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| Trump opens largest betting lead over Harris | Trump opens largest betting lead over Harris |
| (about 3 hours later) | |
| Multiple election prediction platforms have shifted toward the Republican candidate | Multiple election prediction platforms have shifted toward the Republican candidate |
| Donald Trump has opened up his largest lead over Kamala Harris in the betting odds for the White House just three weeks before the November election. | Donald Trump has opened up his largest lead over Kamala Harris in the betting odds for the White House just three weeks before the November election. |
| Both US and international betting markets shifted in favor of a Trump victory over the weekend, with prediction sites such as BetOnline, Polymarket, PredictIt, and Kalshi all predicting Trump’s presidential chances are stronger than the Democratic nominee and current vice president. | |
| It’s the first time Trump has been on top of the betting market since the September 10 presidential debate, form which Harris enjoyed a ratings jump. The Democratic candidate’s polling, however, has been stagnating since then, while Trump's has been on the rise. | |
| The Republican nominee took a particularly sharp lead with BetOnline, where he stood at -140 to Harris’ +120 as of Monday. With Bet365, the vice president’s bookmaking position stood at +110 to Trump’s -138, while they were at +115 versus -135 respectively with Bovada, as of October 10. | The Republican nominee took a particularly sharp lead with BetOnline, where he stood at -140 to Harris’ +120 as of Monday. With Bet365, the vice president’s bookmaking position stood at +110 to Trump’s -138, while they were at +115 versus -135 respectively with Bovada, as of October 10. |
| A negative sign indicates that bookmakers believe the odds favor that person to win, while a plus sign indicates the underdog. | A negative sign indicates that bookmakers believe the odds favor that person to win, while a plus sign indicates the underdog. |
| A slew of other bookmaking platforms also indicated a shift in Trump’s favor, helping the Republican to close the gap on his rival. According to prediction platform Kalshi, Trump had a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris at 46% as of Monday. | A slew of other bookmaking platforms also indicated a shift in Trump’s favor, helping the Republican to close the gap on his rival. According to prediction platform Kalshi, Trump had a 54% chance of winning the presidential election with Harris at 46% as of Monday. |
| The Election Betting Odds tracker showed that Harris’ chances of winning the race have slipped since the start of the month. A week ago, she had a 50.1% chance of taking the White House, but as of Tuesday this figure was down to 44.3%, while Trump now has a 55.1% chance of winning on November 5. | The Election Betting Odds tracker showed that Harris’ chances of winning the race have slipped since the start of the month. A week ago, she had a 50.1% chance of taking the White House, but as of Tuesday this figure was down to 44.3%, while Trump now has a 55.1% chance of winning on November 5. |
| Meanwhile, Polymarket says the former president has the edge in six out of seven key swing states. The Republican candidate is predicted to win Arizona (68%), Georgia (64%), Pennsylvania (54%), Michigan (52%), North Carolina (63%), and Wisconsin (52%), the oddsmaker’s data shows. | Meanwhile, Polymarket says the former president has the edge in six out of seven key swing states. The Republican candidate is predicted to win Arizona (68%), Georgia (64%), Pennsylvania (54%), Michigan (52%), North Carolina (63%), and Wisconsin (52%), the oddsmaker’s data shows. |
| The only battleground state where Harris has maintained a slight lead is Nevada, where she was given a 51% chance of victory, while Trump’s chances stood at 49%. | The only battleground state where Harris has maintained a slight lead is Nevada, where she was given a 51% chance of victory, while Trump’s chances stood at 49%. |