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UK economy shrinks at faster pace | UK economy shrinks at faster pace |
(30 minutes later) | |
The UK economy shrank even more than expected in the last three months of 2008, revised official figures show. | |
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) said the economy shrank by 1.6% compared to the third quarter. | |
That was the biggest fall in GDP (gross domestic product) since 1980 and more than an earlier 1.5% estimate. | |
The figures have also revealed a large jump in the proportion of household income that is being saved, producing the highest "savings ratio" since 2006. | |
Rising savings | Rising savings |
The savings ratio surged from a negative number in the first quarter of 2008 to almost 5% by the end of the year, as people put aside money for hard times. | |
The jump was particularly strong in the last three months of the year. | |
"On the face of it this rise is good news - it means that a large portion of the necessary rebalancing of the economy away from spending and towards saving has occurred already," said George Buckley, an economist at Deutsche Bank. | |
Household behaviour has clearly been changing. | |
A regular survey carried out by National Savings & Investments (NS&I) showed | |
The savings ratio has been boosted by people borrowing less, with a slump last year in new mortgages, and consumers reining in their spending on credit cards and other types of borrowing. | |
"Income from falling mortgage interest payments may particularly being saved," suggested Vicky redwood, UK economist at the consultancy Capital Economics. | |
Shrinking economy | |
For the year as a whole, the UK economy grew 0.7%, which was unrevised. GDP has fallen sharply from 2007, when the UK grew at 3%. | For the year as a whole, the UK economy grew 0.7%, which was unrevised. GDP has fallen sharply from 2007, when the UK grew at 3%. |
Analysts are expecting the UK economy to shrink in 2009 as whole. | Analysts are expecting the UK economy to shrink in 2009 as whole. |
Household expenditure fell by 1%, and all the major sectors of the economy contracted. | Household expenditure fell by 1%, and all the major sectors of the economy contracted. |
The main reason for the weaker growth was a slump in output of the construction sector. It fell 4.9% over the quarter, revised down from the initial estimate of 1.1%. | The main reason for the weaker growth was a slump in output of the construction sector. It fell 4.9% over the quarter, revised down from the initial estimate of 1.1%. |