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Oil price hovers near new record Oil price hits another new record
(about 3 hours later)
The cost of crude oil has fallen back from record levels reached despite an increase in Opec output quotas. The price of crude oil briefly reached another record high on Thursday despite an increase in Opec output quotas.
But at $79.67 a barrel for US light, sweet crude, it remains close to the $80.18 price it touched on Wednesday. Brent crude fell to $77.32 a barrel. US light, sweet crude hit $80.20, two cents higher than the price it touched on Wednesday but fell back to $79.62 - down 29 cents on the day.
Meanwhile Brent crude for October fell 32 cents to $77.36.
Falling oil stocks in the US remain a concern, but a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico that threatened facilities there is now expected to ease.Falling oil stocks in the US remain a concern, but a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico that threatened facilities there is now expected to ease.
Oil prices have risen 30% this year and are four times their 2002 level.Oil prices have risen 30% this year and are four times their 2002 level.
When inflation is taken into account, current prices are still some way below the all-time high of about $90-$100 a barrel reached in 1979.When inflation is taken into account, current prices are still some way below the all-time high of about $90-$100 a barrel reached in 1979.
That year, ouput from Iran - a key Opec member - collapsed following an Islamic revolution. The next year, war broke out between Iran and Iraq, another Opec member. That year, output from Iran - a key Opec member - collapsed following an Islamic revolution. The next year, war broke out between Iran and Iraq, another Opec member.
Breakneck growthBreakneck growth
Still, analysts warn that the present situation is driven more by changes in the world economy, and less by shock events.Still, analysts warn that the present situation is driven more by changes in the world economy, and less by shock events.
Hasan Qabazard, director of Opec's research division, said a spread of factors had caused the spike in oil prices.Hasan Qabazard, director of Opec's research division, said a spread of factors had caused the spike in oil prices.
"We have a storm working its way to American facilities. We have an economic crisis, so many things are affecting... prices." Mr Qabazard said."We have a storm working its way to American facilities. We have an economic crisis, so many things are affecting... prices." Mr Qabazard said.
Demand has soared in recent years, as China and India, in particular, have ramped up the fast-growing economies of their massive countries.Demand has soared in recent years, as China and India, in particular, have ramped up the fast-growing economies of their massive countries.
Production and refining capacity have struggled to keep pace, while heavy speculation in contracts for future oil deliveries has also helped keep prices high.Production and refining capacity have struggled to keep pace, while heavy speculation in contracts for future oil deliveries has also helped keep prices high.
The most recent move by Opec - an increase of 500,000 barrels a day in the 12-nation group's quota - was little more than an "underwhelming gesture", said National Australia Bank analyst Gerard Burg.The most recent move by Opec - an increase of 500,000 barrels a day in the 12-nation group's quota - was little more than an "underwhelming gesture", said National Australia Bank analyst Gerard Burg.
Opec members are already pumping about a million barrels a day more than quota.Opec members are already pumping about a million barrels a day more than quota.