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| How the Middle East and US have reacted to Egypt's post-Morsi regime | How the Middle East and US have reacted to Egypt's post-Morsi regime |
| (about 2 months later) | |
| The fallout from the ousting and detention of Mohamed Morsi continues to polarise Egypt's stakeholders across the region and beyond. The Gulf states in particular – Qatar excluded – have been quick to assert their geopolitical heft in post-Morsi Egypt, pledging sorely-needed multibillion aid packages. | The fallout from the ousting and detention of Mohamed Morsi continues to polarise Egypt's stakeholders across the region and beyond. The Gulf states in particular – Qatar excluded – have been quick to assert their geopolitical heft in post-Morsi Egypt, pledging sorely-needed multibillion aid packages. |
| Saudi Arabia | Saudi Arabia |
| Despite ruling a conservative Islamic society, underpinned by sharia law, Saudi's leaders have jumped on the demise of Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood constituency, offering $5bn (£3.2bn) in aid and loans in recent weeks. The rush to offer charity stands in contrast to the past year, when next to nothing flowed from Riyadh's coffers to Morsi's government. The democratic process that brought Morsi to power was not welcomed by Riyadh, where revolt and insurrection across the region have been perceived in some quarters as a potential trickle-on threat to the kingdom. | Despite ruling a conservative Islamic society, underpinned by sharia law, Saudi's leaders have jumped on the demise of Morsi and his Muslim Brotherhood constituency, offering $5bn (£3.2bn) in aid and loans in recent weeks. The rush to offer charity stands in contrast to the past year, when next to nothing flowed from Riyadh's coffers to Morsi's government. The democratic process that brought Morsi to power was not welcomed by Riyadh, where revolt and insurrection across the region have been perceived in some quarters as a potential trickle-on threat to the kingdom. |
| United Arab Emirates and Kuwait | United Arab Emirates and Kuwait |
| Both have also enthusiastically welcomed the fledgling regime. The UAE has pledged $3bn in aid, a mix of deposits, grants and support for Egypt's gas and oil sector. Kuwait has structured its support in a similar fashion. Abu Dhabi and Kuwait had been at best deeply suspicious of the Brotherhood movement, and uncomfortable with political Islam generally. Their support of the coup, led by General Sisi, is being seen in many quarters as an endorsement of a return to a more traditional authoritarian structure in Egypt. Including the Saudi package, $12bn has been pledged in less than a month, a healthy boost to Cairo's depleted foreign reserves, even if some of the aid incurs a debt burden. | Both have also enthusiastically welcomed the fledgling regime. The UAE has pledged $3bn in aid, a mix of deposits, grants and support for Egypt's gas and oil sector. Kuwait has structured its support in a similar fashion. Abu Dhabi and Kuwait had been at best deeply suspicious of the Brotherhood movement, and uncomfortable with political Islam generally. Their support of the coup, led by General Sisi, is being seen in many quarters as an endorsement of a return to a more traditional authoritarian structure in Egypt. Including the Saudi package, $12bn has been pledged in less than a month, a healthy boost to Cairo's depleted foreign reserves, even if some of the aid incurs a debt burden. |
| Qatar | Qatar |
| Doha has clearly lost a significant constituency with the Brotherhood's exit from power, having swung its formidable petro-wealth wholeheartedly behind Morsi, the only Arab state to offer such support. Qatar's support for Morsi came at the same time as its funding and arming of the Syrian opposition, an effort that has favoured Syria's Muslim Brotherhood and added to the clout it wields in the Sunni Islamic world. The status of aid donations from Qatar, in motion before the 3 July coup, remains unclear. Qatar's displeasure is not. | Doha has clearly lost a significant constituency with the Brotherhood's exit from power, having swung its formidable petro-wealth wholeheartedly behind Morsi, the only Arab state to offer such support. Qatar's support for Morsi came at the same time as its funding and arming of the Syrian opposition, an effort that has favoured Syria's Muslim Brotherhood and added to the clout it wields in the Sunni Islamic world. The status of aid donations from Qatar, in motion before the 3 July coup, remains unclear. Qatar's displeasure is not. |
| US | US |
| In January 2011, Barack Obama had stayed true to a George W Bush pledge of 2006 to invert US foreign policy in the Middle East, which for 60 years had valued stability over democracy. When Hosni Mubarak was wavering, Obama was scorned by the old guard – especially Saudi Arabia – for not standing by him. Riyadh took several years to cool down after Obama withdrew support from Mubarak, overtly threatening to reorientate its strategic focus away from Washington, in favour of new world powers such as India and China. | In January 2011, Barack Obama had stayed true to a George W Bush pledge of 2006 to invert US foreign policy in the Middle East, which for 60 years had valued stability over democracy. When Hosni Mubarak was wavering, Obama was scorned by the old guard – especially Saudi Arabia – for not standing by him. Riyadh took several years to cool down after Obama withdrew support from Mubarak, overtly threatening to reorientate its strategic focus away from Washington, in favour of new world powers such as India and China. |
| This time around, Obama is in the sights of both sides, accused by anti-Morsi followers of backing terrorists and by Morsi supporters of turning his back on democracy. Washington still refuses to call an armed overthrow of a democratically elected government, the detention of its leaders, shutdown of its media outlets and killing of its supporters a coup. There is no doubt that the events of the past three weeks have large popular support, which is arguably just as relevant as results at the ballot box a year ago. This gives the White House some political room to not denounce what has taken place, instead placing on hold four war planes that are part of an annual $1.3bn aid in kind package delivered every year since the Camp David peace accord between Egypt and Israel in 1978. | This time around, Obama is in the sights of both sides, accused by anti-Morsi followers of backing terrorists and by Morsi supporters of turning his back on democracy. Washington still refuses to call an armed overthrow of a democratically elected government, the detention of its leaders, shutdown of its media outlets and killing of its supporters a coup. There is no doubt that the events of the past three weeks have large popular support, which is arguably just as relevant as results at the ballot box a year ago. This gives the White House some political room to not denounce what has taken place, instead placing on hold four war planes that are part of an annual $1.3bn aid in kind package delivered every year since the Camp David peace accord between Egypt and Israel in 1978. |
| Rest of the region | Rest of the region |
| The Syrian leader, Bashar al-Assad, was quick out of the blocks on the night of Morsi's demise, claiming that it was a rejection of political Islam. Self-interest here was paramount, with the Muslim Brotherhood playing a prominent role in the armed and political opposition that continues to threaten his regime. His remarks struck a chord in parts of the region that had been uncomfortable with the rise of such a powerful political force. Turkey, where the government of Recep Tayyip Erdogan is strongly supportive of the Brotherhood, has remained largely mute. However, Erdogan has twice since the coup referred to Morsi as president. | The Syrian leader, Bashar al-Assad, was quick out of the blocks on the night of Morsi's demise, claiming that it was a rejection of political Islam. Self-interest here was paramount, with the Muslim Brotherhood playing a prominent role in the armed and political opposition that continues to threaten his regime. His remarks struck a chord in parts of the region that had been uncomfortable with the rise of such a powerful political force. Turkey, where the government of Recep Tayyip Erdogan is strongly supportive of the Brotherhood, has remained largely mute. However, Erdogan has twice since the coup referred to Morsi as president. |
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