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Inflation falls on food price war | |
(10 minutes later) | |
A supermarket price war helped the UK's rate of inflation to fall to 1.9% in July, well below analysts' forecasts. | |
The Consumer Price Index dropped sharply from June's level of 2.4%, raising hopes that further rises in interest rates will not be needed. | |
It is the first time UK inflation has fallen below the government's target of 2% since March 2006. | It is the first time UK inflation has fallen below the government's target of 2% since March 2006. |
The Retail Price Index, a measure often used in wage bargaining, fell to 3.8% in July from 4.4% the previous month. | |
"This is a massive surprise," said Howard Archer, chief UK and European economist at Global Insight. | |
"Consumer price inflation fell back far more than anyone was expecting in July, including we strongly suspect the Bank of England. | |
"This will boost expectations that interest rates have peaked at 5.75% especially as the current turmoil in global credit and financial markets further dilutes the case for higher interest rates for now at least." |