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ECB leaves interest rates on hold | ECB leaves interest rates on hold |
(10 minutes later) | |
The European Central Bank (ECB) has opted to keep interest rates on hold at 4%, as jitters continue to unsettle markets worldwide. | The European Central Bank (ECB) has opted to keep interest rates on hold at 4%, as jitters continue to unsettle markets worldwide. |
The widely-expected decision in the 13-member area comes as central banks try to prevent market turmoil from turning into a bigger financial crisis. | The widely-expected decision in the 13-member area comes as central banks try to prevent market turmoil from turning into a bigger financial crisis. |
Before the recent volatility, caused by problems in the US housing market, rates had been set to rise to 4.25%. | Before the recent volatility, caused by problems in the US housing market, rates had been set to rise to 4.25%. |
Earlier on Thursday, the Bank of England kept UK rates on hold at 5.75%. | Earlier on Thursday, the Bank of England kept UK rates on hold at 5.75%. |
Uncertainty | Uncertainty |
Central banks in Australia and Canada also decided to keep rates on hold this week. | Central banks in Australia and Canada also decided to keep rates on hold this week. |
Explaining the background to the unanimous decision, ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet said the fundamentals of the eurozone economy remained strong but the recent turmoil on financial markets meant policymakers needed to proceed with caution. | Explaining the background to the unanimous decision, ECB president Jean-Claude Trichet said the fundamentals of the eurozone economy remained strong but the recent turmoil on financial markets meant policymakers needed to proceed with caution. |
It does seem more likely that rates have peaked Steve Barrow, Bear Stearns | |
"The financial market volatility and reappraisal of risk in recent weeks have led to an increase in uncertainty," he said. | "The financial market volatility and reappraisal of risk in recent weeks have led to an increase in uncertainty," he said. |
"Given this high level of uncertainty, it is appropriate to gather additional information and examine new data before deriving further conclusions for monetary policy." | "Given this high level of uncertainty, it is appropriate to gather additional information and examine new data before deriving further conclusions for monetary policy." |
Mr Trichet said growth across the eurozone had slowed during the second quarter but that key indicators such as unemployment remained "favourable". | Mr Trichet said growth across the eurozone had slowed during the second quarter but that key indicators such as unemployment remained "favourable". |
'Right decision' | 'Right decision' |
Before last month's market volatility forced the ECB to pump billions into the eurozone banking system, experts had been expecting it to raise rates one more time this year. | Before last month's market volatility forced the ECB to pump billions into the eurozone banking system, experts had been expecting it to raise rates one more time this year. |
But in line with other central banks, the ECB is now more cautious about the economic outlook because of the credit problems in the US and Europe. | But in line with other central banks, the ECB is now more cautious about the economic outlook because of the credit problems in the US and Europe. |
Some believe rates are now likely to stay on hold until the extent of the impact of the US sub-prime crisis on the global economy become clearer. | Some believe rates are now likely to stay on hold until the extent of the impact of the US sub-prime crisis on the global economy become clearer. |
"The ECB is leaving its options open," said Steve Barrow, from Bear Stearns. | |
"It has not hoisted the white flag on rate cuts but it does seem more likely that rates have peaked." | |
Ken Watrett, BNP Paribas chief economist, described the decision as "the right conclusion". | |
"They want to wait and see and take some time to see what the implications will be in the financial markets and what the long-term consequences will be," he added. | |
The ECB has raised rates eight times in the past two years as Europe's steady economic recovery has put upward pressure on consumer prices. |