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Evidence is mounting that Russia’s natural gas export industry has fallen apart since the country invaded Ukraine. New estimates suggest that Russia’s pipeline exports could drop by half this year compared with last year.Evidence is mounting that Russia’s natural gas export industry has fallen apart since the country invaded Ukraine. New estimates suggest that Russia’s pipeline exports could drop by half this year compared with last year.
The problems are not limited to gas delivered by pipeline. The E.U. is also threatening to curtail imports of liquefied natural gas from Russia, which were the Russian industry’s only bright spot last year. And last year was an especially bad year.The problems are not limited to gas delivered by pipeline. The E.U. is also threatening to curtail imports of liquefied natural gas from Russia, which were the Russian industry’s only bright spot last year. And last year was an especially bad year.
Russia will most likely see gains in gas sales to China and Turkey, but China is just a fraction of the market that Europe used to be. Russia has fared surprisingly well despite Western embargoes but has had to sell at a discount. Looking ahead, Russia will also struggle to find new buyers: Most of its fuel moves through pipelines, which are geographically fixed, unlike liquefied natural gas, which can be transported like oil on ships.Russia will most likely see gains in gas sales to China and Turkey, but China is just a fraction of the market that Europe used to be. Russia has fared surprisingly well despite Western embargoes but has had to sell at a discount. Looking ahead, Russia will also struggle to find new buyers: Most of its fuel moves through pipelines, which are geographically fixed, unlike liquefied natural gas, which can be transported like oil on ships.
Alternative sources: Europe has worked to reduce its dependence on Russian energy by cutting demand and finding alternatives. Norway is now its largest natural gas supplier. Europe has also come to rely on liquefied natural gas from the U.S.Alternative sources: Europe has worked to reduce its dependence on Russian energy by cutting demand and finding alternatives. Norway is now its largest natural gas supplier. Europe has also come to rely on liquefied natural gas from the U.S.
Other news about the war:Other news about the war:
Ukraine’s forces say they need heavy arms to turn the tide of a grinding war, as casualties mount on the front lines before an expected counteroffensive.Ukraine’s forces say they need heavy arms to turn the tide of a grinding war, as casualties mount on the front lines before an expected counteroffensive.
Brittney Griner, the U.S. basketball star, spoke with reporters for the first time since her release from a Russian prison: “No one should be in those conditions.”Brittney Griner, the U.S. basketball star, spoke with reporters for the first time since her release from a Russian prison: “No one should be in those conditions.”
Parts of Sudan’s capital have been taken over by a paramilitary force. The civilians who remain are enduring a cautious coexistence as negotiations for an end to the war, which began almost two weeks ago, fail to make progress.Parts of Sudan’s capital have been taken over by a paramilitary force. The civilians who remain are enduring a cautious coexistence as negotiations for an end to the war, which began almost two weeks ago, fail to make progress.
Residents say the fighters, the Rapid Support Forces, seemed to control much of Khartoum’s city center and surrounding districts, as well as parts of its twin city, Omdurman. They describe negotiating with fighters at roadblocks and grudgingly sharing food and water. Some fighters have moved into abandoned homes.Residents say the fighters, the Rapid Support Forces, seemed to control much of Khartoum’s city center and surrounding districts, as well as parts of its twin city, Omdurman. They describe negotiating with fighters at roadblocks and grudgingly sharing food and water. Some fighters have moved into abandoned homes.
Diplomats have been scrambling to negotiate a longer truce, but they have not yet succeeded. The White House urged U.S. citizens to leave Sudan within the next 48 hours “because the situation could deteriorate at any moment.”Diplomats have been scrambling to negotiate a longer truce, but they have not yet succeeded. The White House urged U.S. citizens to leave Sudan within the next 48 hours “because the situation could deteriorate at any moment.”
Sudan’s military: Troops are positioned farther out. They control entries and exits to and from Khartoum and use warplanes to carry out strikes on R.S.F. targets.Sudan’s military: Troops are positioned farther out. They control entries and exits to and from Khartoum and use warplanes to carry out strikes on R.S.F. targets.
In a first for a French leader, President Emmanuel Macron paid official tribute to Toussaint Louverture, a leader of the Haitian Revolution, at the prison where he died. But in his speech, delivered yesterday on the 175th anniversary of France’s abolition of slavery, Macron said nothing about the lingering effects of slavery.In a first for a French leader, President Emmanuel Macron paid official tribute to Toussaint Louverture, a leader of the Haitian Revolution, at the prison where he died. But in his speech, delivered yesterday on the 175th anniversary of France’s abolition of slavery, Macron said nothing about the lingering effects of slavery.
Macron spoke at the French prison where Louverture died 220 years ago, after being tricked, kidnapped and taken to France. Macron called him a hero who embodied the values of the Enlightenment and the French Revolution. “Toussaint Louverture strove to give life to the Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen,” he said.Macron spoke at the French prison where Louverture died 220 years ago, after being tricked, kidnapped and taken to France. Macron called him a hero who embodied the values of the Enlightenment and the French Revolution. “Toussaint Louverture strove to give life to the Declaration of the Rights of Man and of the Citizen,” he said.
But Macron glossed over the racism and colonial oppression that led to Louverture’s imprisonment. He barely referred to contemporary Haiti, which is plagued by gang violence. And he did not mention the ransom that France extorted from Haiti to compensate former slave owners, which has since hobbled its economic development.But Macron glossed over the racism and colonial oppression that led to Louverture’s imprisonment. He barely referred to contemporary Haiti, which is plagued by gang violence. And he did not mention the ransom that France extorted from Haiti to compensate former slave owners, which has since hobbled its economic development.
Legacy: Louverture was a leader of the slave rebellion that prompted France to end slavery across all its colonies in 1794. But Napoleon fought Haiti and reimposed slavery until 1848.Legacy: Louverture was a leader of the slave rebellion that prompted France to end slavery across all its colonies in 1794. But Napoleon fought Haiti and reimposed slavery until 1848.
Australia reversed an immigration policy that had made it harder for New Zealanders to gain citizenship there, as part of an effort to patch up relations.Australia reversed an immigration policy that had made it harder for New Zealanders to gain citizenship there, as part of an effort to patch up relations.
Consumers are keeping the U.S. out of a recession — at least for now. The economy grew in the first quarter, but slowly.Consumers are keeping the U.S. out of a recession — at least for now. The economy grew in the first quarter, but slowly.
Ayatollah Abbas Ali Soleimani, a top Iranian cleric, was fatally shot in a bank. For months, Iranians have protested clerical rule.Ayatollah Abbas Ali Soleimani, a top Iranian cleric, was fatally shot in a bank. For months, Iranians have protested clerical rule.
Mike Pence appeared before a grand jury that heard evidence about Donald Trump’s efforts to cling to power after losing the 2020 election.Mike Pence appeared before a grand jury that heard evidence about Donald Trump’s efforts to cling to power after losing the 2020 election.
Chinese officials questioned Shanghai-based employees of Bain & Company, the consulting firm, in Beijing’s latest scrutiny of a prominent U.S. business.Chinese officials questioned Shanghai-based employees of Bain & Company, the consulting firm, in Beijing’s latest scrutiny of a prominent U.S. business.
A study found that climate change made droughts in East Africa 100 times as likely as in the preindustrial era.A study found that climate change made droughts in East Africa 100 times as likely as in the preindustrial era.
In a rare show of unity, the U.N. Security Council condemned the Taliban’s discrimination of women.In a rare show of unity, the U.N. Security Council condemned the Taliban’s discrimination of women.
The Church of England said single people should be valued as much as those who are married or partnered. (A report noted that Jesus was single.)The Church of England said single people should be valued as much as those who are married or partnered. (A report noted that Jesus was single.)
Meet Hungary’s ambassador to the Vatican: A Hapsburg descendant who has worked as a zombie-movie screenwriter and cartoon producer. Meet Hungary’s ambassador to the Vatican: A Habsburg descendant who has worked as a zombie-movie screenwriter and cartoon producer.
Ed Sheeran testified with a guitar at his copyright trial. He is accused of copying part of his song “Thinking Out Loud” from Marvin Gaye’s “Let’s Get It On.”Ed Sheeran testified with a guitar at his copyright trial. He is accused of copying part of his song “Thinking Out Loud” from Marvin Gaye’s “Let’s Get It On.”
Alec Baldwin returned to the set of “Rust,” which halted production when its cinematographer was killed by a gun that he was rehearsing with.Alec Baldwin returned to the set of “Rust,” which halted production when its cinematographer was killed by a gun that he was rehearsing with.
One of the largest jewelry sales in history will take place next week. The collection comes from the estate of an Austrian heiress whose husband built his empire by buying companies that Jews were pressured by the Nazis to sell.One of the largest jewelry sales in history will take place next week. The collection comes from the estate of an Austrian heiress whose husband built his empire by buying companies that Jews were pressured by the Nazis to sell.
Is the blue check still a status symbol on Twitter?Is the blue check still a status symbol on Twitter?
Malawi is on the front lines of climate change, and its farmers have no choice but to adapt. Some are diversifying their crops, reviving heirloom seeds or turning away from one legacy of European colonialism: the practice of planting in rows and saturating the soil with chemical fertilizers.Malawi is on the front lines of climate change, and its farmers have no choice but to adapt. Some are diversifying their crops, reviving heirloom seeds or turning away from one legacy of European colonialism: the practice of planting in rows and saturating the soil with chemical fertilizers.
Only two things can end Manchester City’s Premier League dominance: The club is on track for a fifth title in six years, and that success could continue for a long time.Only two things can end Manchester City’s Premier League dominance: The club is on track for a fifth title in six years, and that success could continue for a long time.
What went wrong with soccer’s most expensive defender? Manchester United defender Harry Maguire has slid down the pecking order and is now fighting for his future. What happened?What went wrong with soccer’s most expensive defender? Manchester United defender Harry Maguire has slid down the pecking order and is now fighting for his future. What happened?
After his Formula One exile, a former star rebuilds for a potential return: Five years ago, Daniel Ricciardo stood among the elite racers in the sport. But after a break from the track, his perspective has shifted.After his Formula One exile, a former star rebuilds for a potential return: Five years ago, Daniel Ricciardo stood among the elite racers in the sport. But after a break from the track, his perspective has shifted.
Next Saturday, we’re sending a special coronation edition of this newsletter: a guide to the weekend’s events and the future of the monarchy. And we want to know how you feel about Britain’s royal family.Next Saturday, we’re sending a special coronation edition of this newsletter: a guide to the weekend’s events and the future of the monarchy. And we want to know how you feel about Britain’s royal family.
We’re asking readers to look back over the decades and consider the royal moments that stood out. Perhaps it was Elizabeth grieving alone at Philip’s funeral, the infamous Oprah interview, or something more personal.We’re asking readers to look back over the decades and consider the royal moments that stood out. Perhaps it was Elizabeth grieving alone at Philip’s funeral, the infamous Oprah interview, or something more personal.
We’d like to know: How did that moment change how you feel about the royals? If you’d like to participate, you can fill out the form here.We’d like to know: How did that moment change how you feel about the royals? If you’d like to participate, you can fill out the form here.
This spinach-artichoke lasagna is inspired by a beloved New York pizza joint.This spinach-artichoke lasagna is inspired by a beloved New York pizza joint.
Maggie Smith’s new book tries to make the divorce memoir beautiful.Maggie Smith’s new book tries to make the divorce memoir beautiful.
Stream these great documentaries.Stream these great documentaries.
Is there a cure for I.B.S.?Is there a cure for I.B.S.?
Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Had a bite (three letters).Here’s today’s Mini Crossword, and a clue: Had a bite (three letters).
And here are today’s Wordle and the Spelling Bee.And here are today’s Wordle and the Spelling Bee.
You can find all our puzzles here.You can find all our puzzles here.
That’s it for today’s briefing. Have a lovely weekend! — AmeliaThat’s it for today’s briefing. Have a lovely weekend! — Amelia
P.S. The Morning has a playlist of songs that are bringing readers joy right now.P.S. The Morning has a playlist of songs that are bringing readers joy right now.
The latest episode of “The Daily” is about India.The latest episode of “The Daily” is about India.
You can reach Amelia and the team at briefing@nytimes.com.You can reach Amelia and the team at briefing@nytimes.com.