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Syria violence throws UN peace mission into doubt - live updates Syria violence throws UN peace mission into doubt - live updates
(40 minutes later)
4.38pm: Syria/Britain: President Bashar al-Assad's forces have complied with the ceasefire in Syria "in the most grudging way possible" and could attempt to hinder the work of UN observers, William Hague told the House of Commons today.
The British foreign secretary said he expected Assad's regime to attempt to use the ceasefire for its own advantage but he stressed that the situation, despite its imperfections, was a step forward from the intense bloodshed of recent months.
The Press Association says Hague told Labour's Ian Murray: "You are quite right to raise doubts about the intentions of the regime, they have complied in the most grudging way possible with the ceasefire and not yet met all of its terms:
They continued to kill as many people as they could in the opposition until the last possible moment.
I have no doubt they will, at various stages, try to obstruct the observers and they do not necessarily intend to engage sincerely in any process of political transition. All of that is true, but it is an advance to have the observers there and the Security Council resolution in place.
4.16pm: Egypt: The committee overseeing the presidential election has upheld rulings disqualifying eight candidates, including Hosni Mubarak's intelligence chief Omar Suleiman and Salafi preacher Hazem Salah Abu Ismail, the state-owned al-Ahram newspaper reported online today.
The committee has yet to decide on appeals against disqualification lodged by two other candidates including the Muslim Brotherhood's Khairat al-Shater, al-Ahram's online addition reported. Reuters could not reach officials on the committee for comment.
4.09pm: Syria/Turkey: Syria has admitted that its security forces killed 10 people on the Turkish border after what it described as an armed raid organised in Turkey.4.09pm: Syria/Turkey: Syria has admitted that its security forces killed 10 people on the Turkish border after what it described as an armed raid organised in Turkey.
Turkey complained to the United Nations last week after Syria fired across its border last Monday into a refugee camp in the first incident of its kind since the crisis began.Turkey complained to the United Nations last week after Syria fired across its border last Monday into a refugee camp in the first incident of its kind since the crisis began.
Initial reports said two people were killed in the attack. In a letter [pdf] to the UN, Turkey said two Syrians and two Turks were injured in the camp.Initial reports said two people were killed in the attack. In a letter [pdf] to the UN, Turkey said two Syrians and two Turks were injured in the camp.
Syria has responded by accusing Turkey of conspiring with Syrian rebels to fabricate a humanitarian crisis as a pretext for establishing buffer zones inside Syria. It said Turkey was helping Syrian rebels organise border raids to terrorize civilians into fleeing to Turkish refugee camps.Syria has responded by accusing Turkey of conspiring with Syrian rebels to fabricate a humanitarian crisis as a pretext for establishing buffer zones inside Syria. It said Turkey was helping Syrian rebels organise border raids to terrorize civilians into fleeing to Turkish refugee camps.
The letter [pdf] from Syria's foreign minister Walid al-Maullem claimed Syrian border troops were attacked by armed groups at the Salama crossing last week.The letter [pdf] from Syria's foreign minister Walid al-Maullem claimed Syrian border troops were attacked by armed groups at the Salama crossing last week.
In response Syrian armed forces killed nine of those involved. In another attack a day later one person was killed and two injured, Maullem said.In response Syrian armed forces killed nine of those involved. In another attack a day later one person was killed and two injured, Maullem said.
A letter from Turkey's UN ambassador Ertugrual Apakan said an increase in military action by the Syrian army had led to 6,000 Syrians fleeing to Turkey in the first week of April alone. He said 21 wounded Syrians fled last Monday, including two who later died. Later four people were injured in cross-border gunfire.A letter from Turkey's UN ambassador Ertugrual Apakan said an increase in military action by the Syrian army had led to 6,000 Syrians fleeing to Turkey in the first week of April alone. He said 21 wounded Syrians fled last Monday, including two who later died. Later four people were injured in cross-border gunfire.
Maullem said Turkey was trying to "muddy the waters". He accused it of "sheltering, arming and providing logistical support to armed terrorist elements that enter Syrian territory in order to carry out criminal attacks against government forces and innocent civilians; destroy infrastructure; target public and private property; and force scores of people into Turkey, with a view to fabricating a humanitarian crisis".Maullem said Turkey was trying to "muddy the waters". He accused it of "sheltering, arming and providing logistical support to armed terrorist elements that enter Syrian territory in order to carry out criminal attacks against government forces and innocent civilians; destroy infrastructure; target public and private property; and force scores of people into Turkey, with a view to fabricating a humanitarian crisis".
3.11pm: Saudi Arabia: A court in Riyadh has sentenced prominent Saudi rights campaigner Mohamad al-Bajadi to four years in prison, activists said today. Reuters reports:3.11pm: Saudi Arabia: A court in Riyadh has sentenced prominent Saudi rights campaigner Mohamad al-Bajadi to four years in prison, activists said today. Reuters reports:
Bajadi was detained in March 2011 after voicing support for families demonstrating outside the Interior Ministry in Riyadh to demand the release of jailed relatives, according to fellow activists. They say he has been on hunger strike for a month.Bajadi was detained in March 2011 after voicing support for families demonstrating outside the Interior Ministry in Riyadh to demand the release of jailed relatives, according to fellow activists. They say he has been on hunger strike for a month.
"Last Tuesday, after the news of the hunger strike came out, they took him to the Specialised Criminal Court in Riyadh and he objected to the legitimacy of the court ... and despite that the judge sentenced him," activist Fowzan al-Harby told Reuters."Last Tuesday, after the news of the hunger strike came out, they took him to the Specialised Criminal Court in Riyadh and he objected to the legitimacy of the court ... and despite that the judge sentenced him," activist Fowzan al-Harby told Reuters.
Bajadi has sent a handwritten letter to fellow activist Mohammad al-Qahtani saying his charges included forming a human rights association, tarnishing Saudi Arabia's reputation in the media, questioning the independence of the judiciary, encouraging political detainees' relatives to demonstrate, and owning illegal books.Bajadi has sent a handwritten letter to fellow activist Mohammad al-Qahtani saying his charges included forming a human rights association, tarnishing Saudi Arabia's reputation in the media, questioning the independence of the judiciary, encouraging political detainees' relatives to demonstrate, and owning illegal books.
2.55pm: Bahrain/Britain: There are reports that the two protesters (or "terrorists", as the Bahrain foreign ministry described them) on the roof of the embassy in London have come down and been arrested.2.55pm: Bahrain/Britain: There are reports that the two protesters (or "terrorists", as the Bahrain foreign ministry described them) on the roof of the embassy in London have come down and been arrested.
2.50pm: Syria/Lebanon: Sir Derek Plumbly, the UN special co-ordinator for Lebanon, has been visiting the Akkar area in northern Lebanon today. He said afterwards:2.50pm: Syria/Lebanon: Sir Derek Plumbly, the UN special co-ordinator for Lebanon, has been visiting the Akkar area in northern Lebanon today. He said afterwards:
There are many concerns in Lebanon about the crisis in Syria. But the impact of the crisis is probably most acute here in the north of Lebanon because of the proximity to the Syrian border and because of the displacement here of Syrian citizens who have sought refuge in Lebanon from the violence in their country.There are many concerns in Lebanon about the crisis in Syria. But the impact of the crisis is probably most acute here in the north of Lebanon because of the proximity to the Syrian border and because of the displacement here of Syrian citizens who have sought refuge in Lebanon from the violence in their country.
Last week, I know all of us were deeply disturbed by the killing of the al-Jadeed cameramen, Mr Ali Shabaan, close to the border.Last week, I know all of us were deeply disturbed by the killing of the al-Jadeed cameramen, Mr Ali Shabaan, close to the border.
I met earlier today with some of the displaced Syrian families. This was an opportunity to hear directly from them about the many hardships they continue to face, more than a year after the crisis in their country began. According to UNHCR and the Lebanese authorities, over 9,600 Syrians have registered for assistance in north Lebanon, many of them in Akkar. A lesser number are receiving assistance in the rest of the country, mainly in the Bekaa.I met earlier today with some of the displaced Syrian families. This was an opportunity to hear directly from them about the many hardships they continue to face, more than a year after the crisis in their country began. According to UNHCR and the Lebanese authorities, over 9,600 Syrians have registered for assistance in north Lebanon, many of them in Akkar. A lesser number are receiving assistance in the rest of the country, mainly in the Bekaa.
We all hope that political efforts for a solution in Syria will bear fruit and that those who have been displaced will soon be able to return to their homes. In the meantime assisting them in their need is an urgent humanitarian obligation, and one to which Lebanon has risen impressively.We all hope that political efforts for a solution in Syria will bear fruit and that those who have been displaced will soon be able to return to their homes. In the meantime assisting them in their need is an urgent humanitarian obligation, and one to which Lebanon has risen impressively.
2.34pm: The activist group, the Local Co-ordination Committees in Syria claims 39 people have been killed in Syria today.2.34pm: The activist group, the Local Co-ordination Committees in Syria claims 39 people have been killed in Syria today.
The majority, 26, were killed in Idlib including eight who were executed, it said.The majority, 26, were killed in Idlib including eight who were executed, it said.
The report is impossible to verify. The opposition Syrian National Council also claimed eight detainees were executed in Idlib, in emailed update yesterday.The report is impossible to verify. The opposition Syrian National Council also claimed eight detainees were executed in Idlib, in emailed update yesterday.
The BBC foreign editor Jon Williams tweeted that the ceasefire is over in Idlib.The BBC foreign editor Jon Williams tweeted that the ceasefire is over in Idlib.
BBC team witnessed #Syria ceasefire collapse in Idlib. Jebal al-Zawiyah hit by helicopters, tanks, artillery. Casualties in field hospitals.BBC team witnessed #Syria ceasefire collapse in Idlib. Jebal al-Zawiyah hit by helicopters, tanks, artillery. Casualties in field hospitals.
— Jon Williams (@WilliamsJon) April 17, 2012— Jon Williams (@WilliamsJon) April 17, 2012
1.55pm: The Norwegian General Robert Mood, who was initially in charge of the UN peacekeeping mission in Syria, has returned to Oslo leading to speculation that he wants to disassociate himself from a mission he can't endorse, according to Reuters.1.55pm: The Norwegian General Robert Mood, who was initially in charge of the UN peacekeeping mission in Syria, has returned to Oslo leading to speculation that he wants to disassociate himself from a mission he can't endorse, according to Reuters.
UN ambassador Vitaly Churkin of Russia, a defender of the Syrian government, accused Mood of "sort of fleeing his position in the middle of action", while Annan's team denied there was any problem with the generalUN ambassador Vitaly Churkin of Russia, a defender of the Syrian government, accused Mood of "sort of fleeing his position in the middle of action", while Annan's team denied there was any problem with the general
..
Mood was selected to head the mission earlier this month.Mood was selected to head the mission earlier this month.
An editorial in Lebanon's Daily Star said:An editorial in Lebanon's Daily Star said:
The mystery of the missing mission chief – Norwegian General Robert Mood, who arrived in Damascus two weeks ago, only to return to Oslo with an apparent vow of silence, and who has now been replaced by Moroccan Ahmed Himmiche – should be cause for concern. While the UN has insisted there is no problem, it seems evident that Mood took umbrage with the extent of the mission's reach in Syria, and its ability to have a real impact on the outcome of the cease-fire.The mystery of the missing mission chief – Norwegian General Robert Mood, who arrived in Damascus two weeks ago, only to return to Oslo with an apparent vow of silence, and who has now been replaced by Moroccan Ahmed Himmiche – should be cause for concern. While the UN has insisted there is no problem, it seems evident that Mood took umbrage with the extent of the mission's reach in Syria, and its ability to have a real impact on the outcome of the cease-fire.
Mood has not revealed why he returned to Norway.Mood has not revealed why he returned to Norway.
The reasons for his departure remain a mystery even to senior UN officials according to the specialist diplomatic blog Inner City Press.The reasons for his departure remain a mystery even to senior UN officials according to the specialist diplomatic blog Inner City Press.
Meanwhile, UN secretary general Ban Ki-Moon has admitted that 250 observers won't be enough to monitor the unravelling ceasefire.Meanwhile, UN secretary general Ban Ki-Moon has admitted that 250 observers won't be enough to monitor the unravelling ceasefire.
1.44pm: Qatar: Rumours of an attempted coup in Qatar have been circulating since late yesterday, though there is no reliable evidence that they are true. On the internet, Syria, Iran and Saudi Arabia have all been accused of starting the rumour or spreading it.1.44pm: Qatar: Rumours of an attempted coup in Qatar have been circulating since late yesterday, though there is no reliable evidence that they are true. On the internet, Syria, Iran and Saudi Arabia have all been accused of starting the rumour or spreading it.
According to Doha News, the Saudi-owned al-Arabiya TV channel posted a story on its website which was later withdrawn. Al-Arabiya journalist Muhamamd Saud Jamal (@msjamal) also posted several tweets about it – though they have now been deleted and he has posted an apology in Arabic saying he received false news from Qatar.According to Doha News, the Saudi-owned al-Arabiya TV channel posted a story on its website which was later withdrawn. Al-Arabiya journalist Muhamamd Saud Jamal (@msjamal) also posted several tweets about it – though they have now been deleted and he has posted an apology in Arabic saying he received false news from Qatar.
Meanwhile, a Facebook page called "The Qatari Revolution Against Sheikh Hamad [the emir] and Moza [his senior wife]", which is said to be pro-Assad, continues to post claims of demonstrations, arrests and clashes in Qatar, with the US allegedly providing support for the emir.Meanwhile, a Facebook page called "The Qatari Revolution Against Sheikh Hamad [the emir] and Moza [his senior wife]", which is said to be pro-Assad, continues to post claims of demonstrations, arrests and clashes in Qatar, with the US allegedly providing support for the emir.
Qatar, of course, has taken a particularly strong line against the Assad regime.Qatar, of course, has taken a particularly strong line against the Assad regime.
The Iranian news agency, Fars, is also getting excited about the story:The Iranian news agency, Fars, is also getting excited about the story:
Informed sources close to the royal family in Qatar told FNA that a failed coup d'état has happened in Qatar but the Qatari officials have sought hard to keep it away from the media and the public, given the growingly fragile conditions in the country and the instability in a number of regional Arab states.Informed sources close to the royal family in Qatar told FNA that a failed coup d'état has happened in Qatar but the Qatari officials have sought hard to keep it away from the media and the public, given the growingly fragile conditions in the country and the instability in a number of regional Arab states.
The sources asked to remain anonymous due to the high sensitivity of the issue.The sources asked to remain anonymous due to the high sensitivity of the issue.
Fars continues:Fars continues:
The news about the military coup attempt coincided with a statement issued by certain figures in Qatar's ruling family, who oppose the current regime, announcing they do not recognize the legitimacy of Emir Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, while they backed his brother, now exiled in France, Abdul Aziz bin Khalifa Hamad Al-Thani.The news about the military coup attempt coincided with a statement issued by certain figures in Qatar's ruling family, who oppose the current regime, announcing they do not recognize the legitimacy of Emir Hamad bin Khalifa Al Thani, while they backed his brother, now exiled in France, Abdul Aziz bin Khalifa Hamad Al-Thani.
The statement was signed by 66 opposition figures, including 16 from the ruling Al Thani family. They directed serious charges against the Emir, including the establishment of relations with Israel, total coordination with the United States of America and breaking the Arab ranks. They also claimed his close family members and his wife's family members are involved in cases of corruption and social injustice.The statement was signed by 66 opposition figures, including 16 from the ruling Al Thani family. They directed serious charges against the Emir, including the establishment of relations with Israel, total coordination with the United States of America and breaking the Arab ranks. They also claimed his close family members and his wife's family members are involved in cases of corruption and social injustice.
Interestingly, that section of Fars's story appears to have been plagiarised from reports of an earlier alleged coup attempt in Qatar that were published in February last year.Interestingly, that section of Fars's story appears to have been plagiarised from reports of an earlier alleged coup attempt in Qatar that were published in February last year.
Sheikh Hamad, a graduate of Sandhurst military academy in Britain, seized power in 1995 by deposing his father in a bloodless palace coup. Since the Arab Spring broke out, he has backed uprisings in other Arab countries while maintaining an autocratic grip over his own country.Sheikh Hamad, a graduate of Sandhurst military academy in Britain, seized power in 1995 by deposing his father in a bloodless palace coup. Since the Arab Spring broke out, he has backed uprisings in other Arab countries while maintaining an autocratic grip over his own country.
In an unguarded comment last year, President Obama remarked on the emir's double standards:In an unguarded comment last year, President Obama remarked on the emir's double standards:
He is a big booster, big promoter of democracy all throughout the Middle East. Reform, reform, reform -- you're seeing it on Al Jazeera.He is a big booster, big promoter of democracy all throughout the Middle East. Reform, reform, reform -- you're seeing it on Al Jazeera.
Now, he himself is not reforming significantly. There's no big move towards democracy in Qatar. But you know part of the reason is that the per capita income of Qatar is $145,000 a year. That will dampen a lot of conflict.Now, he himself is not reforming significantly. There's no big move towards democracy in Qatar. But you know part of the reason is that the per capita income of Qatar is $145,000 a year. That will dampen a lot of conflict.
12.45pm: Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov warned against "third parties" becoming involved in Syria, while his deputy revealed that a significant number of the UN observers will be Russian.12.45pm: Russia's foreign minister Sergei Lavrov warned against "third parties" becoming involved in Syria, while his deputy revealed that a significant number of the UN observers will be Russian.
RIA Novosti quoted Lavrov as saying:RIA Novosti quoted Lavrov as saying:
I can't help focusing on the problem of outer influence on the Syrian processes. There are countries, external forces which are not interested in the success of the UN security council's efforts [on solving the conflict].I can't help focusing on the problem of outer influence on the Syrian processes. There are countries, external forces which are not interested in the success of the UN security council's efforts [on solving the conflict].
It also quoted deputy foreign minister Sergei Ryabkov, as saying: "Russia will be significantly represented in the observers' mission in Syria."It also quoted deputy foreign minister Sergei Ryabkov, as saying: "Russia will be significantly represented in the observers' mission in Syria."
In reference to Russia's continued backing of the Assad regime, Syrian writer Rana Kabbani quipped:In reference to Russia's continued backing of the Assad regime, Syrian writer Rana Kabbani quipped:
"@AlArabiya_Eng: Russian FM Lavrov says unspecified external forces seek 2 undermine #Syria peace effortsToo true! They r called #Russians!"@AlArabiya_Eng: Russian FM Lavrov says unspecified external forces seek 2 undermine #Syria peace effortsToo true! They r called #Russians!
— Rana Kabbani (@RanaKabbani54) April 17, 2012— Rana Kabbani (@RanaKabbani54) April 17, 2012
12.25pm: Here's a summary of events so far today:12.25pm: Here's a summary of events so far today:
SyriaSyria
• The Syrian army widened their attacks on opposition targets in further sign that the UN-brokered ceasefire is unravelling, activists told AP. The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said tanks shelled the southern town of Busra al-Harir today, killing two people. New video footage purported to show Homs being shelled today.• The Syrian army widened their attacks on opposition targets in further sign that the UN-brokered ceasefire is unravelling, activists told AP. The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said tanks shelled the southern town of Busra al-Harir today, killing two people. New video footage purported to show Homs being shelled today.
• Susan Rice, the US ambassador to the UN, said repeated reports of breaches in last Thursday's ceasefire raise doubts about the future of the UN peacekeeping mission. Speaking to reporters she said:
"Should the violence persist and the cease-fire – or cessation of violence, more aptly – not hold, that ... will call into question the wisdom and viability of sending in the full monitoring presence." US secretary of state Hillary Clinton suggested the US was planning further steps against Syria Kofi Annan's six point plan failed.		• Susan Rice, the US ambassador to the UN, said repeated reports of breaches in last Thursday's ceasefire raise doubts about the future of the UN peacekeeping mission. Speaking to reporters she said:
"Should the violence persist and the cease-fire – or cessation of violence, more aptly – not hold, that ... will call into question the wisdom and viability of sending in the full monitoring presence." US secretary of state Hillary Clinton suggested the US was planning further steps against Syria Kofi Annan's six point plan failed.
EgyptEgypt
• Egypt's presidential election, schedule to start at the end of next month, could be delayed after the ruling military council insisted that a new constitution be written before a new president is elected. The election has already been marred by confusion after the commission overseeing the process disqualified 10 of the 23 candidates from the race.• Egypt's presidential election, schedule to start at the end of next month, could be delayed after the ruling military council insisted that a new constitution be written before a new president is elected. The election has already been marred by confusion after the commission overseeing the process disqualified 10 of the 23 candidates from the race.
BahrainBahrain
• Bahrain's foreign ministry has urged Britain to protect its embassy in London after rooftop protest against the kingdom rulers stretched into its second day. A banner draped over the building carried pictures of hunger striking human rights activist Abdulhadi al-Khawaja and opposition leader Hassan Mushaima, both of whom were sentenced to life in prison in Bahrain following last year's pro-democracy protests there. The BBC identified the protesters as Mushaima's son, Ali, and 30-year-old Moosa Satrawi. In Bahrain activists burned what they claimed was the biggest Formula One billboard on the island's main highway.• Bahrain's foreign ministry has urged Britain to protect its embassy in London after rooftop protest against the kingdom rulers stretched into its second day. A banner draped over the building carried pictures of hunger striking human rights activist Abdulhadi al-Khawaja and opposition leader Hassan Mushaima, both of whom were sentenced to life in prison in Bahrain following last year's pro-democracy protests there. The BBC identified the protesters as Mushaima's son, Ali, and 30-year-old Moosa Satrawi. In Bahrain activists burned what they claimed was the biggest Formula One billboard on the island's main highway.
• Bahrain's claims that it is tackling human rights abuses have been severely questioned in a new report by Amnesty International that highlights continuing reports of torture and excessive use of force against protesters. The group's Middle East deputy director, Hassiba Hadj Sahraoui, said: "With the world's eyes on Bahrain as it prepares to host the Grand Prix, no-one should be under any illusions that the country's human rights crisis is over."• Bahrain's claims that it is tackling human rights abuses have been severely questioned in a new report by Amnesty International that highlights continuing reports of torture and excessive use of force against protesters. The group's Middle East deputy director, Hassiba Hadj Sahraoui, said: "With the world's eyes on Bahrain as it prepares to host the Grand Prix, no-one should be under any illusions that the country's human rights crisis is over."
12.24pm: Today is officially known as Independence Day in Syria – the anniversary of the French military withdrawal in 1946 that finally ended the mandate and left the country in the hands of a republican government.12.24pm: Today is officially known as Independence Day in Syria – the anniversary of the French military withdrawal in 1946 that finally ended the mandate and left the country in the hands of a republican government.
The government news agency, Sana, says:The government news agency, Sana, says:
The cabinet pointed out in a statement issued on Tuesday that the national patriotic spirit sprang up in the face of the French occupation, which assumed that by arrogance, conspiratorial acts and stirring up sedition would guarantee the duration of occupying Syria, pointing out that the Syrians of all backgrounds rushed to defend their homeland.The cabinet pointed out in a statement issued on Tuesday that the national patriotic spirit sprang up in the face of the French occupation, which assumed that by arrogance, conspiratorial acts and stirring up sedition would guarantee the duration of occupying Syria, pointing out that the Syrians of all backgrounds rushed to defend their homeland.
It clarified that the occasion this year coincides with the risks and challenges encountering the stability, security and pan-Arab role of the country, underlining the importance of reminding all those who forgot, did not read or did not understand Syria's history well, that the faith of the Syrians in their country and adherence to the national unity are the strongest weapon to foil the conspiracy.It clarified that the occasion this year coincides with the risks and challenges encountering the stability, security and pan-Arab role of the country, underlining the importance of reminding all those who forgot, did not read or did not understand Syria's history well, that the faith of the Syrians in their country and adherence to the national unity are the strongest weapon to foil the conspiracy.
The cabinet congratulated the Syrians, underlining its commitment and determination to double up efforts to go on in the reform and development process.The cabinet congratulated the Syrians, underlining its commitment and determination to double up efforts to go on in the reform and development process.
The occasion has also prompted pro- and anti-regime comments on Twitter:The occasion has also prompted pro- and anti-regime comments on Twitter:
Happy independence day my beloved Syria. Free from imperialists you shall remain. Free from traitors.Happy independence day my beloved Syria. Free from imperialists you shall remain. Free from traitors.
— S (@ShorukAlShams) April 16, 2012— S (@ShorukAlShams) April 16, 2012
On April 17, 66 years ago, #Syria got its independence from #France; stay tuned for the date of our full liberation.On April 17, 66 years ago, #Syria got its independence from #France; stay tuned for the date of our full liberation.
— Rime Allaf (@rallaf) April 17, 2012— Rime Allaf (@rallaf) April 17, 2012
Happy Independence Day, Syria! French soldiers finished evacuating 65 yrs ago. France & its NATO mates can stay away! #KeepSyriaIndependentHappy Independence Day, Syria! French soldiers finished evacuating 65 yrs ago. France & its NATO mates can stay away! #KeepSyriaIndependent
— Agent of Change (@agent_of_change) April 17, 2012— Agent of Change (@agent_of_change) April 17, 2012
Citizens of Majdal Kikhia defied security by raising the independence flag on a mountain as their village was being bombed. #Latakia #SyriaCitizens of Majdal Kikhia defied security by raising the independence flag on a mountain as their village was being bombed. #Latakia #Syria
— mariya (@Peace4Syria) April 11, 2012— mariya (@Peace4Syria) April 11, 2012
Happy Independence Day 2 all #Syrian lovers of freedom. Say a prayer 4 the soul of #ShukriQuwatli. Glad he cannot see his beloved #Syria nowHappy Independence Day 2 all #Syrian lovers of freedom. Say a prayer 4 the soul of #ShukriQuwatli. Glad he cannot see his beloved #Syria now
— Rana Kabbani (@RanaKabbani54) April 17, 2012— Rana Kabbani (@RanaKabbani54) April 17, 2012
12.08pm: Western sanctions on Syria have almost halved its foreign currency reserves and reduced oil production by 30%, Reuters reports citing French diplomatic sources said.12.08pm: Western sanctions on Syria have almost halved its foreign currency reserves and reduced oil production by 30%, Reuters reports citing French diplomatic sources said.
Officials from almost sixty countries, including the European Union and the Arab League, meet in Paris on Tuesday to discuss the efficiency of sanctions imposed on Syria to raise pressure on Assad to comply with a UN-backed peace plan.Officials from almost sixty countries, including the European Union and the Arab League, meet in Paris on Tuesday to discuss the efficiency of sanctions imposed on Syria to raise pressure on Assad to comply with a UN-backed peace plan.
"We haven't got a perfect measurement instrument to tell us when the regime will no longer be able to function, but we are seeing an extremely strong decline in foreign reserves. About half," one French diplomatic source said."We haven't got a perfect measurement instrument to tell us when the regime will no longer be able to function, but we are seeing an extremely strong decline in foreign reserves. About half," one French diplomatic source said.
Foreign reserves were estimated at $17bn before the unrest broke out more than a year ago.Foreign reserves were estimated at $17bn before the unrest broke out more than a year ago.
Prior to EU sanctions Damascus sold 90% of its oil to Europe and with that market closed Syrian production has now fallen 30 percent. Sources estimate lost revenues at about €400m euros a month, or a total $2bn since November.Prior to EU sanctions Damascus sold 90% of its oil to Europe and with that market closed Syrian production has now fallen 30 percent. Sources estimate lost revenues at about €400m euros a month, or a total $2bn since November.
"With the deteriorating economy there is a hyperinflationary context, sharp collapse of the currency and a fall in revenues. That pressure will eventually be felt," said a second source."With the deteriorating economy there is a hyperinflationary context, sharp collapse of the currency and a fall in revenues. That pressure will eventually be felt," said a second source.
Tuesday's meeting will be attended by diplomats and finance ministry officials. While not expected to decide on new measures, the 57 countries will outline measures they have taken against Damascus and discuss how to ensure their implementation.Tuesday's meeting will be attended by diplomats and finance ministry officials. While not expected to decide on new measures, the 57 countries will outline measures they have taken against Damascus and discuss how to ensure their implementation.
The latest International Crisis Group report says it doubtful that sanctions and the deteriorating Syria finances will have a significant impact on the current political crisis.The latest International Crisis Group report says it doubtful that sanctions and the deteriorating Syria finances will have a significant impact on the current political crisis.
It is dubious that the economy's slow collapse will prompt significant concern or recalculations among decision-makers. The Syrian pound's plummeting value paradoxically has reduced the state's foreign currency expenditures, postponing its bankruptcy; indeed, public service salaries have been halved as the dollar's local value doubled. Delays in salary payments, declining basic services, fuel shortages and skyrocketing prices have barely affected the course of events or the opposition's effectiveness. In a highly mobilised society, whoever potentially could be tempted to protest has done so already; economic hardships are unlikely to draw many more to the streets. The near-total breakdown in local administration, education and health care that has affected several areas of the country is of little consequence to a regime that for now appears to have given up on any objective other than survival. As for the ruling family, it can readily shift its business interests from the legal economy to other, equally lucrative black market opportunities.It is dubious that the economy's slow collapse will prompt significant concern or recalculations among decision-makers. The Syrian pound's plummeting value paradoxically has reduced the state's foreign currency expenditures, postponing its bankruptcy; indeed, public service salaries have been halved as the dollar's local value doubled. Delays in salary payments, declining basic services, fuel shortages and skyrocketing prices have barely affected the course of events or the opposition's effectiveness. In a highly mobilised society, whoever potentially could be tempted to protest has done so already; economic hardships are unlikely to draw many more to the streets. The near-total breakdown in local administration, education and health care that has affected several areas of the country is of little consequence to a regime that for now appears to have given up on any objective other than survival. As for the ruling family, it can readily shift its business interests from the legal economy to other, equally lucrative black market opportunities.
12.02pm: Hillary Clinton's latest comments on Syria illustrate the kind of western ambivalence on Syria that is roundly criticised in the latest International Crisis Group report on Syria.12.02pm: Hillary Clinton's latest comments on Syria illustrate the kind of western ambivalence on Syria that is roundly criticised in the latest International Crisis Group report on Syria.
As we mentioned earlier Clinton said the US was "hoping for the best" on Annan's peace plan but considering "next steps" if it failed (see 9.29am).As we mentioned earlier Clinton said the US was "hoping for the best" on Annan's peace plan but considering "next steps" if it failed (see 9.29am).
The ICG report, by Damascus-based analyst Peter Harling, described this kind of approach as confused and counter-productive. It says:The ICG report, by Damascus-based analyst Peter Harling, described this kind of approach as confused and counter-productive. It says:
This dual US and Arab approach – on the one hand, proclaiming support for Annan and for a diplomatic resolution; on the other, toying with greater militarisation of the opposition – arguably is a strategy at war with itself and one that could readily backfire. Some argue that only by dangling the prospect of a stronger rebel force might Assad be persuaded to give in, But a different scenario is more likely: the regime will point to any decision to arm the opposition as a breach of the Annan plan and use it as a reason not to comply and to reinvigorate its own offensive; meanwhile, the military half-measures on behalf of the opposition might satisfy the urge to "do something" – but these will be woefully inadequate to beat back a regime offensive. There are good reasons why the US wishes to steer clear of direct military involvement – not least the danger of regional spillover and the outbreak of an even bloodier civil war. But the end result of the mixed approach currently contemplated risks being to both undermine the diplomatic track and expose the opposition to ever harsher retaliation.This dual US and Arab approach – on the one hand, proclaiming support for Annan and for a diplomatic resolution; on the other, toying with greater militarisation of the opposition – arguably is a strategy at war with itself and one that could readily backfire. Some argue that only by dangling the prospect of a stronger rebel force might Assad be persuaded to give in, But a different scenario is more likely: the regime will point to any decision to arm the opposition as a breach of the Annan plan and use it as a reason not to comply and to reinvigorate its own offensive; meanwhile, the military half-measures on behalf of the opposition might satisfy the urge to "do something" – but these will be woefully inadequate to beat back a regime offensive. There are good reasons why the US wishes to steer clear of direct military involvement – not least the danger of regional spillover and the outbreak of an even bloodier civil war. But the end result of the mixed approach currently contemplated risks being to both undermine the diplomatic track and expose the opposition to ever harsher retaliation.
Harling's report admits that the chance of Kofi Annan's peace initiative are slim, but it argues that it remains the best option on the table. It suggest the current ambivalence to the Annan plan risks repeating the failure of Arab League initiative earlier this year.Harling's report admits that the chance of Kofi Annan's peace initiative are slim, but it argues that it remains the best option on the table. It suggest the current ambivalence to the Annan plan risks repeating the failure of Arab League initiative earlier this year.
Far worse than giving this a chance would be to repeat the mistake committed during the last diplomatic, Arab League-sponsored initiative, which also included a monitoring mission: to expect its failure; rush to pull the plug on an unsatisfactory policy; wait for the emergence of an alternative that has been neither considered nor agreed. And then watch, as the killing goes on.Far worse than giving this a chance would be to repeat the mistake committed during the last diplomatic, Arab League-sponsored initiative, which also included a monitoring mission: to expect its failure; rush to pull the plug on an unsatisfactory policy; wait for the emergence of an alternative that has been neither considered nor agreed. And then watch, as the killing goes on.
The report points out that Assad's regime has been repeating stalling tactics over the Annan plan that it used during Arab League initiative.The report points out that Assad's regime has been repeating stalling tactics over the Annan plan that it used during Arab League initiative.
To date, Damascus' reaction has been in line with its traditional posture: it took some time before accepting Annan's six-point plan (including a commitment to political negotiations, a UN-supervised ceasefire, guaranteed humanitarian access, the release of detainees, freedom of movement for foreign media and respect for the right to peaceful demonstrations); is dragging its feet regarding implementation; injecting conditions (such as the end to all opposition violence); and exploiting (if not provoking) spikes in violence to stall the process.To date, Damascus' reaction has been in line with its traditional posture: it took some time before accepting Annan's six-point plan (including a commitment to political negotiations, a UN-supervised ceasefire, guaranteed humanitarian access, the release of detainees, freedom of movement for foreign media and respect for the right to peaceful demonstrations); is dragging its feet regarding implementation; injecting conditions (such as the end to all opposition violence); and exploiting (if not provoking) spikes in violence to stall the process.
Despite such tactics from the regime the ICG report argues that Annan's proposals should be fleshed out to form the basis for political deal.Despite such tactics from the regime the ICG report argues that Annan's proposals should be fleshed out to form the basis for political deal.
It suggests that a deal could be made to work if it included:It suggests that a deal could be made to work if it included:
• Details of how peacekeeping mission would work• Details of how peacekeeping mission would work
• Piloting a ceasefire on a small scale first• Piloting a ceasefire on a small scale first
• A freeze on all weapons transfers from neighbouring countries• A freeze on all weapons transfers from neighbouring countries
• A deal to allow peaceful protests anywhere in Syria apart from central Damascus• A deal to allow peaceful protests anywhere in Syria apart from central Damascus
• Launching an international investigation into the worst forms of violence• Launching an international investigation into the worst forms of violence
11.45am: Bahrain/Britain: Two protesters who climbed on to the roof of the Bahrain embassy in London yesterday are still there this morning, despite some wet and chilly weather overnight.11.45am: Bahrain/Britain: Two protesters who climbed on to the roof of the Bahrain embassy in London yesterday are still there this morning, despite some wet and chilly weather overnight.
They unfurled a banner showing pictures of hunger striking human rights activist Abdulhadi al-Khawaja and senior Shia opposition leader Hassan Mushaima, both of whom were sentenced to life in prison in Bahrain following last year's pro-democracy protests there.They unfurled a banner showing pictures of hunger striking human rights activist Abdulhadi al-Khawaja and senior Shia opposition leader Hassan Mushaima, both of whom were sentenced to life in prison in Bahrain following last year's pro-democracy protests there.
The BBC identified the protesters as Mushaima's son, Ali, and 30-year-old Moosa Satrawi. "I'm not going down until I hear Mr al-Khawaja call me or Mr Mushaima," Satrawi told the BBC. "Otherwise I will jump myself from the roof."The BBC identified the protesters as Mushaima's son, Ali, and 30-year-old Moosa Satrawi. "I'm not going down until I hear Mr al-Khawaja call me or Mr Mushaima," Satrawi told the BBC. "Otherwise I will jump myself from the roof."
Bahrain's foreign ministry has described the protesters as "terrorists", urging the British authorities to "deal with the situation immediately, take necessary and fast action required in such cases, disembark the terrorists from the roof of the building and enforce the working law proceedings against them".Bahrain's foreign ministry has described the protesters as "terrorists", urging the British authorities to "deal with the situation immediately, take necessary and fast action required in such cases, disembark the terrorists from the roof of the building and enforce the working law proceedings against them".
11.18am: Bahrain: News of a spat between Bahrain's Information Affairs Authority (IAA) and Brazilian political cartoonist Carlos Latuff.11.18am: Bahrain: News of a spat between Bahrain's Information Affairs Authority (IAA) and Brazilian political cartoonist Carlos Latuff.
Some of his cartoons have been used as posters during demonstrations in Bahrain but the IAA is complaining that they lack "integrity" and "balance" and contain "serious journalistic and factual errors".Some of his cartoons have been used as posters during demonstrations in Bahrain but the IAA is complaining that they lack "integrity" and "balance" and contain "serious journalistic and factual errors".
They also complain that his drawings "tip over the limits" of free speech.They also complain that his drawings "tip over the limits" of free speech.
Here's a sample of Latuff's recent work.Here's a sample of Latuff's recent work.
10.53am: Egypt: The ruling military council has inserted a new element of confusion into the coming presidential election, the Associated Press reports. The generals now insist a new constitution be written before a new president is seated – a rushed timeframe that some fear may prolong their hold on power. AP continues:10.53am: Egypt: The ruling military council has inserted a new element of confusion into the coming presidential election, the Associated Press reports. The generals now insist a new constitution be written before a new president is seated – a rushed timeframe that some fear may prolong their hold on power. AP continues:
For weeks, the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamists sought to dominate the writing of the country's first new constitution since the fall of President Hosni Mubarak more than a year ago. But after Islamist domination of the process sparked a backlash of criticism, the military has stepped back in to take a more direct role.For weeks, the Muslim Brotherhood and other Islamists sought to dominate the writing of the country's first new constitution since the fall of President Hosni Mubarak more than a year ago. But after Islamist domination of the process sparked a backlash of criticism, the military has stepped back in to take a more direct role.
The military's new assertiveness has split the national debate. Some liberals have welcomed the military's weight to counteract the increasing power of Islamists. Others, however, worry that the generals aim to continue their control over Egypt beyond their promised deadline for handing over power to a civilian president by the end of June.The military's new assertiveness has split the national debate. Some liberals have welcomed the military's weight to counteract the increasing power of Islamists. Others, however, worry that the generals aim to continue their control over Egypt beyond their promised deadline for handing over power to a civilian president by the end of June.
In a meeting Sunday, the ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces urged heads of political parties, including the Brotherhood, to finish writing the country's constitution before the election of a new president, now set for May 23-24.In a meeting Sunday, the ruling Supreme Council of the Armed Forces urged heads of political parties, including the Brotherhood, to finish writing the country's constitution before the election of a new president, now set for May 23-24.
The generals did not directly say the election would be delayed if the constitution is not finished, according to Mustafa el-Naggar, who attended the meeting. But few believe the document can be written and approved by a referendum in that timeframe.The generals did not directly say the election would be delayed if the constitution is not finished, according to Mustafa el-Naggar, who attended the meeting. But few believe the document can be written and approved by a referendum in that timeframe.
"My feeling is something is just not right," said Muslim Brotherhood spokesman Mahmoud Ghozlan. "This is too foggy ... Is there a desire to find a pretext to extend the transitional period?""My feeling is something is just not right," said Muslim Brotherhood spokesman Mahmoud Ghozlan. "This is too foggy ... Is there a desire to find a pretext to extend the transitional period?"
El-Naggar's al-Adl party warned that pushing back elections would open the door for "mayhem that threatens the country's security ... It is a coup against the democratic transition. The people won't accept anyone ruling them without an election."El-Naggar's al-Adl party warned that pushing back elections would open the door for "mayhem that threatens the country's security ... It is a coup against the democratic transition. The people won't accept anyone ruling them without an election."
The election has already been marred by confusion after the commission overseeing the process on Friday disqualified 10 of the 23 candidates from the race, including the top three hopefuls. The three the Muslim Brotherhood's Khairat al-Shater, former intelligence chief Omar Suleiman, and Islamist Hazem Abu Ismail all submitted their appeals on Monday.The election has already been marred by confusion after the commission overseeing the process on Friday disqualified 10 of the 23 candidates from the race, including the top three hopefuls. The three the Muslim Brotherhood's Khairat al-Shater, former intelligence chief Omar Suleiman, and Islamist Hazem Abu Ismail all submitted their appeals on Monday.
The election commission is expected to decide Tuesday which appeals will be reviewed, and a final list of candidates will be released 26 April, just under a month before the vote.The election commission is expected to decide Tuesday which appeals will be reviewed, and a final list of candidates will be released 26 April, just under a month before the vote.
The process for writing the constitution has similarly been thrown into turmoil, fuelling doubts it can be finished quickly. A panel created by parliament is supposed to draw up the document. Last month, the Brotherhood and other Islamists, who hold 70% of parliament's seats, formed a 100-member panel dominated by Islamists, provoking an outcry that they were trying to control the process.The process for writing the constitution has similarly been thrown into turmoil, fuelling doubts it can be finished quickly. A panel created by parliament is supposed to draw up the document. Last month, the Brotherhood and other Islamists, who hold 70% of parliament's seats, formed a 100-member panel dominated by Islamists, provoking an outcry that they were trying to control the process.
A court suspended that panel, and now the military is mediating a new attempt to form a new one. The parliament must still vote on the final makeup.A court suspended that panel, and now the military is mediating a new attempt to form a new one. The parliament must still vote on the final makeup.
10.40am: Bahrain: Former Islamist Ed Husain, who founded Quilliam, Britain's first counter-extremism thinktank, and now works for the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, has been causing a stir on Twitter with comments about his visit to Bahrain in the company of Richard Haass, CFR's president.10.40am: Bahrain: Former Islamist Ed Husain, who founded Quilliam, Britain's first counter-extremism thinktank, and now works for the Council on Foreign Relations in New York, has been causing a stir on Twitter with comments about his visit to Bahrain in the company of Richard Haass, CFR's president.
Other Twitters users have both praised and condemned him for what appear to be pro-regime sympathies.Other Twitters users have both praised and condemned him for what appear to be pro-regime sympathies.
He announced his arrival in the kingdom on April 15, to a "warm welcome from great people", and soon noted the large proportion of women (43%) employed in the civil service: "On average, their salaries are higher than men."He announced his arrival in the kingdom on April 15, to a "warm welcome from great people", and soon noted the large proportion of women (43%) employed in the civil service: "On average, their salaries are higher than men."
Before long, he was tweeting about being given "free access to all and sundry" and how Bahrainis are "open to talking/engaging".Before long, he was tweeting about being given "free access to all and sundry" and how Bahrainis are "open to talking/engaging".
Husain was then "honoured" to meet Khalid al-Khalifa, Bahrain's "visionary" foreign minister.Husain was then "honoured" to meet Khalid al-Khalifa, Bahrain's "visionary" foreign minister.
Honored to meet His Excellency @khalidalkhalifa today in #Bahrain. Thoughtful, caveated, and visionary. Bahrain's 'opposition': engage.Honored to meet His Excellency @khalidalkhalifa today in #Bahrain. Thoughtful, caveated, and visionary. Bahrain's 'opposition': engage.
— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012
Khalifa, in turn, was delighted to meet Husain:Khalifa, in turn, was delighted to meet Husain:
Had the pleasure of meeting @Ed_Husain from CFR today .. Brainstorming conversation on local and regional issuesHad the pleasure of meeting @Ed_Husain from CFR today .. Brainstorming conversation on local and regional issues
— Khalid Alkhalifa (@khalidalkhalifa) April 16, 2012— Khalid Alkhalifa (@khalidalkhalifa) April 16, 2012
Husain's tweets continue:Husain's tweets continue:
Heading off to meet 'opposition' leaders in #Bahrain. Met senior parliamentarians earlier. They represent the people - not thugs on streets.Heading off to meet 'opposition' leaders in #Bahrain. Met senior parliamentarians earlier. They represent the people - not thugs on streets.
— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012
There's a fine line between a demonstration and a riot - many, many complaints here in #Bahrain of rise of latter in villages.There's a fine line between a demonstration and a riot - many, many complaints here in #Bahrain of rise of latter in villages.
— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012
Shia Muslims here in #Bahrain complaining about intimidation by Shia al-Wifaq grp + its clerics. Rise of sectarianism damaging all.Shia Muslims here in #Bahrain complaining about intimidation by Shia al-Wifaq grp + its clerics. Rise of sectarianism damaging all.
— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012
Good to meet with #Bahrain opposition leaders Shaikh Ali Salman, Matar Matar, +others. Passionate people. Need to return to parliament.Good to meet with #Bahrain opposition leaders Shaikh Ali Salman, Matar Matar, +others. Passionate people. Need to return to parliament.
— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 16, 2012
Human rights activists must not sit by idly as supporters attack unarmed police with molotov cocktails, arrows. Condemn, control. #BahrainHuman rights activists must not sit by idly as supporters attack unarmed police with molotov cocktails, arrows. Condemn, control. #Bahrain
— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 17, 2012— Ed Husain (@Ed_Husain) April 17, 2012
10.01am: A German shipping company which owns a boat suspected of trying to smuggle Iranian arms to Syria said it had no knowledge of weapons on board, Reuters reports.10.01am: A German shipping company which owns a boat suspected of trying to smuggle Iranian arms to Syria said it had no knowledge of weapons on board, Reuters reports.
W Bockstiegel said it ordered the vessel Atlantic Cruiser to turn its transponder back on on Monday after the ship switched off the tracking system because its crew feared attack.W Bockstiegel said it ordered the vessel Atlantic Cruiser to turn its transponder back on on Monday after the ship switched off the tracking system because its crew feared attack.
The company also said in a statement it had no information about any weapons on board the ship which was originally destined for Syria. Sending weapons to Syria would be in violation of a European Union arms embargo.The company also said in a statement it had no information about any weapons on board the ship which was originally destined for Syria. Sending weapons to Syria would be in violation of a European Union arms embargo.
In Kiev, the Ukrainian company that chartered the ship denied there were arms on board and said its cargo was civilian goods.In Kiev, the Ukrainian company that chartered the ship denied there were arms on board and said its cargo was civilian goods.
"The shipping company has no current knowledge that the ship's cargo contains anything other than what was described in the documentation as civilian goods," the Emden-based shipping company said in a statement, its first comments on the issue."The shipping company has no current knowledge that the ship's cargo contains anything other than what was described in the documentation as civilian goods," the Emden-based shipping company said in a statement, its first comments on the issue.
The German company said it ordered the ship, which was chartered to a Ukraine-based company, not to continue its journey until questions about its cargo could be cleared up. It said it instructed the crew to turn its transponder back on.The German company said it ordered the ship, which was chartered to a Ukraine-based company, not to continue its journey until questions about its cargo could be cleared up. It said it instructed the crew to turn its transponder back on.
Spiegel Online reported that German government was demanding an explanation from the shipping company.Spiegel Online reported that German government was demanding an explanation from the shipping company.

Officials in Germany are still seeking information about a German-owned ship believed to be carrying a load of weapons and military equipment that had been destined for the despotic regime of Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad. Since the revelation on Friday, it appears that transponder used to broadcast the ship's whereabouts has been turned off repeatedly. On Monday, though, it appeared to be on again, with the 6,200 ton freighter ship apparently on a course towards Turkey.
Officials in Germany are still seeking information about a German-owned ship believed to be carrying a load of weapons and military equipment that had been destined for the despotic regime of Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad. Since the revelation on Friday, it appears that transponder used to broadcast the ship's whereabouts has been turned off repeatedly. On Monday, though, it appeared to be on again, with the 6,200 ton freighter ship apparently on a course towards Turkey.
The ship had been stopped near the coast of Syria on Friday afternoon, but then disappeared from sight for around 24 hours. Then, on Sunday night, the Atlantic Cruiser's transponder was turned off again.The ship had been stopped near the coast of Syria on Friday afternoon, but then disappeared from sight for around 24 hours. Then, on Sunday night, the Atlantic Cruiser's transponder was turned off again.
9.47am: Bahrain: Activist Alaa Shehabi has posted a photo of protesters burning what she says was the biggest Formula One billboard on the main highway.9.47am: Bahrain: Activist Alaa Shehabi has posted a photo of protesters burning what she says was the biggest Formula One billboard on the main highway.
Photo of protesters burning down the biggest #F1 #BahrainGP billboard on the main highway #RaceofDisgrace #Bahrain twitter.com/alaashehabi/st…Photo of protesters burning down the biggest #F1 #BahrainGP billboard on the main highway #RaceofDisgrace #Bahrain twitter.com/alaashehabi/st…
— Dr Ala'a Shehabi (@alaashehabi) April 15, 2012— Dr Ala'a Shehabi (@alaashehabi) April 15, 2012
9.40am: New video footage from Homs appears to confirm that there is no ceasefire.9.40am: New video footage from Homs appears to confirm that there is no ceasefire.
This clips purports to show shelling in the northern district of Quosoor where 16 people were killed according to activists.This clips purports to show shelling in the northern district of Quosoor where 16 people were killed according to activists.
Another claims to show shelling in the nearby district of Bayada, another opposition stronghold.Another claims to show shelling in the nearby district of Bayada, another opposition stronghold.
9.29am: US secretary of state Hillary Clinton sounds stumped over what happens next in Syria as the ceasefire unravels.9.29am: US secretary of state Hillary Clinton sounds stumped over what happens next in Syria as the ceasefire unravels.
AFP quoted her saying:AFP quoted her saying:
This week will be critical in evaluating the implementation of the United Nations security council resolution.This week will be critical in evaluating the implementation of the United Nations security council resolution.
And we're hoping for the best. We want to see a peaceful period for the people of Syria.And we're hoping for the best. We want to see a peaceful period for the people of Syria.
We want to see a political process begin, but if violence is renewed, the regime reverts to shelling its own people and causing a great deal of death and injury, then we're going to have to get back to planning what our next steps [will be].We want to see a political process begin, but if violence is renewed, the regime reverts to shelling its own people and causing a great deal of death and injury, then we're going to have to get back to planning what our next steps [will be].
9.19am: The ceasefire hasn't stopped the steady flow of Free Syrian Army videos appearing on YouTube.9.19am: The ceasefire hasn't stopped the steady flow of Free Syrian Army videos appearing on YouTube.
One of the latest clips purports to show a guided tour of an FSA camp in a cave in Idlib province.One of the latest clips purports to show a guided tour of an FSA camp in a cave in Idlib province.
Another shows the formation of a large militia near Aleppo.Another shows the formation of a large militia near Aleppo.
8.38am: (all times GMT) Welcome to Middle East Live. The US says ongoing violence in Syria questions the wisdom of the UN peacekeeping mission before it gets under way.8.38am: (all times GMT) Welcome to Middle East Live. The US says ongoing violence in Syria questions the wisdom of the UN peacekeeping mission before it gets under way.
Here's a roundup of the latest developments:Here's a roundup of the latest developments:
SyriaSyria
• Susan Rice, the US ambassador to the UN, says repeated reports of breaches in last Thursday's ceasefire raise doubts about the future of the UN peacekeeping mission before it has even started.• Susan Rice, the US ambassador to the UN, says repeated reports of breaches in last Thursday's ceasefire raise doubts about the future of the UN peacekeeping mission before it has even started.
Speaking to reporters she said:Speaking to reporters she said:
Should the violence persist and the cease-fire—or cessation of violence, more aptly—not hold, that ... will call into question the wisdom and viability of sending in the full monitoring presence.Should the violence persist and the cease-fire—or cessation of violence, more aptly—not hold, that ... will call into question the wisdom and viability of sending in the full monitoring presence.
CNN also quoted Rice accusing the Assad regime of repeatedly lying. She said: "They have lied to the international community, lied to their own people. And the biggest fabricator of the facts is Assad himself. His representatives are merely doing his bidding and under probably some not insignificant personal duress."CNN also quoted Rice accusing the Assad regime of repeatedly lying. She said: "They have lied to the international community, lied to their own people. And the biggest fabricator of the facts is Assad himself. His representatives are merely doing his bidding and under probably some not insignificant personal duress."
• The peacekeeping mission risks descending into farce, according to the Independent. • The peacekeeping mission risks descending into farce, according to the Independent.
The advance team of six observers, led by a Moroccan, Colonel Ahmed Himmiche, set about negotiating the mission's ground rules with Syrian officials. As they did so, activists said yesterday's death toll across Syria had reached 30 as the beleaguered city of Homs was pummelled once more with "three or four bombings a minute", and a fierce assault was reported in Idlib.The advance team of six observers, led by a Moroccan, Colonel Ahmed Himmiche, set about negotiating the mission's ground rules with Syrian officials. As they did so, activists said yesterday's death toll across Syria had reached 30 as the beleaguered city of Homs was pummelled once more with "three or four bombings a minute", and a fierce assault was reported in Idlib.
• Kofi Annan's six point peace plan only has a 3% chance of working, according to the emir of Qatar. AFP quoted Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani telling a a press conference that the chances for success "are no higher than three percent", and that the Syrian people should not be supported through peaceful means but "with arms".• Kofi Annan's six point peace plan only has a 3% chance of working, according to the emir of Qatar. AFP quoted Sheikh Hamad bin Khalifa al-Thani telling a a press conference that the chances for success "are no higher than three percent", and that the Syrian people should not be supported through peaceful means but "with arms".
• The crisis in Syria has reached a stalemate which will not end unless the international community intervenes militarily, according to a retired general from the Syrian army. In an interview with Foreign Affairs magazine, Brigadier General Akil Hashem, said:• The crisis in Syria has reached a stalemate which will not end unless the international community intervenes militarily, according to a retired general from the Syrian army. In an interview with Foreign Affairs magazine, Brigadier General Akil Hashem, said:
The rebels cannot win on their own. If the international community does not intervene, the conflict will persist indefinitely unless there is a military coup, an assassination of Assad or of top members of his regime, or a mass defection among the Alawite sect itself. The battle could continue like this for at least a year, if not longer.The rebels cannot win on their own. If the international community does not intervene, the conflict will persist indefinitely unless there is a military coup, an assassination of Assad or of top members of his regime, or a mass defection among the Alawite sect itself. The battle could continue like this for at least a year, if not longer.
BahrainBahrain
• Bahrain's claims that it is tackling human rights abuses have been severely questioned in a new report by Amnesty International which highlights continuing reports of torture and excessive use of force against protesters. The group's Middle East deputy director, Hassiba Hadj Sahraoui, said: "With the world's eyes on Bahrain as it prepares to host the Grand Prix, no-one should be under any illusions that the country's human rights crisis is over." The report found:• Bahrain's claims that it is tackling human rights abuses have been severely questioned in a new report by Amnesty International which highlights continuing reports of torture and excessive use of force against protesters. The group's Middle East deputy director, Hassiba Hadj Sahraoui, said: "With the world's eyes on Bahrain as it prepares to host the Grand Prix, no-one should be under any illusions that the country's human rights crisis is over." The report found:
• No senior members of the armed forces have been held to account for human rights violations against protesters• No senior members of the armed forces have been held to account for human rights violations against protesters
• Scores of political prisoners, convicted under unfair military courts, remain in prison facing long-term sentences• Scores of political prisoners, convicted under unfair military courts, remain in prison facing long-term sentences
• The brutal behaviour of the security services remains unchanged as they continue to respond to protests with excessive force• The brutal behaviour of the security services remains unchanged as they continue to respond to protests with excessive force
• Detainees are still facing torture and ill-treatment in unofficial detention places• Detainees are still facing torture and ill-treatment in unofficial detention places
• Two protesters climbed on to the roof of the Bahraini embassy in central London, to protest at continued human rights abuses in the kingdom. One of the protesters was the son of jailed opposition leader Hasan Mushaima, the BBC reported.• Two protesters climbed on to the roof of the Bahraini embassy in central London, to protest at continued human rights abuses in the kingdom. One of the protesters was the son of jailed opposition leader Hasan Mushaima, the BBC reported.
EgyptEgypt
• The political transition process in Egypt has been thrown into a state of complete confusion by events of the last month, according Nathan Brown professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University. In an article in Foreign Policy magazine he writes:• The political transition process in Egypt has been thrown into a state of complete confusion by events of the last month, according Nathan Brown professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University. In an article in Foreign Policy magazine he writes:
The combination of eccentric elements (such as the disqualification of anyone whose parents ever held foreign citizenship from the presidency) and unexpected gaps and omissions (such as the failure to specify any sequence of presidential elections and constitution writing or the silence on the ways in which the parliament was authorized to exercise oversight of the cabinet) scattered a series of landmines throughout the path. Making things worse was the way in which critical administering, governing, and adjudicating bodies were (or have come to be seen) as deeply interested or partisan actors - the parliament as the arm of Islamists, the Scaf as wedded to a set of political and material interests, the State Council as willing to seize any opportunity to pursue its ambitious understanding of its judicial role, and even the presidential election commission as a body headed by the constitutional court's chief justice, a figure seen as close to the military and security establishment. And the postponement of critical questions - security sector reform, for instance - has aggravated matters still further.The combination of eccentric elements (such as the disqualification of anyone whose parents ever held foreign citizenship from the presidency) and unexpected gaps and omissions (such as the failure to specify any sequence of presidential elections and constitution writing or the silence on the ways in which the parliament was authorized to exercise oversight of the cabinet) scattered a series of landmines throughout the path. Making things worse was the way in which critical administering, governing, and adjudicating bodies were (or have come to be seen) as deeply interested or partisan actors - the parliament as the arm of Islamists, the Scaf as wedded to a set of political and material interests, the State Council as willing to seize any opportunity to pursue its ambitious understanding of its judicial role, and even the presidential election commission as a body headed by the constitutional court's chief justice, a figure seen as close to the military and security establishment. And the postponement of critical questions - security sector reform, for instance - has aggravated matters still further.
Yes, there are rules. But if the word "process" has any meaning left, it cannot be applied to Egyptian politics today.Yes, there are rules. But if the word "process" has any meaning left, it cannot be applied to Egyptian politics today.
IranIran
• An Iranian-Canadian man convicted of espionage and having links with an opposition group is facing imminent execution in Iran. Hamid Ghassemi-Shall, 44, returned to Iran from Canada in May 2008 to visit his elderly mother and was detained on suspicion of gathering information for the Iranian militant group Mujahideen e-Khalq (MEK). The Iranian leadership considers the MEK its staunch enemy, and the US has listed the group as a terrorist organisation.• An Iranian-Canadian man convicted of espionage and having links with an opposition group is facing imminent execution in Iran. Hamid Ghassemi-Shall, 44, returned to Iran from Canada in May 2008 to visit his elderly mother and was detained on suspicion of gathering information for the Iranian militant group Mujahideen e-Khalq (MEK). The Iranian leadership considers the MEK its staunch enemy, and the US has listed the group as a terrorist organisation.
IsraelIsrael
• Denmark has demanded an explanation from the Israeli government for video footage showing a senior Israeli army officer striking a Danish activist in the face with an M16 rifle. In the video, Lt Col Shalom Eisner, deputy commander of the Jordan Valley territorial brigade, is clearly seen slamming his rifle into the face of Andreas Ias. The soldier was suspended by the Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) pending an investigation. The video emerged on the same day as Israel launched a security operation to prevent hundreds of pro-Palestinian activists entering the country en route to the West Bank, claiming they were provocateurs and were planning acts of violence.• Denmark has demanded an explanation from the Israeli government for video footage showing a senior Israeli army officer striking a Danish activist in the face with an M16 rifle. In the video, Lt Col Shalom Eisner, deputy commander of the Jordan Valley territorial brigade, is clearly seen slamming his rifle into the face of Andreas Ias. The soldier was suspended by the Israeli Defence Forces (IDF) pending an investigation. The video emerged on the same day as Israel launched a security operation to prevent hundreds of pro-Palestinian activists entering the country en route to the West Bank, claiming they were provocateurs and were planning acts of violence.