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How reliant is the world on Russia for oil and gas? | |
(21 days later) | |
Fuel prices have soared since Russia's invasion of Ukraine | Fuel prices have soared since Russia's invasion of Ukraine |
The amount of Russian oil sold to other countries has fallen, although gas continues to flow into Europe. | |
After the invasion of Ukraine, the US, EU, and UK announced restrictions on Russian imports. | |
What sanctions are there on Russian oil and gas? | What sanctions are there on Russian oil and gas? |
The US has declared a complete ban on Russian oil, gas and coal imports. | The US has declared a complete ban on Russian oil, gas and coal imports. |
The UK is to phase out Russian oil by the end of the year and the EU is reducing gas imports by two-thirds. | |
Russia has warned banning its oil would lead to "catastrophic consequences for the global market". | |
Oil and gas prices have both risen since the invasion of Ukraine. | |
How much oil does Russia export? | |
Russia is the world's third biggest producer, behind the US and Saudi Arabia. | |
Of about five million barrels of crude oil it exports each day, more than half went to Europe, before sanctions were announced. | |
Russian imports accounted for 8% of total UK oil demand and 3% of US demand. | |
In early April, Russian oil production had dropped by 700,000 barrels a day, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA). | |
The IEA says the decline could reach 1.5 million barrels a day by the end of the April, and about three million from May. | |
This follows European buyers seeking alternative suppliers, and the US banning Russian oil imports altogether in early March. | |
Russia may try to find new markets for its oil in Asia or elsewhere, but if the drop in production continues, it could eventually impact the country's economy. | |
What are the alternatives to Russian oil? | |
Energy policy research analyst Ben McWilliams says it should be easier to find alternative suppliers for oil than for gas, because while some comes from Russia, "there's also a lot of shipments from elsewhere". | |
Some IEA members have released the equivalent of 120 million barrels from oil stocks - the largest stock release in its history. | |
US President Joe Biden ordered a major release of oil from America's reserves in an effort to bring down high fuel costs. | |
The US also wants Saudi Arabia to increase its oil production and is looking at relaxing sanctions on Venezuela's oil. | |
What would happen if Russian gas stopped flowing into Europe? | What would happen if Russian gas stopped flowing into Europe? |
Supplies from Russia account for about 40% of the EU's natural gas imports. If this dried up, Italy and Germany would be especially vulnerable. | |
Europe could turn to existing gas exporters such Qatar, Algeria or Nigeria, but there are practical obstacles to quickly expanding production. | Europe could turn to existing gas exporters such Qatar, Algeria or Nigeria, but there are practical obstacles to quickly expanding production. |
Russia only provides about 5% of the UK's gas supplies, and the US doesn't import any Russian gas. | Russia only provides about 5% of the UK's gas supplies, and the US doesn't import any Russian gas. |
Gas prices in Europe, the UK (and to a lesser extent, the US) jumped significantly after the invasion, due to worries about supply shortages, although they then fell back. | Gas prices in Europe, the UK (and to a lesser extent, the US) jumped significantly after the invasion, due to worries about supply shortages, although they then fell back. |
What about alternatives gas supplies? | |
The US has agreed to ship an additional 15 billion cubic metres of liquified natural gas (LNG) to Europe by the end of this year. | The US has agreed to ship an additional 15 billion cubic metres of liquified natural gas (LNG) to Europe by the end of this year. |
The aim is to supply 50 billion cubic metres per year of additional gas until at least 2030. | The aim is to supply 50 billion cubic metres per year of additional gas until at least 2030. |
But Mr McWilliams says: "It's harder to substitute gas because we have these big pipes that are taking Russian gas to Europe." | |
Europe could also ramp up the use of other energy sources, but doing so is not quick or easy. | Europe could also ramp up the use of other energy sources, but doing so is not quick or easy. |
The EU hopes to massively boost its use of renewable energy, including wind power | The EU hopes to massively boost its use of renewable energy, including wind power |
"Renewables take time to roll out so in the short term this is not a solution," says research analyst Simone Tagliapietra. | "Renewables take time to roll out so in the short term this is not a solution," says research analyst Simone Tagliapietra. |
"So for next winter - what can make a difference is fuel switching such as opening up coal-fired power plants, as Italy and Germany have plans to do in case of an emergency." | "So for next winter - what can make a difference is fuel switching such as opening up coal-fired power plants, as Italy and Germany have plans to do in case of an emergency." |
The EU has proposed a plan to make Europe independent from Russian fossil fuels before 2030 - including measures to diversify gas supplies and replace gas in heating and power generation. | The EU has proposed a plan to make Europe independent from Russian fossil fuels before 2030 - including measures to diversify gas supplies and replace gas in heating and power generation. |
The Nord Stream 2 pipeline and the Ukraine crisis | The Nord Stream 2 pipeline and the Ukraine crisis |
IEA: Green energy needed to avoid turbulent prices | IEA: Green energy needed to avoid turbulent prices |
What will happen to my heating and fuel bills? | What will happen to my heating and fuel bills? |
Consumers will face rising energy and fuel bills as a result of this war. | Consumers will face rising energy and fuel bills as a result of this war. |
Heating prices - which are already high - are likely increase even more if the flow of Russian gas into Europe is restricted. | |
In the UK, household energy bills have been kept in check by an energy price cap. | In the UK, household energy bills have been kept in check by an energy price cap. |
But bills rose £700 to about £2,000 in April when the cap was increased. They are expected to reach about £3,000 when the cap is increased again this autumn. | |
UK petrol and diesel prices have also soared, and the government has now announced a cut in fuel duty as motorists struggle with record prices. | UK petrol and diesel prices have also soared, and the government has now announced a cut in fuel duty as motorists struggle with record prices. |
Heating bills are set to rise sharply this year in the UK | Heating bills are set to rise sharply this year in the UK |
"I think if we're in a world where Russian oil and gas stop flowing to Europe then we're going to need rationing-style measures," says Mr McWilliams. | "I think if we're in a world where Russian oil and gas stop flowing to Europe then we're going to need rationing-style measures," says Mr McWilliams. |
"Part of the conversation now is, can we tell households to turn their thermostats down one degree, which can save a significant chunk of gas." | "Part of the conversation now is, can we tell households to turn their thermostats down one degree, which can save a significant chunk of gas." |
Read more from Reality Check | Read more from Reality Check |
Send us your questions | Send us your questions |