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| Senate election results: Abbott may be forced to negotiate over core promises | Senate election results: Abbott may be forced to negotiate over core promises |
| (12 days later) | |
| The prime minister elect, Tony Abbott, could be forced to negotiate with an unwieldy alliance of right and centre-right senators to get his legislative program through the Senate and there is still a chance that the Greens could maintain the balance of power – an even worse outcome from the Coalition's point of view. | The prime minister elect, Tony Abbott, could be forced to negotiate with an unwieldy alliance of right and centre-right senators to get his legislative program through the Senate and there is still a chance that the Greens could maintain the balance of power – an even worse outcome from the Coalition's point of view. |
| The Senate result is critical to Abbott's ability to repeal the carbon tax and pass his big ticket policy promises including the expensive paid parental leave plan and his alternative "direct action" climate program. | The Senate result is critical to Abbott's ability to repeal the carbon tax and pass his big ticket policy promises including the expensive paid parental leave plan and his alternative "direct action" climate program. |
| Abbott has said he is sure Labor would not "commit electoral suicide twice" by voting against the repeal of the carbon tax and that therefore it will not come down to the minor party votes. But Bill Shorten, who may be the next Labor leader said on Saturday night he believed Labor had to be "true to its values" and "one of those is to put a price on carbon." | Abbott has said he is sure Labor would not "commit electoral suicide twice" by voting against the repeal of the carbon tax and that therefore it will not come down to the minor party votes. But Bill Shorten, who may be the next Labor leader said on Saturday night he believed Labor had to be "true to its values" and "one of those is to put a price on carbon." |
| The Coalition will not win control of the Senate in its own right, and the complicated process of allocating preferences means the results are slow to be determined, making the composition of the balance of power difficult to predict. | The Coalition will not win control of the Senate in its own right, and the complicated process of allocating preferences means the results are slow to be determined, making the composition of the balance of power difficult to predict. |
| But as the count stood on Saturday night mining magnate Clive Palmer's Palmer United Party (PUP) candidate – former rugby league great Glenn Lazarus – appeared likely to win a Queensland senate seat and in Tasmania the PUP candidate had half the necessary quota and at least a chance of being elected after preferences were distributed. | But as the count stood on Saturday night mining magnate Clive Palmer's Palmer United Party (PUP) candidate – former rugby league great Glenn Lazarus – appeared likely to win a Queensland senate seat and in Tasmania the PUP candidate had half the necessary quota and at least a chance of being elected after preferences were distributed. |
| In South Australia, senator Nick Xenophon was re-elected, but two final seats are being fought out between Labor, Family First, Greens Senator Sarah Hanson Young, with an outside chance that Senator Xenophon's running mate could be elected. | In South Australia, senator Nick Xenophon was re-elected, but two final seats are being fought out between Labor, Family First, Greens Senator Sarah Hanson Young, with an outside chance that Senator Xenophon's running mate could be elected. |
| And in New South Wales it appeared that the chance positioning of a Liberal Democrat candidate at the top of a 110 strong Senate candidate list was giving that candidate an outside chance of knocking of the third Liberal candidate – a potential future finance minister senator Arthur Sinodinos, possibly because voters were confused about who they were actually voting for. | And in New South Wales it appeared that the chance positioning of a Liberal Democrat candidate at the top of a 110 strong Senate candidate list was giving that candidate an outside chance of knocking of the third Liberal candidate – a potential future finance minister senator Arthur Sinodinos, possibly because voters were confused about who they were actually voting for. |
| The Greens were confident of winning a senate seat in Victoria, New South Wales and Tasmania, but were unsure how their candidates would fare in South Australia, Western Australia and the ACT. The Greens will retain their current balance of power until the new Senators take their seats next July. | The Greens were confident of winning a senate seat in Victoria, New South Wales and Tasmania, but were unsure how their candidates would fare in South Australia, Western Australia and the ACT. The Greens will retain their current balance of power until the new Senators take their seats next July. |
| While a collection of right and centre-right parties is a better prospect for Tony Abbott than the Greens, several of the senators have expressed reservations about his paid parental leave scheme and Senator Xenophon has said he wouldn't repeal the carbon tax until he was sure that "direct action" had been amended in such a way as to make sure it could meet Australia's emission reduction targets. | While a collection of right and centre-right parties is a better prospect for Tony Abbott than the Greens, several of the senators have expressed reservations about his paid parental leave scheme and Senator Xenophon has said he wouldn't repeal the carbon tax until he was sure that "direct action" had been amended in such a way as to make sure it could meet Australia's emission reduction targets. |
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