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'Fragile recovery' for UK economy 'Fragile recovery' for UK economy
(40 minutes later)
The Bank of England has warned that the UK economy still has some way to go before it recovers from the effects of the financial crisis.The Bank of England has warned that the UK economy still has some way to go before it recovers from the effects of the financial crisis.
In its latest quarterly Inflation Report, the Bank warns that any recovery in 2010 will be "fragile".In its latest quarterly Inflation Report, the Bank warns that any recovery in 2010 will be "fragile".
The report will be bad news for the chancellor, who has predicted that the UK will rebound sharply in 2010.The report will be bad news for the chancellor, who has predicted that the UK will rebound sharply in 2010.
If it does not, then his record budget deficit of £175bn will be even bigger, with a greater need for spending cuts.If it does not, then his record budget deficit of £175bn will be even bigger, with a greater need for spending cuts.
On the outlook for inflation, the Bank said it was "more likely than not" that the annual rate of growth in consumer prices would temporarily fall below 1% in the autumn.On the outlook for inflation, the Bank said it was "more likely than not" that the annual rate of growth in consumer prices would temporarily fall below 1% in the autumn.
'Uncertain pace''Uncertain pace'
The Bank has recently added another £50bn of new money to the economy as part of its programme of quantitative easing to spur economic growth.The Bank has recently added another £50bn of new money to the economy as part of its programme of quantitative easing to spur economic growth.
Its report said there were "encouraging signs" that the steps taken to stimulate the economy were having an impact. Its report said there were "encouraging signs" that the steps taken to stimulate the economy had been having an impact.
However, governor Mervyn King was downbeat about whether the policy had been fully effective. However, Bank governor Mervyn King was downbeat about whether the policy had been fully effective.
He hinted that the Bank might have to consider additional measures, although he warned that with the public finances in such a perilous state, there was little room for further expansion to help boost economic growth.He hinted that the Bank might have to consider additional measures, although he warned that with the public finances in such a perilous state, there was little room for further expansion to help boost economic growth.
"The pace of recovery over the next few years is highly uncertain," he added."The pace of recovery over the next few years is highly uncertain," he added.
Following his comments, economists suggested the bank would inject more new money into the economy.
"More quantitative easing is on the cards," said Charles Davis from the Centre for Economics and Business Research. "Our rough and ready estimate is a further £50bn."
"The reality of a deep recession and sluggish recovery has dawned upon [the Bank], recognising that insipid growth and downward pressure on prices is the greater concern."