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Police and crime commissioner elections – the big contests Police and crime commissioner elections – the big contests
(about 1 month later)
HumbersideHumberside
Tory nominees are expected to win most commissioner posts which will help them bury the likely loss of Louise Mensch's Corby byelection seat. But defeating Labour's most famous candidate, Lord John Prescott, in Humberside would be a grudge match bonus. The 2010 election results point to a narrow Tory win, but Prezza has unique name recognition. Yet Ukip, fielding 24 candidates, has hopes that colourful local MEP, Geoffrey Bloom, could take divided East Yorkshire Tory votes from Matthew Grove and disaffected urban Labour ones from Prescott. Will this personality clash dominate the result headlines?Tory nominees are expected to win most commissioner posts which will help them bury the likely loss of Louise Mensch's Corby byelection seat. But defeating Labour's most famous candidate, Lord John Prescott, in Humberside would be a grudge match bonus. The 2010 election results point to a narrow Tory win, but Prezza has unique name recognition. Yet Ukip, fielding 24 candidates, has hopes that colourful local MEP, Geoffrey Bloom, could take divided East Yorkshire Tory votes from Matthew Grove and disaffected urban Labour ones from Prescott. Will this personality clash dominate the result headlines?
BedfordshireBedfordshire
The county will be watched carefully because Luton carpenter Kevin Carroll, a leading figure in the far-right English Defence League (left), and recently arrested in a police swoop on an alleged public nuisance conspiracy, is standing under the British Freedom party banner. Favourite in the five-party field is Tory choice, Jas Parmar, a Sikh and a former cop, now a businessman. Olly Martins, a victim support specialist who beat local ex-police authority chair to the Labour nomination, is campaigning against cuts to frontline police services. How many votes will hardline Carroll win?The county will be watched carefully because Luton carpenter Kevin Carroll, a leading figure in the far-right English Defence League (left), and recently arrested in a police swoop on an alleged public nuisance conspiracy, is standing under the British Freedom party banner. Favourite in the five-party field is Tory choice, Jas Parmar, a Sikh and a former cop, now a businessman. Olly Martins, a victim support specialist who beat local ex-police authority chair to the Labour nomination, is campaigning against cuts to frontline police services. How many votes will hardline Carroll win?
Devon and CornwallDevon and Cornwall
Ten candidates, including six independents, are fighting for a job which the Tory, former Royal Navy helicopter pilot, Commodore Tony Hogg, was expected to win comfortably until local Lib Dem activists (strong in the south-west) forced the regional executive to reverse its boycott and field a veteran, the local ex-detective chief inspector Brian Blake. Plymouth pub landlord Tam Macpherson (independent), who was revealed to have court judgments for unpaid debts while Mike Bull, chair of the local PA (which are to be replaced by PCCs), was reported to information commissioner for urging police officers to vote for councillor Brian Greenslade (independent), who promised to make Bull his PCC deputy. Can Lib Dems snatch a win here?Ten candidates, including six independents, are fighting for a job which the Tory, former Royal Navy helicopter pilot, Commodore Tony Hogg, was expected to win comfortably until local Lib Dem activists (strong in the south-west) forced the regional executive to reverse its boycott and field a veteran, the local ex-detective chief inspector Brian Blake. Plymouth pub landlord Tam Macpherson (independent), who was revealed to have court judgments for unpaid debts while Mike Bull, chair of the local PA (which are to be replaced by PCCs), was reported to information commissioner for urging police officers to vote for councillor Brian Greenslade (independent), who promised to make Bull his PCC deputy. Can Lib Dems snatch a win here?
DurhamDurham
The county-wide structure of police authorities favours Tory candidates, but not in Durham where, against strong competition, Labour's local elite quickly picked Ron Hogg, ex-county assistant chief constable and also former No 2 in the neighbouring Cleveland force. As such he may be the only senior ex-officer all but guaranteed to become a commissioner on Thursday. The Durham force has published a detailed guide to what it thinks the job of PCC should be. Theresa May will be watching Hogg's approach carefully. Will she like what she sees?The county-wide structure of police authorities favours Tory candidates, but not in Durham where, against strong competition, Labour's local elite quickly picked Ron Hogg, ex-county assistant chief constable and also former No 2 in the neighbouring Cleveland force. As such he may be the only senior ex-officer all but guaranteed to become a commissioner on Thursday. The Durham force has published a detailed guide to what it thinks the job of PCC should be. Theresa May will be watching Hogg's approach carefully. Will she like what she sees?
Dyfed-PowysDyfed-Powys
Geographically the largest police authority, albeit with the smallest budget (at £80m it is less than one-sixth of Manchester's), this sprawling mid-Wales count is rare for offering voters a straight Tory-Labour contest. Both Lib Dems (second here in 2010) and Plaid Cymru are boycotting the PCC system and would-be independents such as Tory ex-minister, Rod "Dyno-Rod" Richards, decided against. Russian-speaking ex-army officer, businessman and local farmer Christopher Salmond should beat Labour's ex-Welsh assembly member Christine Gwyther. But how will voters case their second vote?Geographically the largest police authority, albeit with the smallest budget (at £80m it is less than one-sixth of Manchester's), this sprawling mid-Wales count is rare for offering voters a straight Tory-Labour contest. Both Lib Dems (second here in 2010) and Plaid Cymru are boycotting the PCC system and would-be independents such as Tory ex-minister, Rod "Dyno-Rod" Richards, decided against. Russian-speaking ex-army officer, businessman and local farmer Christopher Salmond should beat Labour's ex-Welsh assembly member Christine Gwyther. But how will voters case their second vote?
Greater ManchesterGreater Manchester
On past elections, ex-Labour minister Tony Lloyd, who quit as an MP to run for the PCC, should easily win but (as elsewhere) Thursday's decisive contest among 2.5 million residents may be the fight between turnout and apathy. Nearest rival, the NHS development analyst Michael Winstanley (41), a sports and beer enthusiast who was once Wigan's solo Tory councillor, promises to "put victims first, criminals last". Lib Dem Matt Gallagher, who grew up in Derry during the Troubles, is a 30-year ex-Manchester police inspector who has handled city gangs, drugs and riots. Ukip's Steven Woolfe is a Mancunian barrister turned City hedge fund lawyer. Can Lloyd possibly lose?On past elections, ex-Labour minister Tony Lloyd, who quit as an MP to run for the PCC, should easily win but (as elsewhere) Thursday's decisive contest among 2.5 million residents may be the fight between turnout and apathy. Nearest rival, the NHS development analyst Michael Winstanley (41), a sports and beer enthusiast who was once Wigan's solo Tory councillor, promises to "put victims first, criminals last". Lib Dem Matt Gallagher, who grew up in Derry during the Troubles, is a 30-year ex-Manchester police inspector who has handled city gangs, drugs and riots. Ukip's Steven Woolfe is a Mancunian barrister turned City hedge fund lawyer. Can Lloyd possibly lose?
HampshireHampshire
At 78, former East Hants MP and minister Colonel Michael Mates (left) is both the oldest candidate standing and among the most controversial. Last week, police promised to investigate claims that his rented flat in Winchester does not meet the residence qualification – Mates says everyone knows he lives 500 yards inside Sussex and cleared the flat deal with election officials. Labour's Jacqui Rayment is five times chair of the local PA. But can Simon Hayes (running an indy against a politicised police), the Lib Dems' David Goodall or Ukip's Stephen West benefit most from second votes in any anti-Mates backlash?At 78, former East Hants MP and minister Colonel Michael Mates (left) is both the oldest candidate standing and among the most controversial. Last week, police promised to investigate claims that his rented flat in Winchester does not meet the residence qualification – Mates says everyone knows he lives 500 yards inside Sussex and cleared the flat deal with election officials. Labour's Jacqui Rayment is five times chair of the local PA. But can Simon Hayes (running an indy against a politicised police), the Lib Dems' David Goodall or Ukip's Stephen West benefit most from second votes in any anti-Mates backlash?
NorthamptonshireNorthamptonshire
Labour's Lee Barron, a trade union official who promised to make the county's cops spend 90% of their time on the street was one of several candidates forced to withdraw after the revelation of having teenage criminal convictions – in his case it was too late to get his name off Thursday's ballot paper. Polling station officials will not be allowed to point out his disqualification. A shoe-in for Tory Adam Simmonds, a senior council official? Ukip believes that ex-SAS man Jim MacArthur, one of its 24 candidates, may be in with a shout here (as on Humberside). The high-profile local byelection in Corby may increase turnout. Where will the anti-politics vote go?Labour's Lee Barron, a trade union official who promised to make the county's cops spend 90% of their time on the street was one of several candidates forced to withdraw after the revelation of having teenage criminal convictions – in his case it was too late to get his name off Thursday's ballot paper. Polling station officials will not be allowed to point out his disqualification. A shoe-in for Tory Adam Simmonds, a senior council official? Ukip believes that ex-SAS man Jim MacArthur, one of its 24 candidates, may be in with a shout here (as on Humberside). The high-profile local byelection in Corby may increase turnout. Where will the anti-politics vote go?
West MidlandsWest Midlands
Ex-councillor Matt Bennett, the Tory candidate for Britain's largest police authority outside London (where Boris Johnson, left, already serves as an elected police overseer), caused a stir last week when he promised to sell the force's costly HQ in Birmingham city centre (as nearby Warwickshire is doing) to fund more community policing. Narrowly ahead on paper among 2.6 million voters is Labour's Bob Jones, a bearded Wolverhampton councillor and police authority veteran at national level. The Lib Dem's Ayoub Khan, barrister and former city councillor, is one of fewer than 20 ethnic minority candidates across England and Wales. Can the winner make a success in a key testbed for a new model of democratic accountability?Ex-councillor Matt Bennett, the Tory candidate for Britain's largest police authority outside London (where Boris Johnson, left, already serves as an elected police overseer), caused a stir last week when he promised to sell the force's costly HQ in Birmingham city centre (as nearby Warwickshire is doing) to fund more community policing. Narrowly ahead on paper among 2.6 million voters is Labour's Bob Jones, a bearded Wolverhampton councillor and police authority veteran at national level. The Lib Dem's Ayoub Khan, barrister and former city councillor, is one of fewer than 20 ethnic minority candidates across England and Wales. Can the winner make a success in a key testbed for a new model of democratic accountability?
PCC elections are also taking place in:PCC elections are also taking place in:
Avon and Somerset, Cambridgeshire, Cheshire, Cleveland, Cumbria, Derbyshire, Dorset, Essex, Gloucestershire, Gwent, Hertfordshire, Kent, Lancashire, Leicestershire, Lincolnshire, Merseyside, Norfolk, North Wales, North Yorkshire, Northumbria, Nottinghamshire, South Wales, South Yorkshire, Staffordshire, Suffolk, Surrey, Sussex, Thames Valley, Warwickshire, West Mercia, West Yorkshire, and Wiltshire.Avon and Somerset, Cambridgeshire, Cheshire, Cleveland, Cumbria, Derbyshire, Dorset, Essex, Gloucestershire, Gwent, Hertfordshire, Kent, Lancashire, Leicestershire, Lincolnshire, Merseyside, Norfolk, North Wales, North Yorkshire, Northumbria, Nottinghamshire, South Wales, South Yorkshire, Staffordshire, Suffolk, Surrey, Sussex, Thames Valley, Warwickshire, West Mercia, West Yorkshire, and Wiltshire.
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