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| Version 3 | Version 4 |
|---|---|
| Friday Briefing | Friday Briefing |
| (30 days later) | |
| After months of grueling combat and heavy casualties, the front line in Ukraine remains largely unchanged, and a breakthrough looks more difficult than ever. | After months of grueling combat and heavy casualties, the front line in Ukraine remains largely unchanged, and a breakthrough looks more difficult than ever. |
| Ukraine has made minimal gains in its counteroffensive. Dense Russian minefields and fortifications have made every attack extremely costly. In total, less than 500 square miles of territory has changed hands since the start of the year. A prolonged stalemate could weaken Western support for Ukraine. | Ukraine has made minimal gains in its counteroffensive. Dense Russian minefields and fortifications have made every attack extremely costly. In total, less than 500 square miles of territory has changed hands since the start of the year. A prolonged stalemate could weaken Western support for Ukraine. |
| Both sides started the year with lofty ambitions: Russia wanted to capture the Donbas region in the east, while Ukraine aimed to split Russian forces with an attack in the south. Neither offensive has gone as planned. | Both sides started the year with lofty ambitions: Russia wanted to capture the Donbas region in the east, while Ukraine aimed to split Russian forces with an attack in the south. Neither offensive has gone as planned. |
| Russia’s plan: Senior Russian officials said that an anticipated 69 percent leap in the country’s military spending for 2024 was meant to assure that it would win the war against Ukraine, with arms spending expected to outpace the cost of government social services. | Russia’s plan: Senior Russian officials said that an anticipated 69 percent leap in the country’s military spending for 2024 was meant to assure that it would win the war against Ukraine, with arms spending expected to outpace the cost of government social services. |