected that the Fed would cut back - or taper - its $85bn a month bond purchase programme. |
The US central bank has been buying bonds to keep interest rates low. | The US central bank has been buying bonds to keep interest rates low. |
In a statement, the Fed said the unemployment rate "remains elevated". | In a statement, the Fed said the unemployment rate "remains elevated". |
"The Committee decided to await more evidence that progress will be sustained before adjusting the pace of its purchases," it said. | "The Committee decided to await more evidence that progress will be sustained before adjusting the pace of its purchases," it said. |
The Fed also highlighted that mortgage rates have risen recently. | The Fed also highlighted that mortgage rates have risen recently. |
Uncertainty over the strength of the economic recovery was underlined by the Fed's latest economic growth forecasts. | Uncertainty over the strength of the economic recovery was underlined by the Fed's latest economic growth forecasts. |
It cut its forecast for growth this year to between 2.0% and 2.3%. That compares to a June estimate of between 2.3% and 2.6%. | It cut its forecast for growth this year to between 2.0% and 2.3%. That compares to a June estimate of between 2.3% and 2.6%. |
'No fixed schedule' | |
In a press conference following the release of the statement, chairman Ben Bernanke highlighted three reasons why the Fed had decided to hold off scaling back its bond purchasing. | |
Those were: the low labour force participation rate, drags on economic growth due to congressional wrangling over a looming budget deadline, and "the tightening of financial conditions observed in recent months". | |
He said "asset purchases are not on a preset course" and that the central bank would continue to prop up the US economy for as long as it felt extra stimulus was needed. | |
"There is no fixed calendar, schedule. I really have to emphasise that," said Mr Bernanke. | |
He also defended his decision to begin hinting to markets that the central bank was considering a slowdown in its stimulus efforts in June, leading to a build up in speculation over the summer. | |
"I think there's no alternative in making monetary policy but to communicate as clearly as possible," he said. | |
In addition, he appeared to row back from comments indicating that if the US unemployment rate dropped below 7%, the Fed would consider that the US economy was on track. | |
He refused to take questions on what he planned to do once his second term ends in January 2014. | |
"If you will indulge me just a little longer, I prefer not to talk about my plans at this point," he said. | |
Not there yet | Not there yet |
The news of the delay in cutting back on the economic stimulus took many by surprise. | The news of the delay in cutting back on the economic stimulus took many by surprise. |
The dollar fell, and gold prices rose on the news. | The dollar fell, and gold prices rose on the news. |
Mortgage rates, which had risen dramatically over the summer, fell, perhaps easing concerns that higher rates were hurting a nascent housing recovery. | |
Markets cheered the extension of cheap money, rising to record highs, with all US indices up on the news. | Markets cheered the extension of cheap money, rising to record highs, with all US indices up on the news. |
"The Fed is in no rush to taper or slow the economy," said Ward McCarthy, chief US economist at Jefferies. | |
"The bottom line is that the economy continues to move toward a condition that will eventually allow the Fed to gradually reduce the size of [bond] purchases. | "The bottom line is that the economy continues to move toward a condition that will eventually allow the Fed to gradually reduce the size of [bond] purchases. |
However, the economy has not yet reached that point." | However, the economy has not yet reached that point." |