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Counting set to get under way in Irish election | Counting set to get under way in Irish election |
(32 minutes later) | |
Counting will start across the Republic of Ireland at 09:00 local time | Counting will start across the Republic of Ireland at 09:00 local time |
Counting is to get under way later on Saturday morning in the Irish general election, as exit polls suggest a close contest between the three major parties. | Counting is to get under way later on Saturday morning in the Irish general election, as exit polls suggest a close contest between the three major parties. |
Figures from Friday's exit poll show Sinn Féin slightly ahead of both Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil in first preference votes. | Figures from Friday's exit poll show Sinn Féin slightly ahead of both Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil in first preference votes. |
A record number of 174 Teachtaí Dála (TDs) are set to be elected, up from 160 in 2020 following a constituency shake up. | A record number of 174 Teachtaí Dála (TDs) are set to be elected, up from 160 in 2020 following a constituency shake up. |
There are now 43 Dáil constituencies (up from 39 in 2020) which will elect between three and five TDs each. | There are now 43 Dáil constituencies (up from 39 in 2020) which will elect between three and five TDs each. |
One seat in the Dáil goes to the Ceann Comhairle (Speaker), so 88 TDs is the number required for an overall majority. | One seat in the Dáil goes to the Ceann Comhairle (Speaker), so 88 TDs is the number required for an overall majority. |
More than 680 candidates competed for the remaining 173 seats. | More than 680 candidates competed for the remaining 173 seats. |
The counting of votes at more than 40 centres across the Republic starts at 09:00 local time, with the first results expected later in the afternoon. | The counting of votes at more than 40 centres across the Republic starts at 09:00 local time, with the first results expected later in the afternoon. |
The exit poll shows a three-way race between the biggest parties | The exit poll shows a three-way race between the biggest parties |
What did Friday's exit poll say? | What did Friday's exit poll say? |
The figures, published at 22:00 local time, indicated that Sinn Féin has 21.1% of first preference votes, with Fine Gael having 21% and Fianna Fáil sitting in third with 19.5% of first preference votes. | The figures, published at 22:00 local time, indicated that Sinn Féin has 21.1% of first preference votes, with Fine Gael having 21% and Fianna Fáil sitting in third with 19.5% of first preference votes. |
It also suggested that 20% of the second preference votes goes to Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, with Sinn Féin at 17%. | It also suggested that 20% of the second preference votes goes to Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael, with Sinn Féin at 17%. |
The exit poll was carried out by Ipsos B&A for RTÉ, The Irish Times, TG4 and Trinity College Dublin and was based on 5,018 completed interviews outside polling stations. | The exit poll was carried out by Ipsos B&A for RTÉ, The Irish Times, TG4 and Trinity College Dublin and was based on 5,018 completed interviews outside polling stations. |
It has a margin of error of 1.4%. | It has a margin of error of 1.4%. |
The results also suggest a close battle between the smaller parties with less than 2% separating Labour, the Green Party and Social Democrats. | The results also suggest a close battle between the smaller parties with less than 2% separating Labour, the Green Party and Social Democrats. |
In the 2020 Irish general election, Sinn Féin secured 24.53% first preference votes, while Fianna Fáil obtained 22.18% and Fine Gael got 20.86%. | In the 2020 Irish general election, Sinn Féin secured 24.53% first preference votes, while Fianna Fáil obtained 22.18% and Fine Gael got 20.86%. |
Support for independent candidates appears to have dropped, if the exit poll figures reflect the final result, from 15% in 2020 to 12%. | Support for independent candidates appears to have dropped, if the exit poll figures reflect the final result, from 15% in 2020 to 12%. |
Some other figures from Friday's exit poll showed the gender divide between the different political parties and what parties voters gave their second preferences to. | Some other figures from Friday's exit poll showed the gender divide between the different political parties and what parties voters gave their second preferences to. |
No clear path to power | |
Analysis | Analysis |
If the exit poll is right, Sinn Féin is on course to win the popular vote for the second general election in a row. | If the exit poll is right, Sinn Féin is on course to win the popular vote for the second general election in a row. |
But just like in 2020 it has no clear path to power. | But just like in 2020 it has no clear path to power. |
The outgoing coalition partners Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael are well placed to have the numbers needed to return to the government benches with the support of a smaller party. | The outgoing coalition partners Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael are well placed to have the numbers needed to return to the government benches with the support of a smaller party. |
If the polls are correct the pair could return with between 75 and 80 seats which will leave them just short of the 88 needed for an overall majority. | If the polls are correct the pair could return with between 75 and 80 seats which will leave them just short of the 88 needed for an overall majority. |
Sinn Féin will hope it performs better than the poll suggests, as it did in 2020. | Sinn Féin will hope it performs better than the poll suggests, as it did in 2020. |
But it may not be enough to form the coalition of left-leaning parties excluding Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil. | But it may not be enough to form the coalition of left-leaning parties excluding Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil. |
How the votes will be counted | How the votes will be counted |
The Republic of Ireland elects its government using a system of proportional representation known as the single transferable vote. | The Republic of Ireland elects its government using a system of proportional representation known as the single transferable vote. |
Voters will have the opportunity to rank candidates in their constituency in order of preference, marking their favourite with a number one, a number two beside their next choice and so on. | Voters will have the opportunity to rank candidates in their constituency in order of preference, marking their favourite with a number one, a number two beside their next choice and so on. |
Candidates will have to reach a certain number of votes in order to be elected. | Candidates will have to reach a certain number of votes in order to be elected. |
Counting the ballots takes place in multiple rounds. | Counting the ballots takes place in multiple rounds. |
Each ballot is initially credited to the first choice. | Each ballot is initially credited to the first choice. |
Once a candidate receives the number of votes required, they are elected and any remaining ballots that are marked with them as first choice are transferred to the second ranked preferences. | Once a candidate receives the number of votes required, they are elected and any remaining ballots that are marked with them as first choice are transferred to the second ranked preferences. |
Ballots continue to be transferred to the next usable preference until all of the seats in the constituency are filled with candidates who have reached the quota. | Ballots continue to be transferred to the next usable preference until all of the seats in the constituency are filled with candidates who have reached the quota. |
Read more: How the Republic of Ireland will elect its next parliament | Read more: How the Republic of Ireland will elect its next parliament |
When will the results be known? | When will the results be known? |
Due to the voting system, counting can sometimes last multiple days, and forming a government can take even longer. | Due to the voting system, counting can sometimes last multiple days, and forming a government can take even longer. |
It took four months after the last general election in 2020 before Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael, and the Green Party, reached a deal to form a government. | It took four months after the last general election in 2020 before Fianna Fáil, Fine Gael, and the Green Party, reached a deal to form a government. |
Sinn Féin became the leading opposition party, and both Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael have both already ruled them out as a potential coalition partner. | Sinn Féin became the leading opposition party, and both Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael have both already ruled them out as a potential coalition partner. |
The first meeting of the new Dáil (lower house of parliament) is on 18 December but it is unlikely coalition negotiations will have finished by then. | The first meeting of the new Dáil (lower house of parliament) is on 18 December but it is unlikely coalition negotiations will have finished by then. |
A government will be officially formed when the Dáil passes a vote to install a new Taoiseach (Irish prime minister), but this isn't expected to take place before 2025. | A government will be officially formed when the Dáil passes a vote to install a new Taoiseach (Irish prime minister), but this isn't expected to take place before 2025. |
There will be coverage of the election results on BBC Two NI at 18:00 GMT on Saturday and on BBC One NI on Sunday Politics at 10:00 GMT. | There will be coverage of the election results on BBC Two NI at 18:00 GMT on Saturday and on BBC One NI on Sunday Politics at 10:00 GMT. |
The BBC News NI website will be running a live page with the latest updates over the weekend. | The BBC News NI website will be running a live page with the latest updates over the weekend. |