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Unemployment poised to breach 2m Unemployment poised to breach 2m
(about 6 hours later)
Official figures due out later are expected to show that unemployment in the UK has risen to more than two million for the first time since 1997.Official figures due out later are expected to show that unemployment in the UK has risen to more than two million for the first time since 1997.
Analysts predict that the data for November to January will show that the number of people without work rose by more than 150,000 during the period.Analysts predict that the data for November to January will show that the number of people without work rose by more than 150,000 during the period.
UK unemployment totalled 1.97 million during the October to December quarter.UK unemployment totalled 1.97 million during the October to December quarter.
There are now 10 jobseekers for every vacancy advertised in UK jobcentres, the TUC claimed earlier this week.There are now 10 jobseekers for every vacancy advertised in UK jobcentres, the TUC claimed earlier this week.
Sharp deterioration?Sharp deterioration?
The latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) are also expected to show a rise in those claiming jobseeker's allowance for February. During January, the total rose 73,800 to 1.23 million.The latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) are also expected to show a rise in those claiming jobseeker's allowance for February. During January, the total rose 73,800 to 1.23 million.
Reports of companies laying off workers are prevalent, while an increasing number of companies are folding Howard Archer, chief economist at Global Insight
The last time the UK's unemployment figure - using the favoured International Labour Organization's method of measurement - stood at two million was in the three months to August 1997, shortly after the Labour Party under Tony Blair came to power.The last time the UK's unemployment figure - using the favoured International Labour Organization's method of measurement - stood at two million was in the three months to August 1997, shortly after the Labour Party under Tony Blair came to power.
"We've had a spate of announced job cuts, but much of this has yet to show up in the official data," said Alan Clarke, UK economist at BNP Paribas."We've had a spate of announced job cuts, but much of this has yet to show up in the official data," said Alan Clarke, UK economist at BNP Paribas.
"This time we could see quite a sharp deterioration.""This time we could see quite a sharp deterioration."
Business warningsBusiness warnings
Earlier this month the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said the economy had worsened "significantly" so far in 2009.Earlier this month the British Chambers of Commerce (BCC) said the economy had worsened "significantly" so far in 2009.
It also made the gloomy prediction that by the second half of next year unemployment across the UK would reach 3.2 million, which is slightly more than 10% of the workforce.It also made the gloomy prediction that by the second half of next year unemployment across the UK would reach 3.2 million, which is slightly more than 10% of the workforce.
Last month, business body the CBI predicted there would be 2.9 million people unemployed by the end of 2009, breaching the three million mark in 2010.Last month, business body the CBI predicted there would be 2.9 million people unemployed by the end of 2009, breaching the three million mark in 2010.
Unemployment is rising as the first recession in the UK since 1991 continues to bite.Unemployment is rising as the first recession in the UK since 1991 continues to bite.
"Reports of companies laying off workers are prevalent, while an increasing number of companies are folding," said Howard Archer, chief economist at Global Insight.