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Chris Mason: Cautious Labour dares to believe it can win | Chris Mason: Cautious Labour dares to believe it can win |
(4 months later) | |
"We need to be the smallest possible moving target." | "We need to be the smallest possible moving target." |
It is a phrase I keep hearing here. | It is a phrase I keep hearing here. |
And it is an insight into Labour's mentality at this conference. | And it is an insight into Labour's mentality at this conference. |
Don't create hostages to fortune. Don't score own goals. Don't create easy opportunities for the Conservatives. | Don't create hostages to fortune. Don't score own goals. Don't create easy opportunities for the Conservatives. |
It is a mentality that bears the collective weight, from the party's perspective, of a doom-laden history. | It is a mentality that bears the collective weight, from the party's perspective, of a doom-laden history. |
Whichever way you look at it, Labour lose a lot of elections. | Whichever way you look at it, Labour lose a lot of elections. |
It is almost 50 years since Labour won an election without a leader called Tony Blair. | It is almost 50 years since Labour won an election without a leader called Tony Blair. |
There are only four occasions since the Second World War where Labour have taken power from the Conservatives. | There are only four occasions since the Second World War where Labour have taken power from the Conservatives. |
"Opportunities don't come along like this very often for the Labour Party," says one senior figure, with a splash of understatement, about the party finding itself - potentially - in a position to win. | "Opportunities don't come along like this very often for the Labour Party," says one senior figure, with a splash of understatement, about the party finding itself - potentially - in a position to win. |
"It is like walking a tightrope in a straitjacket. And trying not to fall off," says another senior figure. | "It is like walking a tightrope in a straitjacket. And trying not to fall off," says another senior figure. |
Hope and fear | Hope and fear |
This corner of Liverpool is a sea of cautious smiles. A party daring to believe it can win, but so aware it has thought that before - in 1992, in 2015, to pick just two - only to go on to lose. | This corner of Liverpool is a sea of cautious smiles. A party daring to believe it can win, but so aware it has thought that before - in 1992, in 2015, to pick just two - only to go on to lose. |
"It is beaten-dog syndrome," as one shadow cabinet minister puts it. The party hears the word "election" and instantly fears history repeating itself. | "It is beaten-dog syndrome," as one shadow cabinet minister puts it. The party hears the word "election" and instantly fears history repeating itself. |
But hang on, there is an understated confidence around too. | But hang on, there is an understated confidence around too. |
Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is talking about wanting a "decade of national renewal". A decade. That implies winning two general elections, not just one. | Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer is talking about wanting a "decade of national renewal". A decade. That implies winning two general elections, not just one. |
Starmer to make housing pledge in leader's speech | Starmer to make housing pledge in leader's speech |
Starmer to make housing pledge in leader's speech | Starmer to make housing pledge in leader's speech |
Labour plans to fight next election on economy | Labour plans to fight next election on economy |
Labour plans to fight next election on economy | Labour plans to fight next election on economy |
Thunderbolt by-election changes political weather | Thunderbolt by-election changes political weather |
Thunderbolt by-election changes political weather | Thunderbolt by-election changes political weather |
One of the architects of New Labour, Lord Mandelson, is touring the conference telling anyone who will listen how much Labour has changed. | One of the architects of New Labour, Lord Mandelson, is touring the conference telling anyone who will listen how much Labour has changed. |
He claims the party has switched back "from weird to normal", a line that got a laugh in front of a room full of business leaders. | He claims the party has switched back "from weird to normal", a line that got a laugh in front of a room full of business leaders. |
The description, which former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn would no doubt regard as gratuitous and personal, came at a dinner of the City of London Corporation, which represents the finance sector. | The description, which former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn would no doubt regard as gratuitous and personal, came at a dinner of the City of London Corporation, which represents the finance sector. |
He joked with his hosts that the Corporation was now "almost to the left of Labour". | He joked with his hosts that the Corporation was now "almost to the left of Labour". |
The former powerhouses of the party under Mr Corbyn - those on the Left - are banished, vanquished, have even disappeared. Those still around the place say they are "trying to remain relevant". | The former powerhouses of the party under Mr Corbyn - those on the Left - are banished, vanquished, have even disappeared. Those still around the place say they are "trying to remain relevant". |
Sir Keir's approach was described to me recently as being "pragmatically radical". | Sir Keir's approach was described to me recently as being "pragmatically radical". |
It is tempting to dismiss this kind of label as typically meaningless Westminster guff. Maybe it is. | It is tempting to dismiss this kind of label as typically meaningless Westminster guff. Maybe it is. |
What it sought to articulate was a sense of moving cautiously - "painting in the detail" of policy ideas, as one shadow minister put it to me - while also sketching out a longer-term vision, which could amount to significant change. | What it sought to articulate was a sense of moving cautiously - "painting in the detail" of policy ideas, as one shadow minister put it to me - while also sketching out a longer-term vision, which could amount to significant change. |
The plans on housebuilding - and in particular new towns in England - could amount to this if they ever happened. | The plans on housebuilding - and in particular new towns in England - could amount to this if they ever happened. |
Rachel Reeves: Biggest risk to economy is five more Tory years | Rachel Reeves: Biggest risk to economy is five more Tory years |
Rachel Reeves: Biggest risk to economy is five more Tory years | Rachel Reeves: Biggest risk to economy is five more Tory years |
Sir Keir's challenge this autumn looks like this: | Sir Keir's challenge this autumn looks like this: |
Opinion polls suggest the Conservatives are unpopular, even deeply unpopular. | Opinion polls suggest the Conservatives are unpopular, even deeply unpopular. |
But they also suggest plenty are not convinced by Labour. | But they also suggest plenty are not convinced by Labour. |
"He needs to tell the country more about who he is," says a shadow cabinet minister. "His is a story of aspiration. And we need more policies. Not the vague stuff, stuff we can sell." | "He needs to tell the country more about who he is," says a shadow cabinet minister. "His is a story of aspiration. And we need more policies. Not the vague stuff, stuff we can sell." |
This Labour figure, and plenty like them, will hope they leave Liverpool with this. | This Labour figure, and plenty like them, will hope they leave Liverpool with this. |
They know the election draws nearer. | They know the election draws nearer. |
But they also know it is entirely possible they gather again here in a year's time, and polling day has still not happened. | But they also know it is entirely possible they gather again here in a year's time, and polling day has still not happened. |
Related topics | |
Labour Party Conference | Labour Party Conference |
Labour Party | Labour Party |