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German economy 'to shrink by 6%' German economy 'to shrink by 6%'
(about 3 hours later)
Germany's economy will shrink by 6% this year and continue to contract in 2010 according to a forecast from the country's leading economic think tanks.Germany's economy will shrink by 6% this year and continue to contract in 2010 according to a forecast from the country's leading economic think tanks.
The estimates, compiled by eight institutes for the German Economy Ministry, also predicts that the rate of unemployment will hit 10% next year.The estimates, compiled by eight institutes for the German Economy Ministry, also predicts that the rate of unemployment will hit 10% next year.
The gloomy forecast chimes with that of the IMF, which shows the German economy contracting by 5.6% this year.The gloomy forecast chimes with that of the IMF, which shows the German economy contracting by 5.6% this year.
This is faster than any other major economy apart from Japan, says the IMF.This is faster than any other major economy apart from Japan, says the IMF.
Severe contractionSevere contraction
The latest twice-yearly forecast shows just how rapidly the outlook for the German economy has deteriorated.The latest twice-yearly forecast shows just how rapidly the outlook for the German economy has deteriorated.
The think tank's previous forecast predicted economic growth of 0.2% for this year.The think tank's previous forecast predicted economic growth of 0.2% for this year.
The deepening global downturn now means the group sees a severe economic contraction this year and a further shrinkage of 0.5% next year.The deepening global downturn now means the group sees a severe economic contraction this year and a further shrinkage of 0.5% next year.
The IMF is forecasting a contraction in the German economy of 1% in 2010.The IMF is forecasting a contraction in the German economy of 1% in 2010.
Comments by some of Germany's largest companies confirmed the bleak outlook for the country's economy.
"It will probably take five years before demand is back to its pre-crisis level in 2007," said Karl-Thomas Neumann, boss of car parts firm Continental.
The chief of rival Robert Bosch, Franz Fehrenbach, said: "We expect to see a deep recession until well into 2009."
The report for the Economy Ministry also forecasts a fall in exports of 22.6%, compared with its prediction of a rise of 0.1% made just six months ago.The report for the Economy Ministry also forecasts a fall in exports of 22.6%, compared with its prediction of a rise of 0.1% made just six months ago.
Germany is world's largest exporter.Germany is world's largest exporter.
Unemployment, the report says, will hit 10.8% in 2010.Unemployment, the report says, will hit 10.8% in 2010.
The IMF forecast sees the Japanese economy contracting by 6.2% this year before growing by 0.2% next year.The IMF forecast sees the Japanese economy contracting by 6.2% this year before growing by 0.2% next year.