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Swine flu total 'may be double' Swine flu total 'may be double'
(about 1 hour later)
The number of swine flu cases in the UK is probably double the official figure, a leading bacteriologist has said.The number of swine flu cases in the UK is probably double the official figure, a leading bacteriologist has said.
The official total stands at well above 500 after more cases were confirmed on Saturday, but Prof Hugh Pennington told BBC 5 Live the real figure is higher.The official total stands at well above 500 after more cases were confirmed on Saturday, but Prof Hugh Pennington told BBC 5 Live the real figure is higher.
"I think it would be very reasonable to say we've got at least twice as many cases as we know about," he said."I think it would be very reasonable to say we've got at least twice as many cases as we know about," he said.
Meanwhile, in North Yorkshire a soldier on the British army's biggest base has been confirmed to have the virus. A soldier has been confirmed with swine flu at the British army's biggest base, Catterick Garrison in North Yorkshire.
On Sunday, a case of swine flu was confirmed at the Catterick Garrison base. 'Business as usual'
The soldier has "mild symptoms" after coming into contact with another infected person while away from the base. The serviceman has "mild symptoms" after coming into contact with another infected person while away from the camp.
Three of his close colleagues are also displaying symptoms but they have not yet been confirmed with the virus.
All the experts think that the numbers we've got are a significant underestimate Prof Hugh PenningtonAll the experts think that the numbers we've got are a significant underestimate Prof Hugh Pennington
Three of his close colleagues are also displaying symptoms, but it is not confirmed that they have the virus. An army spokesman said: "The recruit reported suffering very mild symptoms, and he has been isolated and is responding well to treatment.
Before this latest case, the number of people with swine flu in the UK had increased to 541 after 19 more cases were confirmed in England, as well as 13 new ones in Scotland and one further case in Northern Ireland. "Three other recruits have been given treatment but nobody else is showing symptoms and it is very much business as usual here at the garrison."
One case in Scotland is a critically ill woman who gave birth prematurely and whose baby is in intensive care. The total number of people confirmed with swine flu in the UK has risen to 557 after the Department of Health said on Sunday there were 15 new cases in England.
One case in Scotland involves a critically ill woman whose baby is in intensive care after she gave birth prematurely.
The baby was born on Monday afternoon, at 29 weeks, in the Royal Alexandra Hospital in Paisley.The baby was born on Monday afternoon, at 29 weeks, in the Royal Alexandra Hospital in Paisley.
117 global deaths Global deaths
Professor Pennington, a bacteriologist at Aberdeen University, says that because swine flu is similar to seasonal flu, there will be many more undeclared cases. Professor Pennington, a bacteriologist at Aberdeen University, said because swine flu was similar to seasonal flu, there would be many more undeclared cases.
"All the experts think that the numbers we've got are a significant underestimate. "All the experts think that the numbers we've got are a significant underestimate," he said.
"In the United States, they think for every case they know about, every confirmed case, there are 20 other cases out there in the community."In the United States, they think for every case they know about, every confirmed case, there are 20 other cases out there in the community.
"I don't think we're anywhere near that, but I think it would be very reasonable to say we've got at least twice as many cases as we know about, and it may be more than that.""I don't think we're anywhere near that, but I think it would be very reasonable to say we've got at least twice as many cases as we know about, and it may be more than that."
Worldwide there have been 19,315 confirmed swine flu cases in 66 countries, with 117 deaths - all in Mexico and the US.Worldwide there have been 19,315 confirmed swine flu cases in 66 countries, with 117 deaths - all in Mexico and the US.