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| Kenya election uncertainty continues as frontrunner hovers on 50% of vote | Kenya election uncertainty continues as frontrunner hovers on 50% of vote |
| (30 days later) | |
| Kenya's drawn-out race for president is seen as too close to call, with the leading candidate hovering around the mark needed to avoid a runoff. | Kenya's drawn-out race for president is seen as too close to call, with the leading candidate hovering around the mark needed to avoid a runoff. |
| As the last third of votes came in, the percentage held by Uhuru Kenyatta flipped and flopped over 50%. His opponent, Raila Odinga, needed a strong performance in the remaining ballots to force a second round runoff. | As the last third of votes came in, the percentage held by Uhuru Kenyatta flipped and flopped over 50%. His opponent, Raila Odinga, needed a strong performance in the remaining ballots to force a second round runoff. |
| The election commission said it expected to have final results by the end of Friday, although observers said it could run into the weekend. | The election commission said it expected to have final results by the end of Friday, although observers said it could run into the weekend. |
| Eight candidates ran for president, and if any of the bottom six candidates captures a significant portion of the outstanding ballots, that could also push Kenyatta below 50%. | Eight candidates ran for president, and if any of the bottom six candidates captures a significant portion of the outstanding ballots, that could also push Kenyatta below 50%. |
| A Kenyatta win could have far-reaching consequences for Kenya's international relations. The son of Kenya's founding father, he faces charges at the international criminal court for his role in directing some of the postelection violence that followed the 2007 presidential vote, in which more than 1,000 people died. | A Kenyatta win could have far-reaching consequences for Kenya's international relations. The son of Kenya's founding father, he faces charges at the international criminal court for his role in directing some of the postelection violence that followed the 2007 presidential vote, in which more than 1,000 people died. |
| The US has warned of "consequences" if Kenyatta wins, as have several European countries. Britain, which ruled Kenya up until the early 1960s, has said it would only have essential contact with a President Kenyatta. | The US has warned of "consequences" if Kenyatta wins, as have several European countries. Britain, which ruled Kenya up until the early 1960s, has said it would only have essential contact with a President Kenyatta. |
| The ICC trial is scheduled to begin in July and could take years, meaning that if Kenyatta wins he may have to rule Kenya from The Hague for the first half of his presidency. Another option is, as president, to decide not to go. Such a decision would have even more damaging effects for Kenya's standing with the west, and Kenyatta has promised he will go even if he does win. | The ICC trial is scheduled to begin in July and could take years, meaning that if Kenyatta wins he may have to rule Kenya from The Hague for the first half of his presidency. Another option is, as president, to decide not to go. Such a decision would have even more damaging effects for Kenya's standing with the west, and Kenyatta has promised he will go even if he does win. |
| Whether or not Kenyatta finishes with more than half of the votes, most observers expect legal challenges after myriad failures in the systems that Kenya's electoral commission established. | Whether or not Kenyatta finishes with more than half of the votes, most observers expect legal challenges after myriad failures in the systems that Kenya's electoral commission established. |
| The first problems were evident just as the voting began early on Monday. An electronic voter ID system intended to prevent fraud failed across the country – for lack of electricity in some cases and overheating computers in others. Vote officials instead used manual voter rolls. | The first problems were evident just as the voting began early on Monday. An electronic voter ID system intended to prevent fraud failed across the country – for lack of electricity in some cases and overheating computers in others. Vote officials instead used manual voter rolls. |
| After the polls closed, results were to be sent electronically to Nairobi, where officials would quickly tabulate a preliminary vote count in order to maximise transparency after rigging accusations following the 2007 vote. But that system failed too. Election officials indicated that computer servers overloaded but have yet to fully explain the problem. | After the polls closed, results were to be sent electronically to Nairobi, where officials would quickly tabulate a preliminary vote count in order to maximise transparency after rigging accusations following the 2007 vote. But that system failed too. Election officials indicated that computer servers overloaded but have yet to fully explain the problem. |
| On Tuesday, as the early count system was still being used, election results showed more than 330,000 rejected ballots, an unusually high number. But after the count resumed with the arrival in Nairobi of manual tallies, the number of rejected ballots had dropped to almost nothing, and the election commission on Thursday gave the head-scratching explanation that the computer was mistakenly multiplying the number of rejected ballots by a factor of eight. | On Tuesday, as the early count system was still being used, election results showed more than 330,000 rejected ballots, an unusually high number. But after the count resumed with the arrival in Nairobi of manual tallies, the number of rejected ballots had dropped to almost nothing, and the election commission on Thursday gave the head-scratching explanation that the computer was mistakenly multiplying the number of rejected ballots by a factor of eight. |
| Odinga's camp on Thursday said some votes had been doctored and called for a halt to the tallying process. It said the tallying process "lacked integrity". A day earlier, Kenyatta's camp accused the British high commissioner of meddling in the election and asked why there were an unusually high number of British troops in the country. | Odinga's camp on Thursday said some votes had been doctored and called for a halt to the tallying process. It said the tallying process "lacked integrity". A day earlier, Kenyatta's camp accused the British high commissioner of meddling in the election and asked why there were an unusually high number of British troops in the country. |
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