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UK interest rates held until unemployment falls UK interest rates held until unemployment falls
(35 minutes later)
Bank of England governor Mark Carney has said the Bank will not consider raising interest rates until the jobless rate has fallen to 7% or below.Bank of England governor Mark Carney has said the Bank will not consider raising interest rates until the jobless rate has fallen to 7% or below.
Mr Carney said this would require the creation of about 750,000 jobs and could take three years. Mr Carney said he expected this would require the creation of about 750,000 jobs and could take three years.
The UK unemployment rate currently stands at 7.8%.The UK unemployment rate currently stands at 7.8%.
The unemployment threshold will hold unless inflation levels threaten to rise too fast or it poses a significant threat to financial stability. The governor said this extra clarity was needed to avoid unnecessary fears that interest rates would rise after recent positive economic news.
Mr Carney said that the 7% unemployment figure was not a target, but a "way station" where the Bank of England would re-examine interest rates. The unemployment threshold will hold unless inflation levels threaten to rise too fast or it poses a significant threat to financial stability.
Mr Carney said that until the threshold was reached the Bank would not cut back on its £375bn asset purchase programme, known as quantitative easing (QE).Mr Carney said that until the threshold was reached the Bank would not cut back on its £375bn asset purchase programme, known as quantitative easing (QE).
While upbeat on the prospects for the UK economy, Mr Carney said it had not reached "escape velocity" yet.While upbeat on the prospects for the UK economy, Mr Carney said it had not reached "escape velocity" yet.
"A renewed recovery is now underway in the United Kingdom and it appears to be broadening," he said."A renewed recovery is now underway in the United Kingdom and it appears to be broadening," he said.
"While that is certainly welcome, the legacy of the financial crisis means that the recovery remains weak by historical standards and there is still a significant margin of spare capacity in the economy, this is most clearly evident in the high rate of unemployment.""While that is certainly welcome, the legacy of the financial crisis means that the recovery remains weak by historical standards and there is still a significant margin of spare capacity in the economy, this is most clearly evident in the high rate of unemployment."
Growth forecastGrowth forecast
On the markets, shares rose and the pound fell immediately after the Bank's statement was released, although the movements were quickly reversed.On the markets, shares rose and the pound fell immediately after the Bank's statement was released, although the movements were quickly reversed.
There had been widespread expectation that Mr Carney would commit the Bank to the new strategy, known as "forward guidance".There had been widespread expectation that Mr Carney would commit the Bank to the new strategy, known as "forward guidance".
With short-term interest rates already at historic lows, the aim is to reduce longer-term interest rates.With short-term interest rates already at historic lows, the aim is to reduce longer-term interest rates.
Knowing interest rates could remain low, potentially for years, gives banks and mortgage lenders the ability to "lock-in" customers at lower rates for longer.Knowing interest rates could remain low, potentially for years, gives banks and mortgage lenders the ability to "lock-in" customers at lower rates for longer.
The Bank of England's quarterly inflation report was more upbeat about economic growth than it had been in May.The Bank of England's quarterly inflation report was more upbeat about economic growth than it had been in May.
It presents its forecasts as a range of possibilities rather than a specific figure, but predicted accelerating growth for the rest of this year, with its central forecast being for growth of about 2.4% in two years.It presents its forecasts as a range of possibilities rather than a specific figure, but predicted accelerating growth for the rest of this year, with its central forecast being for growth of about 2.4% in two years.
It also forecast that the CPI measure of inflation was likely to be at its target rate of 2.0% during 2015.