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Analysis: More than mid-term blues for the Tories Analysis: More than mid-term blues for the Tories
(25 days later)
Conservative Party candidate Festus Akinbusoye congratulated Labour's Alistair Strathern after his record win in Mid-BedfordshireConservative Party candidate Festus Akinbusoye congratulated Labour's Alistair Strathern after his record win in Mid-Bedfordshire
Conservative Party candidate Festus Akinbusoye congratulated Labour's Alistair Strathern after his record win in Mid-Bedfordshire
It was a stunningly bad night for the Conservative Party.It was a stunningly bad night for the Conservative Party.
Historically bad.Historically bad.
If replicated at a general election, results like last night's would not just mean Conservative defeat - they would mean Conservative annihilation.If replicated at a general election, results like last night's would not just mean Conservative defeat - they would mean Conservative annihilation.
The Labour victory in Mid Bedfordshire is the largest numerical majority ever overturned in a by-election in history.The Labour victory in Mid Bedfordshire is the largest numerical majority ever overturned in a by-election in history.
If you look at it in terms of percentages instead, then Tamworth is the second-biggest swing from the Conservatives to Labour at a by-election since 1945.If you look at it in terms of percentages instead, then Tamworth is the second-biggest swing from the Conservatives to Labour at a by-election since 1945.
Labour inflicts two by-election defeats on ToriesLabour inflicts two by-election defeats on Tories
Labour inflicts two by-election defeats on Tories
Follow live updates: Labour overturns huge Tory majoritiesFollow live updates: Labour overturns huge Tory majorities
Follow live updates: Labour overturns huge Tory majorities
It is not uncommon for some Conservative MPs privately to say that they don't believe the national opinion polls, which for some time now have consistently displayed large Labour leads.It is not uncommon for some Conservative MPs privately to say that they don't believe the national opinion polls, which for some time now have consistently displayed large Labour leads.
They say that when they speak to voters there is frustration with the government, yes, but apathy towards the Labour Party and especially Sir Keir Starmer.They say that when they speak to voters there is frustration with the government, yes, but apathy towards the Labour Party and especially Sir Keir Starmer.
Well, these results suggest that the national polls are broadly right. And if this is what apathy looks like, Labour can no doubt live with that.Well, these results suggest that the national polls are broadly right. And if this is what apathy looks like, Labour can no doubt live with that.
Other Conservative MPs acknowledge the fairly bleak picture but argue that they have never known the public be more volatile, more willing to change their minds.Other Conservative MPs acknowledge the fairly bleak picture but argue that they have never known the public be more volatile, more willing to change their minds.
Here there may be some small comfort for the Conservatives.Here there may be some small comfort for the Conservatives.
Many voters appear to have changed their minds about the Labour Party extremely quickly. What's to say they can't change their minds about the Conservative Party between now and the general election?Many voters appear to have changed their minds about the Labour Party extremely quickly. What's to say they can't change their minds about the Conservative Party between now and the general election?
Rishi Sunak will spend the next year arguing, as at his party's conference earlier this month, that he embodies the change voters want.Rishi Sunak will spend the next year arguing, as at his party's conference earlier this month, that he embodies the change voters want.
If he can pull that off and win the Conservatives a fifth term in government, it would be an extraordinary feat.If he can pull that off and win the Conservatives a fifth term in government, it would be an extraordinary feat.
These are not normal government mid-term blues. It is getting late.These are not normal government mid-term blues. It is getting late.
Related topics
Mid Bedfordshire by-election 2023
Tamworth