This article is from the source 'guardian' and was first published or seen on . The next check for changes will be
You can find the current article at its original source at https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2024/aug/23/presidential-polls-kamala-harris-donald-trump-election
The article has changed 25 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.
| Version 4 | Version 5 |
|---|---|
| 2024 US presidential polls tracker: Trump v Harris latest national averages | 2024 US presidential polls tracker: Trump v Harris latest national averages |
| (6 days later) | |
| Find out who’s up and who’s down in the latest US presidential election opinion polls | Find out who’s up and who’s down in the latest US presidential election opinion polls |
| On 21 July, Joe Biden dropped out of the presidential race and endorsed Kamala Harris. This historic move changed the landscape of the election and how many felt about the race. As the election enters its final weeks, Guardian US is averaging national polls to see how the two candidates are faring. We will update our averages once a week, or more if there is major news. | On 21 July, Joe Biden dropped out of the presidential race and endorsed Kamala Harris. This historic move changed the landscape of the election and how many felt about the race. As the election enters its final weeks, Guardian US is averaging national polls to see how the two candidates are faring. We will update our averages once a week, or more if there is major news. |
| Latest polls | Latest polls |
| Polling average over a moving 10-day period | Polling average over a moving 10-day period |
| Loading... | Loading... |
| Latest analysis: After her elevation to the top of the ticket, Harris has seen small leads in national polls, and her standing has been further boosted by the traditional post-convention bounce that presidential candidates customarily receive. | Latest analysis: After her elevation to the top of the ticket, Harris has seen small leads in national polls, and her standing has been further boosted by the traditional post-convention bounce that presidential candidates customarily receive. |
| The effect of Robert F Kennedy Jr’s decision to suspend his independent presidential campaign and endorse Trump on 23 August is unclear, as the Reuters/Ipsos and other recent surveys were still being conducted at the time of his announcement on . The Trump campaign claims the endorsement will boost the former president’s chances, even though Kennedy’s once-buoyant poll numbers had declined to about 5% before he pulled out. – Robert Tait, 30 August | The effect of Robert F Kennedy Jr’s decision to suspend his independent presidential campaign and endorse Trump on 23 August is unclear, as the Reuters/Ipsos and other recent surveys were still being conducted at the time of his announcement on . The Trump campaign claims the endorsement will boost the former president’s chances, even though Kennedy’s once-buoyant poll numbers had declined to about 5% before he pulled out. – Robert Tait, 30 August |
| Read more | Read more |
| Polling over time | Polling over time |
| Polling average over a moving 10-day period. Each circle represents an individual poll result and are sized by the poll's 538 grade. | |
| Loading... | Loading... |
| Notes on data | Notes on data |
| To calculate our averages, Guardian US took a combination of head-to-head and multi-candidate national polls and calculated a rolling 10-day average for each candidate. Our poll tracker uses polls gathered by FiveThirtyEight and filters out polls from lower-quality pollsters. | To calculate our averages, Guardian US took a combination of head-to-head and multi-candidate national polls and calculated a rolling 10-day average for each candidate. Our poll tracker uses polls gathered by FiveThirtyEight and filters out polls from lower-quality pollsters. |
| Polling averages capture how the race stands at a particular moment in time and are likely to change as the election gets closer. Our averages take into account national polls and are an estimate of the support that the candidates have on a national stage. The election is decided by the electoral college, so these averages should not be taken as a likelihood of winning the election in November. | Polling averages capture how the race stands at a particular moment in time and are likely to change as the election gets closer. Our averages take into account national polls and are an estimate of the support that the candidates have on a national stage. The election is decided by the electoral college, so these averages should not be taken as a likelihood of winning the election in November. |
| Candidate illustrations by Sam Kerr | Candidate illustrations by Sam Kerr |
| This article was amended on 24 August 2024 to correct the timing of Joe Biden’s disastrous debate, which was in late June, not late July as an earlier version said. | This article was amended on 24 August 2024 to correct the timing of Joe Biden’s disastrous debate, which was in late June, not late July as an earlier version said. |
| Candidate illustrations by Sam Kerr | Candidate illustrations by Sam Kerr |
| This article was amended on 24 August 2024 to correct the timing of Joe Biden’s disastrous debate, which was in late June, not late July as an earlier version said. | This article was amended on 24 August 2024 to correct the timing of Joe Biden’s disastrous debate, which was in late June, not late July as an earlier version said. |