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UK interest rates held until unemployment falls | UK interest rates held until unemployment falls |
(35 minutes later) | |
Bank of England governor Mark Carney has said the Bank will not consider raising interest rates until the jobless rate has fallen to 7% or below. | Bank of England governor Mark Carney has said the Bank will not consider raising interest rates until the jobless rate has fallen to 7% or below. |
Mr Carney said he expected this would require the creation of about 750,000 jobs and could take three years. | |
The UK unemployment rate currently stands at 7.8%. | The UK unemployment rate currently stands at 7.8%. |
The governor said this extra clarity was needed to avoid unnecessary fears that interest rates would rise after recent positive economic news. | |
Mr Carney said that the 7% unemployment figure was not a target, but a "way station" where the Bank of England would re-examine interest rates. The unemployment threshold will hold unless inflation levels threaten to rise too fast or it poses a significant threat to financial stability. | |
Mr Carney said that until the threshold was reached the Bank would not cut back on its £375bn asset purchase programme, known as quantitative easing (QE). | Mr Carney said that until the threshold was reached the Bank would not cut back on its £375bn asset purchase programme, known as quantitative easing (QE). |
While upbeat on the prospects for the UK economy, Mr Carney said it had not reached "escape velocity" yet. | While upbeat on the prospects for the UK economy, Mr Carney said it had not reached "escape velocity" yet. |
"A renewed recovery is now underway in the United Kingdom and it appears to be broadening," he said. | "A renewed recovery is now underway in the United Kingdom and it appears to be broadening," he said. |
"While that is certainly welcome, the legacy of the financial crisis means that the recovery remains weak by historical standards and there is still a significant margin of spare capacity in the economy, this is most clearly evident in the high rate of unemployment." | "While that is certainly welcome, the legacy of the financial crisis means that the recovery remains weak by historical standards and there is still a significant margin of spare capacity in the economy, this is most clearly evident in the high rate of unemployment." |
Growth forecast | Growth forecast |
On the markets, shares rose and the pound fell immediately after the Bank's statement was released, although the movements were quickly reversed. | On the markets, shares rose and the pound fell immediately after the Bank's statement was released, although the movements were quickly reversed. |
There had been widespread expectation that Mr Carney would commit the Bank to the new strategy, known as "forward guidance". | There had been widespread expectation that Mr Carney would commit the Bank to the new strategy, known as "forward guidance". |
With short-term interest rates already at historic lows, the aim is to reduce longer-term interest rates. | With short-term interest rates already at historic lows, the aim is to reduce longer-term interest rates. |
Knowing interest rates could remain low, potentially for years, gives banks and mortgage lenders the ability to "lock-in" customers at lower rates for longer. | Knowing interest rates could remain low, potentially for years, gives banks and mortgage lenders the ability to "lock-in" customers at lower rates for longer. |
The Bank of England's quarterly inflation report was more upbeat about economic growth than it had been in May. | The Bank of England's quarterly inflation report was more upbeat about economic growth than it had been in May. |
It presents its forecasts as a range of possibilities rather than a specific figure, but predicted accelerating growth for the rest of this year, with its central forecast being for growth of about 2.4% in two years. | It presents its forecasts as a range of possibilities rather than a specific figure, but predicted accelerating growth for the rest of this year, with its central forecast being for growth of about 2.4% in two years. |
It also forecast that the CPI measure of inflation was likely to be at its target rate of 2.0% during 2015. |