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Exit polls build picture of gender and race | |
(about 4 hours later) | |
The US exit polls are starting to build a picture of how different groups of people have voted across the nation. | |
The latest numbers suggest that women are breaking for Kamala Harris but perhaps not by the margins her campaign had hoped, at 54% compared with 44% for Donald Trump. | |
In 2020, the exit polls suggested 57% of women backed Joe Biden, a similar proportion to those backing Harris in 2024 when taking into account the margin of error. | |
Exit poll data is updated throughout the night so the picture may change. | |
Looking at race, Trump is leading among white voters - the biggest single group - and Harris is leading with black voters. | |
She is also ahead with Hispanic voters but it looks like support for Trump has increased more than 10 points among this group compared with 2020. | |
A majority of younger voters are backing Harris while just over half of middle-aged voters are voting Trump, the latest data suggests. The over-65 age group is evenly split. | |
Nearly six in 10 college-educated voters in the data said they voted Harris, while a similar proportion of people without a college degree voted for Trump. | |
Democracy and economy top issues | |
Democracy and the economy were the most important issues for voters in the US elections this year, the exit poll data suggests. | |
Around a third of people identified democracy as their top concern, out of the five options given. | |
The economy was the next choice, followed by abortion, immigration and foreign policy. | |
The economy has previously ranked top of the list of issues motivating voters in every presidential election since 2008. It remains within the margin of error for being a top issue. | The economy has previously ranked top of the list of issues motivating voters in every presidential election since 2008. It remains within the margin of error for being a top issue. |
Anthony Zurcher: What I'm seeing from results so far | |
Full results: Check the count state by state | |
When will we know who has won? | |
The portrait emerging from the exit poll showed sharp divisions between the two parties when it came to priorities, similar to findings in polls conducted before the election. | The portrait emerging from the exit poll showed sharp divisions between the two parties when it came to priorities, similar to findings in polls conducted before the election. |
Among Harris supporters, about six in 10 said the state of democracy was their deciding issue, compared to just one in ten of those backing Trump. | Among Harris supporters, about six in 10 said the state of democracy was their deciding issue, compared to just one in ten of those backing Trump. |
By comparison, half of Trump supporters identified the economy as the most important issue, compared to just one in ten of those backing Harris. | By comparison, half of Trump supporters identified the economy as the most important issue, compared to just one in ten of those backing Harris. |
But both sides conveyed concern about America's democracy, with nearly three quarters of those asked said they felt democracy was “very” or “somewhat” threatened, including similar percentages among both parties. | But both sides conveyed concern about America's democracy, with nearly three quarters of those asked said they felt democracy was “very” or “somewhat” threatened, including similar percentages among both parties. |
And about seven in 10 voters were worried about violence related to the results of the election, including majorities of both Trump and Harris supporters. | |
The BBC's US broadcast partner CBS says this is the first time in its history – going back to the 1970s – that the exit poll has asked voters about the prospect of violence as it relates specifically to a US presidential election. | The BBC's US broadcast partner CBS says this is the first time in its history – going back to the 1970s – that the exit poll has asked voters about the prospect of violence as it relates specifically to a US presidential election. |
Seven in 10 voters were confident that the election was being conducted fairly and accurately. | Seven in 10 voters were confident that the election was being conducted fairly and accurately. |
That sentiment, however, was split on voting lines with Harris supporters much more confident, while Trump supporters were equally divided. | That sentiment, however, was split on voting lines with Harris supporters much more confident, while Trump supporters were equally divided. |
Voters for the two presidential candidates also were divided about how they felt about their financial situation, according to the early exit poll data. | Voters for the two presidential candidates also were divided about how they felt about their financial situation, according to the early exit poll data. |
About three quarters of those asked who voted for Donald Trump said they and their families were worse off today than in 2020 and fewer than one in 10 said they were better off. | About three quarters of those asked who voted for Donald Trump said they and their families were worse off today than in 2020 and fewer than one in 10 said they were better off. |
Among those who said they voted for Kamala Harris, four in 10 said they were doing better. | Among those who said they voted for Kamala Harris, four in 10 said they were doing better. |
There was a split in how each candidate’s supporters felt they’d been affected by inflation too. | There was a split in how each candidate’s supporters felt they’d been affected by inflation too. |
A third of Donald Trump’s voters in the exit poll data said it had caused them and their families “severe” hardship, compared with about one in 10 of those who voted for Kamala Harris. | A third of Donald Trump’s voters in the exit poll data said it had caused them and their families “severe” hardship, compared with about one in 10 of those who voted for Kamala Harris. |
Across all voters, two-thirds said the state of the national economy was “not so good” or “poor”, but this was much more likely among Trump voters. | Across all voters, two-thirds said the state of the national economy was “not so good” or “poor”, but this was much more likely among Trump voters. |
SIMPLE GUIDE: How to win the electoral college | |
RESULTS: When will we know who has won? | |
POLLS: Who is winning the race for the White House? | |
EXPLAINER: What Harris or Trump would do in power | |
GLOBAL: How this election could change the world | |
BBC COVERAGE: How to follow the US election on the BBC |