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When will we know who has won the US election? | When will we know who has won the US election? |
(about 2 hours later) | |
Polls have closed in all seven key battlegrounds of this US election - although in some states voters are still in line. | |
The result of one swing state has already been projected, and there are signs to suggest how others are leaning. | |
But the consensus still points towards a long wait before we find out whether Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Kamala Harris has won. | |
Results are declared state-by-state, and the BBC is keeping you updated with a running tally as we go. | |
What is happening in the battleground swing states? | |
The race will come down to results from seven swing states, which experts believe Harris and Trump both have a realistic chance of winning. | |
Turnout has been high in early voting, both in-person and by mail, with records broken in some states. | |
It's worth noting that votes are very much still being counted. Nonetheless, there are some signs of how voting in these key states is going. | |
Right now, as at 23:41 EST (04:41 GMT), Donald Trump is projected to win: | |
North Carolina - the first swing state to be projected. | |
Trump looks to be ahead in: | |
Georgia, where Trump has just under a three percentage point lead with about 90% of votes counted. It means Kamala Harris would have to do very well with the remaining urban votes yet to be counted in order to catch up. | |
The race is very close in: | |
Pennsylvania, where final results could take some time | |
Wisconsin, where an overall result may also take some time | |
Michigan, where a final result is not expected until the end of Wednesday | |
Arizona, where the overall count could take days | |
Nevada, where the overall count could also take days | |
Up-to-the-minute results as they happen | |
So what does this mean for when the result is expected? | |
The last polls will close at 01:00 EST (06:00 GMT) early on Wednesday. | |
In some presidential races, the victor has been named late on election night, or early the next morning. | In some presidential races, the victor has been named late on election night, or early the next morning. |
This time, the knife-edge race in many states could complicate how quickly media outlets project a winner. Narrow victories could also mean recounts. | |
In the key swing state of Pennsylvania, for example, a recount would be required if there’s a half-percentage-point difference between the votes cast for the winner and loser. In 2020, the margin was just over 1.1 percentage points. | In the key swing state of Pennsylvania, for example, a recount would be required if there’s a half-percentage-point difference between the votes cast for the winner and loser. In 2020, the margin was just over 1.1 percentage points. |
But we are getting projected results from states with the most predictable voting patterns. | |
Follow live election updates | Follow live election updates |
How to follow the US election on the BBC | How to follow the US election on the BBC |
A really simple guide to the presidential vote | A really simple guide to the presidential vote |
Legal challenges are also possible. More than 100 pre-election lawsuits have already been filed, mostly by Republicans challenging voter eligibility and voter roll management. | Legal challenges are also possible. More than 100 pre-election lawsuits have already been filed, mostly by Republicans challenging voter eligibility and voter roll management. |
On the other hand, vote-counting has sped up in some areas, including the crucial state of Michigan, and fewer votes have been cast by mail than in the last election, which was during the Covid pandemic. | On the other hand, vote-counting has sped up in some areas, including the crucial state of Michigan, and fewer votes have been cast by mail than in the last election, which was during the Covid pandemic. |
Why should we be cautious of early voting data? | Why should we be cautious of early voting data? |
In such a tight race, early vote results may not be the best indication of who will eventually win. | In such a tight race, early vote results may not be the best indication of who will eventually win. |
In 2020, Trump was leading in some key states on election night but Biden overtook him as mail ballots, heavily favoured by Democrats at the time, were counted. | In 2020, Trump was leading in some key states on election night but Biden overtook him as mail ballots, heavily favoured by Democrats at the time, were counted. |
Though election experts warned beforehand of such a phenomenon, Trump seized upon it to amplify his unfounded claims that the election was stolen. | Though election experts warned beforehand of such a phenomenon, Trump seized upon it to amplify his unfounded claims that the election was stolen. |
There could be another so-called "red mirage" this year - or perhaps a "blue mirage" that initially favours Harris but then shifts toward Trump. | There could be another so-called "red mirage" this year - or perhaps a "blue mirage" that initially favours Harris but then shifts toward Trump. |
More than 83 million Americans voted early, according to the University of Florida Election Lab's nationwide early vote tracker. | |
But while early voting has typically favoured Democrats, registered Republicans have cast nearly as many early votes this time around. | But while early voting has typically favoured Democrats, registered Republicans have cast nearly as many early votes this time around. |
When have previous presidential election results been announced? | When have previous presidential election results been announced? |
In the 2020 election, US TV networks did not declare Joe Biden the winner until four days after election day, when the result in Pennsylvania became clearer. | In the 2020 election, US TV networks did not declare Joe Biden the winner until four days after election day, when the result in Pennsylvania became clearer. |
In other recent elections, voters have had a much shorter wait. | In other recent elections, voters have had a much shorter wait. |
In 2016, Trump was declared the winner shortly before 03:00 EST (08:00 GMT) a few hours after polls closed. | In 2016, Trump was declared the winner shortly before 03:00 EST (08:00 GMT) a few hours after polls closed. |
In 2012, when Barack Obama secured a second term, his victory was projected before midnight the same evening of election day. | In 2012, when Barack Obama secured a second term, his victory was projected before midnight the same evening of election day. |
However, the 2000 election between George W Bush and Al Gore was a notable exception. The race was not decided for five weeks, when the US Supreme Court voted to end Florida's recount. That kept Bush in place as winner and handed him the White House. | However, the 2000 election between George W Bush and Al Gore was a notable exception. The race was not decided for five weeks, when the US Supreme Court voted to end Florida's recount. That kept Bush in place as winner and handed him the White House. |
How the US presidential campaign unfolded in 180 seconds | How the US presidential campaign unfolded in 180 seconds |
How does the vote-counting work? | How does the vote-counting work? |
Typically, the votes cast on election day are tallied first, followed by early and mail ballots, those that have been challenged, and then overseas and military ballots. | Typically, the votes cast on election day are tallied first, followed by early and mail ballots, those that have been challenged, and then overseas and military ballots. |
Local election officials - sometimes appointed, sometimes elected - verify, process and count individual votes, in a process known as canvassing. | Local election officials - sometimes appointed, sometimes elected - verify, process and count individual votes, in a process known as canvassing. |
Verifying ballots includes comparing the number cast with the number of active voters; removing, unfolding and examining every single ballot for tears, stains or other damage; and documenting and investigating any inconsistencies. | Verifying ballots includes comparing the number cast with the number of active voters; removing, unfolding and examining every single ballot for tears, stains or other damage; and documenting and investigating any inconsistencies. |
Counting ballots involves feeding each one into electronic scanners that tabulate their results. Some circumstances require manual counts or double-checked tallies. | Counting ballots involves feeding each one into electronic scanners that tabulate their results. Some circumstances require manual counts or double-checked tallies. |
Every state and locality has rigorous rules about who can participate in the canvass, the order in which votes are processed and which parts are open to the public, including how partisan observers can monitor and intervene in vote-counting. | Every state and locality has rigorous rules about who can participate in the canvass, the order in which votes are processed and which parts are open to the public, including how partisan observers can monitor and intervene in vote-counting. |
When does vote counting begin and how long will it take? | When does vote counting begin and how long will it take? |
Visual guide - Harris and Trump's paths to victory | Visual guide - Harris and Trump's paths to victory |
The moment I decided on my vote | The moment I decided on my vote |
What happens if the presidential election results are challenged? | What happens if the presidential election results are challenged? |
Once every valid vote has been included in the final results, a process known as the electoral college comes into play. | Once every valid vote has been included in the final results, a process known as the electoral college comes into play. |
In each state a varying number of electoral college votes can be won, and it is securing these – and not just the backing of voters themselves – that ultimately wins the presidency. | In each state a varying number of electoral college votes can be won, and it is securing these – and not just the backing of voters themselves – that ultimately wins the presidency. |
What is the US electoral college, and how does it work? | What is the US electoral college, and how does it work? |
How are votes counted in the US election? | How are votes counted in the US election? |
Generally, states award all of their electoral college votes to whoever wins the popular vote and this is confirmed after meetings on 17 December. | Generally, states award all of their electoral college votes to whoever wins the popular vote and this is confirmed after meetings on 17 December. |
The new US Congress then meets on 6 January to count the electoral college votes and confirm the new president. | The new US Congress then meets on 6 January to count the electoral college votes and confirm the new president. |
After the 2020 election, Trump refused to concede and rallied supporters to march on the US Capitol as Congress was meeting to certify Biden's victory. | After the 2020 election, Trump refused to concede and rallied supporters to march on the US Capitol as Congress was meeting to certify Biden's victory. |
He urged his Vice-President, Mike Pence, to reject the results - but Pence refused. | He urged his Vice-President, Mike Pence, to reject the results - but Pence refused. |
Even after the riot was cleared and members of Congress regrouped, 147 Republicans voted unsuccessfully to overturn Trump's loss. | Even after the riot was cleared and members of Congress regrouped, 147 Republicans voted unsuccessfully to overturn Trump's loss. |
Electoral reforms since then have made it harder for lawmakers to object to certified results sent to them from individual states. They have also clarified that the vice-president has no power to unilaterally reject electoral votes. | Electoral reforms since then have made it harder for lawmakers to object to certified results sent to them from individual states. They have also clarified that the vice-president has no power to unilaterally reject electoral votes. |
Nevertheless, election watchers expect that efforts to delay certification of the 2024 vote could take place at the local and state level. | Nevertheless, election watchers expect that efforts to delay certification of the 2024 vote could take place at the local and state level. |
Trump, his running mate JD Vance and top Republican leaders on Capitol Hill have refused on several occasions to state unequivocally that they will accept the results if he loses. | Trump, his running mate JD Vance and top Republican leaders on Capitol Hill have refused on several occasions to state unequivocally that they will accept the results if he loses. |
SIMPLE GUIDE: How to win the electoral college | SIMPLE GUIDE: How to win the electoral college |
EXPLAINER: What Harris or Trump would do in power | EXPLAINER: What Harris or Trump would do in power |
GLOBAL: How this election could change the world | GLOBAL: How this election could change the world |
IN PICS: Different lives of Harris and Trump | IN PICS: Different lives of Harris and Trump |
IN FULL: All our election coverage in one place | IN FULL: All our election coverage in one place |
What happens if there is a tie? | What happens if there is a tie? |
It is possible that the two candidates could end up in a tie because they have the same number of electoral college votes – 269 each. | It is possible that the two candidates could end up in a tie because they have the same number of electoral college votes – 269 each. |
In that situation, members of the House of Representatives - the lower chamber of the US Congress - would vote to choose the president in a process known as a contingent election. | In that situation, members of the House of Representatives - the lower chamber of the US Congress - would vote to choose the president in a process known as a contingent election. |
Meanwhile the Senate – the upper chamber – would vote for the vice-president. | Meanwhile the Senate – the upper chamber – would vote for the vice-president. |
But that hasn’t happened for about 200 years. | But that hasn’t happened for about 200 years. |
When is the presidential inauguration? | When is the presidential inauguration? |
The president-elect will begin their term in office after being inaugurated on Monday, 20 January 2025, in the grounds of the US Capitol complex. | The president-elect will begin their term in office after being inaugurated on Monday, 20 January 2025, in the grounds of the US Capitol complex. |
It will be the 60th presidential inauguration in US history. | It will be the 60th presidential inauguration in US history. |
The event will see the new president sworn in on a pledge to uphold the Constitution and then deliver their inaugural address. | The event will see the new president sworn in on a pledge to uphold the Constitution and then deliver their inaugural address. |
Are you in the US? Get in touch | Are you in the US? Get in touch |
Get in touch | Get in touch |
Are you an American voter? | Are you an American voter? |