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April weather set to break record April weather set to break record
(30 minutes later)
The UK Met Office has released figures showing that this month is set to be the warmest April since records began in England more than 300 years ago.The UK Met Office has released figures showing that this month is set to be the warmest April since records began in England more than 300 years ago.
The data has been compiled from observations that go into the Central England Temperature record.The data has been compiled from observations that go into the Central England Temperature record.
This series, which dates back to 1659, is the world's longest running temperature series.This series, which dates back to 1659, is the world's longest running temperature series.
The provisional mean figure for April 2007 is 11.1C (52.0F) - that is 3.2C (5.8F) above the long-term average.The provisional mean figure for April 2007 is 11.1C (52.0F) - that is 3.2C (5.8F) above the long-term average.
Meteorologists say in addition, the 12-month rolling period ending in April 2007 is also set to be the warmest on record - nearly 2C above the long-term average for the period.Meteorologists say in addition, the 12-month rolling period ending in April 2007 is also set to be the warmest on record - nearly 2C above the long-term average for the period.
Wales is also likely to set a new high. The provisional mean temperature for the month is 9.7C (49.5F), 2.5C (4.5F) above the 30-year average for April.Wales is also likely to set a new high. The provisional mean temperature for the month is 9.7C (49.5F), 2.5C (4.5F) above the 30-year average for April.
Ecologists say the unseasonable weather could leave wildlife vulnerable if the dry spell continues into the summer. The current spell of warm weather, set to continue across the weekend, has prompted the Department for Environment, Food and Agriculture (Defra) to issue its first "summer smog" warning for 2007.
It forecasts moderate ozone levels from Saturday across south-east England and the Midlands. On Sunday, high ozone levels are likely to extend to the rest of England and Wales, officials warn.
They have urged people that are sensitive to ozone to take precautions, such as avoiding exercising outdoors in the afternoon.
Wildlife concernsWildlife concerns
The past 12 months have seen a number of temperature records being broken. Ecologists say the unseasonable weather could leave wildlife vulnerable if the dry spell continues into the summer.
Shallow root species will be especially vulnerable if we do have a dry summer Dr Tim Sparks,Centre for Ecology and HydrologyShallow root species will be especially vulnerable if we do have a dry summer Dr Tim Sparks,Centre for Ecology and Hydrology
Last July became the UK's warmest month on record, experiencing an average night and day temperature of 17.8C (64F).
In February, forecasters announced that the nation had experienced its second warmest winter on record.
Tim Sparks, from the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, said the below-average rainfall was causing concern among ecologists.Tim Sparks, from the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, said the below-average rainfall was causing concern among ecologists.
"It has not been the month of showers," he told BBC News. "If it is this dry in April, it does not bode well for the summer."It has not been the month of showers," he told BBC News. "If it is this dry in April, it does not bode well for the summer.
"Shallow root species will be especially vulnerable if we do have a dry summer.""Shallow root species will be especially vulnerable if we do have a dry summer."
Dr Sparks was one of the lead authors of a Europe-wide study, published last August, that provided "conclusive proof" that the seasons were changing.Dr Sparks was one of the lead authors of a Europe-wide study, published last August, that provided "conclusive proof" that the seasons were changing.
Climate 'shifts springtime'Climate 'shifts springtime'
The researchers found that spring was beginning on average six to eight days earlier than it was 30 years ago.The researchers found that spring was beginning on average six to eight days earlier than it was 30 years ago.
He said that the latest figures from the Met Office came as no real surprise, and were consistent with climate models that projected a rise in temperatures.He said that the latest figures from the Met Office came as no real surprise, and were consistent with climate models that projected a rise in temperatures.
"Certainly, this year is going to see a very early spring, there is no doubt about that. We have seen lots of things leafing or flowering a lot earlier that we would expect to see them appear."Certainly, this year is going to see a very early spring, there is no doubt about that. We have seen lots of things leafing or flowering a lot earlier that we would expect to see them appear.
"This spring has demonstrated that different species change at different rates to temperature," he added."This spring has demonstrated that different species change at different rates to temperature," he added.
"The most obviously sign of this at the moment is that oak trees have come out into leaf very well, but many ash trees are still quite bare."The most obviously sign of this at the moment is that oak trees have come out into leaf very well, but many ash trees are still quite bare.
This could present problems for local food chains, he observed.This could present problems for local food chains, he observed.
"You may have a situation where an insect relies on a particular plant, and birds or other animals rely on that insect further up the food chain."You may have a situation where an insect relies on a particular plant, and birds or other animals rely on that insect further up the food chain.
"If there is a breakdown in the synchrony between them then it could be disastrous," Dr Sparks warned. "We may have a butterfly species, for example, whose caterpillars feed on only a very narrow range of plants."If there is a breakdown in the synchrony between them then it could be disastrous," Dr Sparks warned. "We may have a butterfly species, for example, whose caterpillars feed on only a very narrow range of plants.
"They must maintain synchrony with those plants; if they don't then that species will suffer badly.""They must maintain synchrony with those plants; if they don't then that species will suffer badly."