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Local election results 2024 live: Mayoral results due after Labour notches up key wins - BBC News | |
(32 minutes later) | |
Professor Sir John Curtice | |
Professor of politics at University of Strathclyde | |
Under our electoral system, when a party gains seats, it is not just a reflection of their performance, but their competitors', too. | |
The Liberal Democrat vote this time was up marginally compared to 2021. But the crucial reason why they were able to win is because the Conservative vote is down by over 11 points. | |
It's certainly true that the Lib Dem performance was better in Tory wards and they didn't do as well in Labour areas. | |
The Lib Dems have long since decided they are not trying to increase their national share of the vote, and they certainly haven't done so according to polls or these results. | |
Instead, they are betting the farm on the struggles of the Tory party in the polls being repeated at the next general election. | |
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