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Scientists say climate change made Spanish floods worse Scientists say climate change made Spanish floods worse
(33 minutes later)
A child is helped away from the floods near Valencia in SpainA child is helped away from the floods near Valencia in Spain
While scientists are reluctant to say any single extreme event was caused by climate change, researchers have been quick to point out the role that rising temperatures have had in making the Spanish floods worse.While scientists are reluctant to say any single extreme event was caused by climate change, researchers have been quick to point out the role that rising temperatures have had in making the Spanish floods worse.
“No doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change,” said Dr Friederike Otto, from Imperial College London, who leads an international group of scientists who try to understand the role that warming plays in these type of events.“No doubt about it, these explosive downpours were intensified by climate change,” said Dr Friederike Otto, from Imperial College London, who leads an international group of scientists who try to understand the role that warming plays in these type of events.
“With every fraction of a degree of fossil fuel warming, the atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to heavier bursts of rainfall.”“With every fraction of a degree of fossil fuel warming, the atmosphere can hold more moisture, leading to heavier bursts of rainfall.”
Weather researchers say the likely main cause of the intense rainfall was a natural weather event that hits Spain in Autumn and Winter.Weather researchers say the likely main cause of the intense rainfall was a natural weather event that hits Spain in Autumn and Winter.
Called a "gota fría” or cold drop, it sees cold air descend on the warmer waters of the Mediterranean Sea, which has been experiencing extremely hot conditions over the past couple of years.Called a "gota fría” or cold drop, it sees cold air descend on the warmer waters of the Mediterranean Sea, which has been experiencing extremely hot conditions over the past couple of years.
The hot moist air on the surface of the sea then rises quickly, leading to tall, towering clouds that are blown ashore and deposit large amounts of rain.The hot moist air on the surface of the sea then rises quickly, leading to tall, towering clouds that are blown ashore and deposit large amounts of rain.
Researchers say that climate change directly impacted the amount of rain that these clouds carried, pushing it up by 7% for every 1C degree of warming.Researchers say that climate change directly impacted the amount of rain that these clouds carried, pushing it up by 7% for every 1C degree of warming.
LIVE UPDATES - Latest news and analysis on Spain flash floodsLIVE UPDATES - Latest news and analysis on Spain flash floods
Timing of Spain flood alert under scrutiny as blame game ragesTiming of Spain flood alert under scrutiny as blame game rages
Spanish region hit by year's worth of rain in eight hoursSpanish region hit by year's worth of rain in eight hours
'It was like a tsunami': Spaniards recount horror of deadly floods'It was like a tsunami': Spaniards recount horror of deadly floods
How climate change worsens heatwaves, droughts, wildfires and floods
A road strewn with cars after the floods in SpainA road strewn with cars after the floods in Spain
Baked soilsBaked soils
When the rain starts to fall, it comes down with increased intensity on soils that are not best able to soak up high levels of water.When the rain starts to fall, it comes down with increased intensity on soils that are not best able to soak up high levels of water.
“As well as increased rainfall extremes, we are seeing hotter summer which can bake the soil and reduce its ability to absorb water,” said Prof Mark Smith, from the University of Leeds.“As well as increased rainfall extremes, we are seeing hotter summer which can bake the soil and reduce its ability to absorb water,” said Prof Mark Smith, from the University of Leeds.
“In turn this amplifies the more direct effects of increased rainfall intensities as more of that water makes it into the rivers.”“In turn this amplifies the more direct effects of increased rainfall intensities as more of that water makes it into the rivers.”
There is also some debate among scientists about whether a warmer world makes these storms slower moving, which would exacerbate the amount of rainfall they deliver.There is also some debate among scientists about whether a warmer world makes these storms slower moving, which would exacerbate the amount of rainfall they deliver.
This year we have seen some evidence of this type of storm and the devastation that it can bring.This year we have seen some evidence of this type of storm and the devastation that it can bring.
In September, Storm Boris brought death and destruction to several countries across Central Europe, again made stronger by the high heat in the Mediterranean.In September, Storm Boris brought death and destruction to several countries across Central Europe, again made stronger by the high heat in the Mediterranean.
This slow-moving disaster was said by scientists to have been made twice as likely by climate change.This slow-moving disaster was said by scientists to have been made twice as likely by climate change.
In Spain, the lack of precise warnings has led to criticism that more could have been done.In Spain, the lack of precise warnings has led to criticism that more could have been done.
The floods hit with such an intensity that some bridges were washed awayThe floods hit with such an intensity that some bridges were washed away
But meteorologists say that predicting the path of fast moving, intense thunderstorms is a very tricky business.But meteorologists say that predicting the path of fast moving, intense thunderstorms is a very tricky business.
“Warnings can be a lifesaver in helping people to seek higher ground and safety before a flood. But as we have seen in Spain today, it is incredibly hard to issue warnings for intense thunderstorms because the exact location of the heaviest rainfall is often not known in advance,” said Dr Linda Speight from the University of Oxford.“Warnings can be a lifesaver in helping people to seek higher ground and safety before a flood. But as we have seen in Spain today, it is incredibly hard to issue warnings for intense thunderstorms because the exact location of the heaviest rainfall is often not known in advance,” said Dr Linda Speight from the University of Oxford.
“Forecasters and scientists are working hard on innovative solutions to this challenge, it’s not going to be an easy problem to crack.”“Forecasters and scientists are working hard on innovative solutions to this challenge, it’s not going to be an easy problem to crack.”
One issue that the flooding in Spain has highlighted is the inability of modern infrastructure to cope with extreme flooding events.One issue that the flooding in Spain has highlighted is the inability of modern infrastructure to cope with extreme flooding events.
As some researchers have stated, our roads and bridges and streets are built to deal with last century’s climate, not the one we have now.As some researchers have stated, our roads and bridges and streets are built to deal with last century’s climate, not the one we have now.
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Are you in Spain? Please share your experiences.Are you in Spain? Please share your experiences.
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