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Labor facing significant election defeat, says Newspoll Labor facing significant election defeat, says Newspoll
(4 months later)
Tony Abbott has pulled away from Julia Gillard as Australia's preferred prime minister, according to the latest Newspoll in The Australian.Tony Abbott has pulled away from Julia Gillard as Australia's preferred prime minister, according to the latest Newspoll in The Australian.
Abbott has improved three points in the two weeks since the last poll to achieve a 43% result amongst voters, while Gillard has weakened four points to 35%.Abbott has improved three points in the two weeks since the last poll to achieve a 43% result amongst voters, while Gillard has weakened four points to 35%.
The poll shows voters are sticking with the Coalition as the September elections nears, with the opposition's primary vote improving three points to 49% - a three month high - compared to Labor's 30%, down one point.The poll shows voters are sticking with the Coalition as the September elections nears, with the opposition's primary vote improving three points to 49% - a three month high - compared to Labor's 30%, down one point.
On a two party preferred basis, the opposition holds a commanding 16 point lead - 58% (up two points) to Labor's 42% (down two points).On a two party preferred basis, the opposition holds a commanding 16 point lead - 58% (up two points) to Labor's 42% (down two points).
Based on preference flows at the last election, Labor would lose 35 seats and be swept away with a uniform 8% swing against it across Australia.Based on preference flows at the last election, Labor would lose 35 seats and be swept away with a uniform 8% swing against it across Australia.
Fairfax Media has also seen internal Labor polling that shows Treasurer Wayne Swan would be amongst those to lose their seats.Fairfax Media has also seen internal Labor polling that shows Treasurer Wayne Swan would be amongst those to lose their seats.
The Queensland polling is believed to show his primary vote has collapsed to just 28%, compared to 41% at the last election.The Queensland polling is believed to show his primary vote has collapsed to just 28%, compared to 41% at the last election.
A "worst case" scenario indicates former prime minister Kevin Rudd could be Labor's last man standing in Queensland.A "worst case" scenario indicates former prime minister Kevin Rudd could be Labor's last man standing in Queensland.
A Herald Sun poll backs up Newspoll, saying Labor is looking over an abyss with even safe seats such as Isaac in Victoria, held by Attorney-General Mark Dreyfus with a 10.4% margin, likely to fall.A Herald Sun poll backs up Newspoll, saying Labor is looking over an abyss with even safe seats such as Isaac in Victoria, held by Attorney-General Mark Dreyfus with a 10.4% margin, likely to fall.
The paper's JWS Research poll, focusing on Victoria, shows Mr Dreyfus is facing a huge 15.4% swing in what has been a Labor seat for 17 years.The paper's JWS Research poll, focusing on Victoria, shows Mr Dreyfus is facing a huge 15.4% swing in what has been a Labor seat for 17 years.
The poll will ring alarm bells for surrounding seats of Bruce and Holt, as well as McEwen and Bendigo, which party figures say are also at risk.The poll will ring alarm bells for surrounding seats of Bruce and Holt, as well as McEwen and Bendigo, which party figures say are also at risk.
But significant personal support for Speaker Anna Burke suggests she will also buck the trend and retain her Box Hill-based inner eastern suburbs seat of Chisholm.But significant personal support for Speaker Anna Burke suggests she will also buck the trend and retain her Box Hill-based inner eastern suburbs seat of Chisholm.
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