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No alteration in Japanese rates | No alteration in Japanese rates |
(about 3 hours later) | |
The Bank of Japan has kept interest rates on hold at 0.25%, confounding many analysts who believed a rise was likely given the strengthening economy. | The Bank of Japan has kept interest rates on hold at 0.25%, confounding many analysts who believed a rise was likely given the strengthening economy. |
Policymakers voted 6-3 to keep rates where they were, a notable change in sentiment from their last meeting when they voted unanimously for no change. | Policymakers voted 6-3 to keep rates where they were, a notable change in sentiment from their last meeting when they voted unanimously for no change. |
Japan's economy has been performing strongly although domestic consumption is still seen as being fragile. | Japan's economy has been performing strongly although domestic consumption is still seen as being fragile. |
The level of borrowing is the lowest of all the major industrialised economies. | The level of borrowing is the lowest of all the major industrialised economies. |
Political pressure? | Political pressure? |
Some analysts speculated that the Bank may have come under political pressure not to lift rates at a time when ministers are worried about choking the economic recovery. | Some analysts speculated that the Bank may have come under political pressure not to lift rates at a time when ministers are worried about choking the economic recovery. |
I think they made the decision because they lacked certainty about the economic recovery Yasunori Sone, Keio University | I think they made the decision because they lacked certainty about the economic recovery Yasunori Sone, Keio University |
The markets responded largely positively to Thursday's rate decision, the benchmark Nikkei index of leading shares closing up 109.58 points, or 0.6%, at 17,370.93. | |
But the yen fell to a 13-month low against other currencies after the decision was announced amid uncertainty over the Bank's long-term monetary policy. | |
Some analysts believe the Bank had given contradictory signals about its strategy in the lead-up to the meeting. | |
"I think what is worst for the Bank of Japan is that it could look as if they bowed to political pressure," said Yasunori Sone, a professor of political science at Keio University. | "I think what is worst for the Bank of Japan is that it could look as if they bowed to political pressure," said Yasunori Sone, a professor of political science at Keio University. |
"I think they made the decision because they lacked certainty about the economic recovery." | "I think they made the decision because they lacked certainty about the economic recovery." |
Good for exporters | |
Policymakers raised the level of borrowing by a quarter point to 0.25% last July, ending Japan's long period of zero rates. | Policymakers raised the level of borrowing by a quarter point to 0.25% last July, ending Japan's long period of zero rates. |
The rate freeze was seen as good news for exporters since it would likely depress the value of the yen. | The rate freeze was seen as good news for exporters since it would likely depress the value of the yen. |
Economic prospects have improved in the past year with unemployment falling and business confidence rising. | Economic prospects have improved in the past year with unemployment falling and business confidence rising. |
But many are worried about the longevity of the recovery, pointing to the fact that third quarter economic growth of 0.8% was some way below expectations. | But many are worried about the longevity of the recovery, pointing to the fact that third quarter economic growth of 0.8% was some way below expectations. |
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