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US immigration reform could improve economy, says conservative thinktank US immigration reform could improve economy, says conservative thinktank
(6 days later)
An overhaul of immigration laws could boost economic growth and cut the federal budget deficit, according to new analysis by a conservative thinktank.An overhaul of immigration laws could boost economic growth and cut the federal budget deficit, according to new analysis by a conservative thinktank.
The report by the American Action Forum, published on Tuesday, is part of growing strategy by high-profile conservative groups to deploy economic arguments in the battle for immigration reform.The report by the American Action Forum, published on Tuesday, is part of growing strategy by high-profile conservative groups to deploy economic arguments in the battle for immigration reform.
It challenges the view put forward by some conservatives that immigrants would take jobs from US citizens, drive down wages and would add to the deficit by the need for government assistance.It challenges the view put forward by some conservatives that immigrants would take jobs from US citizens, drive down wages and would add to the deficit by the need for government assistance.
Legislation on comprehensive immigration reform, including a path to citizenship, by the bipartisan "gang of eight" senators could be available as early as this week, according to senator Chuck Schumer, a Democrat from New York.Legislation on comprehensive immigration reform, including a path to citizenship, by the bipartisan "gang of eight" senators could be available as early as this week, according to senator Chuck Schumer, a Democrat from New York.
Research published on Tuesday by the AAF, cites the greater birth rate, labour force participation and entrepreneurial bent among immigrants compared to native-born Americans as key factors that could raise gross domestic product growth by a percentage point every year over the next decade. In what it acknowledges are "ballpark" estimates, it said: "A benchmark immigration reform would raise the pace of economic growth by nearly a percentage point over the near term, raise GDP per capita by over $1,500 and reduce the cumulative federal deficit by over $2.5tn."Research published on Tuesday by the AAF, cites the greater birth rate, labour force participation and entrepreneurial bent among immigrants compared to native-born Americans as key factors that could raise gross domestic product growth by a percentage point every year over the next decade. In what it acknowledges are "ballpark" estimates, it said: "A benchmark immigration reform would raise the pace of economic growth by nearly a percentage point over the near term, raise GDP per capita by over $1,500 and reduce the cumulative federal deficit by over $2.5tn."
The analysis, by Douglas Holtz Eakin, an economist and president of the AAF, argues that in the absence of immigration, the population and overall economy would decline as a result of low US birth rates. It argues that immigration reform should be evaluated in economic terms and compares the US unfavourably with the UK, Canada and Australia, countries which focused their immigration reforms on economic growth.The analysis, by Douglas Holtz Eakin, an economist and president of the AAF, argues that in the absence of immigration, the population and overall economy would decline as a result of low US birth rates. It argues that immigration reform should be evaluated in economic terms and compares the US unfavourably with the UK, Canada and Australia, countries which focused their immigration reforms on economic growth.
Groups such as Grover Norquist's Americans for Tax Reform and the Hispanic Leadership Forum, which aired ads in March promoting an immigration overhaul, have been gearing up for the next critical phase of the immigration debate, and some are using similar messages to that of the AAF.Groups such as Grover Norquist's Americans for Tax Reform and the Hispanic Leadership Forum, which aired ads in March promoting an immigration overhaul, have been gearing up for the next critical phase of the immigration debate, and some are using similar messages to that of the AAF.
Norquist, in an interview with Politico last week, said: "We're doing it to make sure … that Republican congressman and senators feel comfortable."Norquist, in an interview with Politico last week, said: "We're doing it to make sure … that Republican congressman and senators feel comfortable."
"They look out and hear the guys on talk radio, and they go: 'Oh my goodness, everybody out there thinks this. That's not necessarily where I was, but I guess if everybody thinks that way, I'll either be quiet or go along, or I'll listen to them so they can convince me.' They're now hearing the other side of the issue.""They look out and hear the guys on talk radio, and they go: 'Oh my goodness, everybody out there thinks this. That's not necessarily where I was, but I guess if everybody thinks that way, I'll either be quiet or go along, or I'll listen to them so they can convince me.' They're now hearing the other side of the issue."
In addition to the proposals for immigration reform to be put forward by the "gang of eight" senators, a bipartisan group from the House is working on its own version.In addition to the proposals for immigration reform to be put forward by the "gang of eight" senators, a bipartisan group from the House is working on its own version.
If the Senate and House bills pass their respective chambers, they would have to be reconciled and a final version voted on, before being sent to President Barack Obama for signing into law.If the Senate and House bills pass their respective chambers, they would have to be reconciled and a final version voted on, before being sent to President Barack Obama for signing into law.
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